【聊了什么】 在加州洛杉矶，一场大规模移民执法行动引爆了特朗普政府与州政府的激烈对抗，街头抗议随之而来，国民警卫队被联邦强行接管。与此同时，在中东，特朗普下令空袭伊朗核设施，将地区局势推向战争边缘，却又在短短几天内迅速达成停火。而在华盛顿，共和党人寄予厚望的“大而美法案”在参议院遭遇程序性障碍，内部矛盾重重。 这些行动将如何影响美国的内政、外交和即将到来的中期选举？ 我们在本期节目中复盘特朗普政府这充满动荡的一个月，探讨了美伊冲突的来龙去脉与特朗普的政治算盘，分析了移民执法行动所引发的社会危机与宪政冲突，并解读了“大而美法案”在参议院推进的最新进展和幕后博弈。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-iran-immigration-big-beautiful-bill-transcript/ 本期节目录制于6月23日。6月28日，参议院共和党经过超过三小时的激烈辩论后，以51-49的微弱优势通过了“大而美法案”的程序性投票，距离法案正式通过参议院又进一步。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:35 美伊冲突：从升级到迅速降温 03:25 特朗普的“闪电战”：美伊冲突中的政治得失 06:35 美伊冲突下的共和党内部分歧 10:17 总统的战争权力与宪法争议 13:40 民调的悖论：特朗普决策的考量 21:56 洛杉矶移民执法风暴 24:19 罕见之举：特朗普下令联邦化加州国民警卫队 35:02 移民政策的经济后果与政策反复 38:33 州长纽森的强硬应对与民主党的移民难题 47:28 “大而美法案”在参议院遇阻：揭秘“博德洗礼”程序 01:01:35 为何“大而美法案”不受欢迎却必须通过？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 In Los Angeles, California, a large-scale immigration enforcement operation by the Trump administration has ignited a fierce confrontation with the state government. Street protests erupted, and the National Guard was forcibly federalized. Meanwhile, in the Middle East, President Trump ordered airstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, pushing the region to the brink of war, only to broker a swift ceasefire within days. And in Washington, the Republican's much-anticipated "One Big Beautiful Bill" has hit procedural roadblocks in the Senate, revealing deep internal divisions. How will these actions impact America's domestic policy, foreign affairs, and the upcoming midterm elections? In this episode, we recap a turbulent month for the Trump administration. We explore the timeline and political calculus behind the U.S.-Iran conflict, analyze the social and constitutional crises sparked by the immigration enforcement actions, and break down the latest developments and behind-the-scenes maneuvering of the "One Big Beautiful Bill" in the Senate. Podcast Transcript (Paid Members Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-iran-immigration-big-beautiful-bill-transcript/ This episode was recorded on June 23. On June 28, after more than three hours of intense debate, Senate Republicans passed a procedural vote on the "One Big Beautiful Bill" with a narrow 51-49 majority, moving it one step closer to full Senate passage. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:35 The U.S.-Iran Conflict: From Escalation to a Swift Ceasefire 03:25 Trump's "Blitz": Political Gains and Losses in the Iran Conflict 06:35 Republican Divisions in the Wake of the Iran Conflict 10:17 Presidential War Powers and Constitutional Debates 13:40 The Polls Paradox: The Real Considerations Behind Trump's Decisions 21:56 The Immigration Enforcement Storm in Los Angeles 24:19 A Rare Move: Trump Orders the Federalization of the California National Guard 35:02 Economic Fallout and Policy Reversals of Immigration Policies 38:33 Governor Newsom's Tough Stance and the Democrats' Immigration Dilemma 47:28 "One Big Beautiful Bill" Hits a Snag in the Senate: Unpacking the "Byrd Bath" 01:01:35 Why the "Big Beautiful Bill" Must Pass Despite Its Unpopularity 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 在纽约市长民主党初选中，名不见经传的33岁州议员佐赫兰·马姆达尼（Zohran Mamdani）以惊人的胜利击败了前州长库默（Andrew Cuomo），震惊了美国政坛。马姆达尼是一位自我认同的“民主社会主义者”，他的崛起不仅可能让他成为这个全球金融中心的第一位社会主义者市长，也标志着美国进步派运动取得了历史性的胜利。 从讨论“餐车通胀”（Halalflation），到娴熟地运用各种新媒体策略，Mamdani如何在短短数月内从民调个位数迅速攀升，赢得了这场看似不可能的选战？他提出的冻结租金、全民学前班等政策，在纽约这个贫富差距巨大的城市中获得了怎样的回响？当进步派的理想主义遇上纽约错综复杂的政治现实，他又将面临怎样的挑战？ 本期节目中，我们与身在布鲁克林的嘉宾小钟一起，深入剖析的马姆达尼的崛起之路，探讨这场选举背后纽约市的阶级、种族和代际政治变迁。 更正： 1. 播客中提到AOC赢得初选为8年前，实际上是7年前 2. 播客中引用了《纽约时报》的分析，提到18-24岁是初选中比例最大的群体，但此数据在录制之后进行了更正，显示25-34岁的选民所占比例更高。