美轮美换 The American Roulette

【聊了什么 The What】 这是一场纽约Same Room华语播客节线下录制的节目！ 这期节目，老纽约客美轮美换主播Lokin、城市传说主播罗雨翔和纽约漫谈录的欧阳斌，给新纽约客起朱楼宴宾客主播大卫翁和唠点纽约嗑主播杨蒙恩，，奉上含金量极高的纽约生存Tips：从如何通过Housing Connect网站抽取租金稳定的『福利房』，到美股AI热潮下的资产配置陷阱；从地铁逃票的法律风险，到应对种族歧视的真实报案经验，到华人社区的凝聚力差异，和长岛通勤的省钱小窍门。 This is a live recording from the Same Room Chinese-Language Podcast Festival in New York!In this episode, veteran New Yorkers Lokin, host of The American Roulette 美轮美换, Luo Yuxiang, host of Urban Myths 城市传说, and Ouyang Bin of Bin on the Bank 纽约漫谈录 offer newly minted New Yorkers David Weng, host of 起朱楼宴宾客, and Yang Meng'en, host of Loud in NY 唠点纽约嗑, a treasure trove of high-value New York survival tips: from winning rent-stabilized "affordable housing" through the Housing Connect lottery, to asset-allocation traps amid the US stock market's AI frenzy; from the legal risks of subway fare evasion, to real-life experience filing police reports over racial discrimination, to differences in cohesion across Chinese immigrant communities, and money-saving tricks for the Long Island commute. 【时间轴 The When】 * 03:42 - 第一代移民命题：100个咖啡计划与身份焦虑 * 06:40 - 纽约的好处：无论你是谁，总有群体能托住你 * 08:44 - 现实的骨感：美国梦滤镜下的OPT与H1B关卡 * 13:15 - 职场奇遇：从波士顿大巴面试到进入纽约市政府 * 22:20 - 文化输出：米兰达权利与美国价值观的全球影响 * 31:26 - 34街的变革：社区如何与政府合作保留公共空间 * 36:51 - 纽约的人才红利：为何在这里更容易认识有趣的人 * 43:48 - 法律视角下的租客权利保护与eviction流程 * 47:30 - AI泡沫讨论：盯紧OpenAI这个行业“脆弱点” * 54:45 - 避雷分享：不要迷信社交媒体上的“黑白大厨”餐厅 * 72:08 - 结尾彩蛋：长岛火车的买票精算与1美元苏打水攻略 * 03:42 - The first-generation immigrant question: the "100 coffees" plan and identity anxiety * 06:40 - What's great about New York: whoever you are, there's a community to catch you * 08:44 - Harsh reality: the OPT and H1B gauntlet behind the American Dream filter * 13:15 - Career adventures: from a Boston bus interview to landing a job in NYC government * 22:20 - Cultural export: Miranda rights and the global influence of American values * 31:26 - Change on 34th Street: how communities work with government to preserve public space * 36:51 - New York's talent dividend: why it's easier to meet interesting people here * 43:48 - Tenant rights and the eviction process, from a legal perspective * 47:30 - The AI bubble debate: watch OpenAI, the industry's "weak point" * 54:45 - What to avoid: don't fall for "Culinary Class Wars" restaurants hyped on social media * 72:08 - Closing bonus: LIRR ticket-buying math and the $1 soda hack 【我们是谁 The Who】 选修课 Universus 是一档分享和探讨泛文化话题的中文播客，脱胎于2013年创办的纽约文化沙龙。 我们力求引发对学科方法和视角的认知和思考，而不仅仅是知识的传递。我们在组织活动的过程中积累了一些经验和人脉，尝试打造成年人的博雅教育，并在播客中拓展这样的探索。我们希望审视和反抗无意识的价值规训与随波逐流。我们希望冷酷地剖析自己的偏见，热忱地拥抱多元视角。我们希望去工具化，真诚地感知、理解、创造自己的生活和复杂的世界。我们追随原初的好奇而非代餐式的猎奇。话题可以轻松，方法力求严肃。在《选修课》里，我们互相映照，唤醒失落的维度。 选修课 Universus is a Chinese-language podcast created by the same people who founded the New York Chinese Cultural Salon (纽约文化沙龙）in 2013. The past decade of organizing events and talks put us in a position of creating a sort of liberal arts education experience for those who have left school. We strive to go beyond merely transmitting knowledge to reflecting on complex topics using cross-disciplinary perspectives. We strive to resist conformity, to dissect our own biases, and to embrace diverse schools of thought. Our goal is to help professionals resist becoming just a tool of production, and to understand the world around us in earnest. We let our genuine curiosity be our guide. With a light-hearted tone, we approach each topic seriously. We hope that “选修课 Universus” creates a space to explore lost dimensions. 【买咖啡 Please Support Us】 如果喜欢这期节目并愿意想要给我们买杯咖啡： * 打赏平台：www.patreon.com/universuspod * 商务合作邮箱：[email protected] If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: * 打赏平台: www.patreon.com/universuspod * Business Inquiries Email: [email protected]