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-cuomo-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 06:17 精英家庭出身的“草根”候选人马姆达尼 11:00 马姆达尼与AOC的相似之处 15:20 “社会主义者”标签的背后 17:33 Mamdani如何靠社交媒体赢得选战？ 25:31 谁在支持Mamdani？ 28:43 对变革的渴望：为何选民抛弃建制派？ 33:38 前州长库默为何输掉选举？ 45:07 马姆达尼的政策蓝图与可行性分析 51:17 理想主义 vs. 政治现实：马姆达尼执政将面临的挑战 57:37 进步派市长的执政困境 01:08:18 马姆达尼如何应对反犹指控 01:17:49 民主党与进步主义的未来与挑战 01:25:22 11月市长选举展望 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 小钟：布鲁克林居民 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 In the New York City Democratic mayoral primary, a little-known 33-year-old State Assemblyman, Zohran Mamdani, defeated former Governor Andrew Cuomo in a stunning upset victory, sending shockwaves through the American political establishment. Mamdani, a self-described 'democratic socialist,' whose rise not only positions him to potentially become the first socialist mayor of the global financial capital but also marks a historic victory for the American progressive movement. From discussing "Halalflation" to adeptly using a range of new media strategies, how did Mamdani, in just a few short months, surge from single digits in the polls to win a race that once seemed impossible? How did his proposals, such as a rent freeze and universal pre-K, resonate in a city marked by a vast wealth gap? And when progressive idealism meets the complex political realities of New York, what challenges lie ahead for him? In this episode, we're joined by our guest Zhong, who is based in Brooklyn, to do a deep dive into Mamdani's rise and discuss the shifting dynamics of class, race, and generational politics in New York City that this election has brought to the forefront. Corrections: 1. In the episode, we mention that AOC's primary win was eight years ago. This was a slip of the tongue; it was actually seven years ago. 2. The episode references a New York Times analysis indicating that the 18-24 age group was the largest demographic in the primary. This data was subsequently updated after our recording, showing that the 25-34 age group actually had a higher turnout. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-cuomo-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 06:17 Zohran Mamdani: A "Grassroots" Candidate with Elite Roots 11:00 The Parallels Between Mamdani and AOC 15:20 Unpacking the "Socialist" Label 17:33 How Mamdani Leveraged Social Media to Victory 25:31 Who is Backing Mamdani? 28:43 A Hunger for Change: Why Voters Abandoned the Establishment 33:38 Why Former Governor Cuomo Lost 45:07 Mamdani's Policy Blueprint and Its Feasibility 51:17 Idealism vs. Reality: The Governing Challenges for Mamdani 57:37 The Governing Dilemma for Progressive Mayors 01:08:18 How Mamdani Navigates Accusations of Antisemitism 01:17:49 The Future of the Progressive Movement within the Democratic Party 01:25:22 Looking Ahead to the November Mayoral Election 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小钟（Xiao Zhong）：Brooklyn resident The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 在上一期的节目中，我们讨论了刚刚赢得民主党纽约市长初选的新生力量马姆达尼。我们在播客中也提到，如果马姆达尼能够在11月击败其他候选者，成为纽约市长的话，将不可避免地要和州长、市议会、州议会、NYPD等等多方势力和利益团体打交道，来实现自己的承诺，也不可避免的要进行妥协。马姆达尼在竞选中喊出了要实现纽约公交免费的目标，如果要实现这一目标，就需要和掌管纽约地铁、公交和通勤铁路的纽约大都会运输署，也就是MTA打交道。 纽约作为的全球最知名的大都会、全美最大城市，却承载着一套“老旧且脆弱”的公共交通基础设施。技术和资金壁垒固然是常见的制约因素，但这座城市独特的制度基因才是影响基建发展的关键。 在这期番外节目中，嘉宾罗雨翔就从纽约地铁为什么这么烂讲起，分析了纽约城市发展背后的政治与经济。这期番外播客剪辑于第214期纽约文化沙龙的录音，由罗雨翔于2025年4月13日主讲。罗雨翔此前也做过另一期和纽约相关的节目《纽约的房价到底为什么这么高？》，两期播客都发布在我们的友台《选修课》上，也欢迎大家前去收听，并关注这档播客。 如果你对这期节目内容感兴趣，请关注主讲人罗雨翔的新书《创造大都会——纽约空间与制度观察》！国内各大平台均有销售（淘宝、当当、京东），海外用户请使用这个链接购买。