【聊了什么】 有人真的死了，有人消失近一个月后出来证明自己还活着，还有人虽然活着，政治生命却已经结束。本期从林赛·格雷厄姆突然去世、麦康奈尔的健康疑云和 Graham Platner 因性侵指控退选聊起，盘点华盛顿这个夏天的死人、活人和“政治死人”。 我们也讨论格雷厄姆留下的权力真空、美国国会的老人政治、民主党候选人接连出现的丑闻，以及 ICE 执法如何影响缅因州和德州选情。后半段转向重新升级的伊朗战争、霍尔木兹海峡控制权和特朗普提出的20%通行费，最后聊到他为何在中期选举前重新炒作2020年选举舞弊。 本期节目录制于7月18日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:20 林赛·格雷厄姆突然去世 08:21 从反特朗普到核心盟友：格雷厄姆的政治遗产 13:39 妹妹接班：南卡参议院席位如何继承 20:54 麦康奈尔“还活着”与国会老人政治 29:03 Graham Platner：从民主党新星到政治死亡 33:23 候选人审查与进步派的政治素人困境 39:52 ICE 枪击事件如何进入缅因州选战 44:56 Ruben Gallego 的竞选资金与桃色丑闻 52:06 伊朗战火重燃，停火备忘录为何失效 58:49 美国会不会用武力打开霍尔木兹海峡 01:01:57 特朗普的“海峡守护者”与20%通行费 01:05:48 特朗普重提2020年选举舞弊 01:11:45 战争拨款、国会票数与中期选举 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 Someone actually died, someone resurfaced after nearly a month to prove he's still alive, and someone else is alive but politically finished. This episode starts with Lindsey Graham's sudden death, the health mystery surrounding Mitch McConnell, and Graham Platner's withdrawal from his race over sexual assault allegations — a rundown of Washington's summer of the dead, the living, and the politically dead. We also discuss the power vacuum Graham leaves behind, gerontocracy in Congress, the string of scandals hitting Democratic candidates, and how ICE enforcement is shaping the races in Maine and Texas. The second half turns to the re-escalating war with Iran, control of the Strait of Hormuz and Trump's proposed 20% transit fee, and finally why he's reviving 2020 election fraud claims ahead of the midterms. This episode was recorded on July 18. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:20 Lindsey Graham's sudden death 08:21 From Trump critic to core ally: Graham's political legacy 13:39 A sister succeeds: how South Carolina's Senate seat gets passed down 20:54 McConnell is "still alive" — and the gerontocracy in Congress 29:03 Graham Platner: from rising Democratic star to political death 33:23 Candidate vetting and progressives' political-outsider problem 39:52 How an ICE shooting entered Maine's Senate race 44:56 Ruben Gallego's campaign finances and sex scandal 52:06 War with Iran reignites: why the ceasefire memorandum collapsed 58:49 Would the U.S. use force to reopen the Strait of Hormuz? 01:01:57 Trump's "Strait Guardian" plan and the 20% transit fee 01:05:48 Trump revives 2020 election fraud claims 01:11:45 War appropriations, the votes in Congress, and the midterms 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 美国250岁了。特朗普政府给它过生日的方式包括：把林肯纪念堂的倒影池刷成国旗蓝（然后看着藻类卷土重来、油漆片片剥落），在肯尼迪中心门口挂上"特朗普"三个字（如今盖在施工围布后面），以及在白宫南草坪架起UFC八角笼（比赛办在总统80岁生日当天）…… 本期录制于7月2日、独立日前夕。我们追问三个问题：谁在给美国过生日？谁拥有美国历史的解释权？谁是美国人？ 一辆开了250年的老爷车，正站上历史的分水岭。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:42 谁在给美国过生日，怎么过？ 16:29 谁出钱、谁办事：企业赞助、隐形成本与三套大庆班子 31:27 谁拥有美国历史的解释权？ 1:00:41 老爷车开了250年：世界最古老政权的奇迹与政治周期 1:09:45 谁是美国人？出生公民权案惊险过关 1:32:38 美国的"苏伊士时刻"？250岁与摇晃的国际秩序 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，纽约诉讼律师 【What We Talked About】 America turns 250. The Trump administration's idea of a birthday party: painting the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool flag-blue (then watching the algae return and the paint peel away), putting "Trump" on the Kennedy Center's façade (now hidden behind construction wrap), and raising a UFC octagon on the White House South Lawn (with the fight held on the president's 80th birthday)... Recorded on July 2, on the eve of Independence Day, this episode asks three questions: Who is throwing America's birthday party? Who gets to interpret American history? And who counts as an American? After 250 years on the road, the old car has arrived at a historical watershed. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:42 Who's Throwing America's Birthday Party — and How? 16:29 Who Pays, Who Runs the Show: Corporate Sponsors, Hidden Costs, and Three Competing Committees 31:27 Who Gets to Interpret American History? 1:00:41 250 Years on the Road: The Miracle and Political Cycles of the World's Oldest Surviving Government 1:09:45 Who Counts as an American? Birthright Citizenship's Narrow Escape 1:32:38 America's "Suez Moment"? Turning 250 in a Teetering World Order 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our hosts and guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 6月12日，美国商务部以国家安全为由，限制 Anthropic/Claude 最新模型 Mythos 5 和 Fable 5 向外国人开放。随后，Anthropic 将这两个刚刚发布、被视为公司最强能力代表的模型全线下架。一个 AI 产品更新，为什么会突然变成国家安全事件？所谓“外国人不能用”，又如何影响到整个 AI 行业？ 本期我们从技术层面解释大语言模型的“护栏”：它为什么需要拒绝回答某些问题，为什么护栏太低会带来安全风险，护栏太高又会误伤正常科研和普通用户。Anthropic 一直主张 AI 监管，但当政府真的出手，监管又立刻变成出口管制、国籍边界、法律灰色地带和政治表态问题。 我们也把讨论推到更大的层面：Anthropic 的价值观、AI 公司与军方合作、硅谷加速主义者的反应、开源模型和 AI 安全之间的矛盾，以及特朗普和桑德斯都提到过的 AI 国有化、主权基金和全民分红。AI 不只是技术产品，也正在成为国家安全、文化战争、劳动力市场和人类社会未来秩序的一部分。 【推广】 我们和Superlinear Academy合作，为听众争取到了AI基础课程的优惠，使用专属折扣码购买可享受4-5折。 购买链接：coding.ai-builders.com 折扣码：美元购买MLMH，人民币购买MLMHY 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:13 Claude 最新模型被限，Anthropic 全线下架 05:23 技术、政治与意识形态如何交织 05:52 什么是大模型“越狱”和“护栏” 12:37 亚马逊、安全人员与模型漏洞举报 14:01 政府与 Anthropic 各执一词的罗生门 21:47 Anthropic 为什么主动呼吁 AI 监管 23:15 出口管制：美国能否限制外国人使用模型 30:12 Anthropic 的价值观、国家安全和军方合作 41:34 禁令会不会削弱美国 AI 的领先优势 43:40 硅谷加速主义者为何为 Anthropic 被锤叫好 45:03 白宫内部权力变化与 AI 政策走向 49:07 用户数据、文化战争与开源模型争议 53:12 从公司自律到国家入股：AI 巨头国有化想象 54:17 AI 冲击劳动力市场之后，社会如何分配红利 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 曹起曈：青椒，政治行为研究者 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【What We Talked About】 On June 12, the U.S. Commerce Department restricted access to Anthropic/Claude’s latest models, Mythos 5 and Fable 5, for foreign nationals on national security grounds. Anthropic then took both newly released models, widely seen as the company’s most capable systems, offline for all users. How did an AI product update suddenly become a national security incident? And how does a rule that “foreigners cannot use it” affect the entire AI industry? In this episode, we explain the technical side of large language model “guardrails”: why models need to refuse certain requests, why guardrails that are too weak can create safety risks, and why guardrails that are too strict can interfere with legitimate research and ordinary users. Anthropic has long advocated for AI regulation, but once the government actually intervenes, regulation immediately turns into a question of export controls, national boundaries, legal gray areas, and political signaling. We also broaden the discussion to Anthropic’s values, AI companies’ cooperation with the military, reactions from Silicon Valley accelerationists, the tension between open-source models and AI safety, and proposals raised by both Trump and Sanders around AI nationalization, sovereign wealth funds, and public dividends. AI is no longer just a technology product; it is becoming part of national security, the culture war, the labor market, and the future order of human society. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:13 Claude’s latest models are restricted, and Anthropic takes them offline 05:23 How technology, politics, and ideology become entangled 05:52 What “jailbreaking” and “guardrails” mean for large language models 12:37 Amazon, security researchers, and reports of model vulnerabilities 14:01 The competing narratives from the government and Anthropic 21:47 Why Anthropic has actively called for AI regulation 23:15 Export controls: can the U.S. restrict foreigners from using AI models? 30:12 Anthropic’s values, national security, and cooperation with the military 41:34 Will the ban weaken America’s lead in AI? 43:40 Why Silicon Valley accelerationists are cheering Anthropic’s troubles 45:03 Shifting power inside the White House and the future of AI policy 49:07 User data, culture-war politics, and the open-source model debate 53:12 From corporate self-regulation to state ownership: imagining AI nationalization 54:17 After AI disrupts the labor market, how should society share the gains? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our hosts and guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助