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 * 00:02:00 纽约的地铁为何如此糟糕？基础设施背后的政治经济学 * 00:09:09 从电影《小丑》看纽约地铁问题的历史渊源 * 00:11:54 政府预算里的“两本账”如何影响了城市基建？ * 00:12:48 地铁运营权转移给州政府背后的政治经济学博弈 * 00:20:45 拉瓜迪亚机场为何没有地铁快线？社区利益与公共项目的冲突 * 00:25:14 环境保护法如何导致公共建设效率降低？ * 00:35:38 纽约街道规划如何成就了城市的宜居性？ * 00:39:56 “曼哈顿网格规划”的历史意义与经济逻辑 * 00:49:11 “商业改进区”如何推动纽约街区建设？ * 00:58:04 “公共与私人合作”模式的优势与隐患 【我们是谁】 选修课 Universus 是一档分享和探讨泛文化话题的中文播客，脱胎于2013年创办的纽约文化沙龙。 我们力求引发对学科方法和视角的认知和思考，而不仅仅是知识的传递。我们在组织活动的过程中积累了一些经验和人脉，尝试打造成年人的博雅教育，并在播客中拓展这样的探索。我们希望审视和反抗无意识的价值规训与随波逐流。我们希望冷酷地剖析自己的偏见，热忱地拥抱多元视角。我们希望去工具化，真诚地感知、理解、创造自己的生活和复杂的世界。我们追随原初的好奇而非代餐式的猎奇。话题可以轻松，方法力求严肃。在《选修课》里，我们互相映照，唤醒失落的维度。 主播： 老赵：理论物理学博士，软件工程师，纽约文化沙龙组织者。 主讲： 罗雨翔：美国注册城市规划师，哈佛大学与伦敦政治经济学院建筑与经济双硕士。现居纽约，参与以及主持北美20余地区的地产开发、区域经济政策与公共领域投资项目。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode dives into an intriguing paradox: New York City, a globally renowned metropolis with robust finances, yet burdened by an aging and fragile subway system. American certified urban planner Yuxiang Luo guides us through the intricate political and economic logic underlying the city's infrastructure issues. From budgetary mechanisms and political negotiations between state and city governments to the pros and cons of public participation systems, we realize infrastructure problems are far more than mere technical or financial issues—they're complex entanglements of institutions, history, and power dynamics. Several thought-provoking questions arise during the discussion: Why is New York, despite its significant financial resources, unable to efficiently invest in its infrastructure? Why does subway management lie in the hands of the state rather than the city government? How can small interest groups exert outsized influence over significant public projects? Is this model protecting public welfare, or is it the fundamental cause behind the inefficiency and high costs of public construction? Is the New York model of public-private cooperation genuinely innovative, or does it carry deep institutional flaws? If you find this episode interesting, please check out our speaker Luo Yuxiang‘s new book 《创造大都会》! 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 * 00:02:00 Why is New York’s subway system so bad? The political economy behind infrastructure * 00:09:09 Tracing the historical roots of NYC’s subway problems through the movie "Joker" * 00:11:54 How do the government’s “two budgets” impact urban infrastructure? * 00:12:48 The political-economic game behind transferring subway management to state government * 00:20:45 Why doesn’t LaGuardia Airport have a direct rail link? Conflicts between community interests and public projects * 00:25:14 How does environmental law reduce efficiency in public construction? * 00:35:38 How did New York’s street planning contribute to the city’s livability? * 00:39:56 Historical significance and economic logic of the Manhattan grid plan * 00:49:11 How do Business Improvement Districts promote neighborhood development in NYC? * 00:58:04 Advantages and pitfalls of the public-private partnership model 【Who We Are】 选修课 Universus is a Chinese-language podcast created by the same people who founded the New York Chinese Cultural Salon (纽约文化沙龙）in 2013. The past decade of organizing events and talks put us in a position of creating a sort of liberal arts education experience for those who have left school. We strive to go beyond merely transmitting knowledge to reflecting on complex topics using cross-disciplinary perspectives. We strive to resist conformity, to dissect our own biases, and to embrace diverse schools of thought. Our goal is to help professionals resist becoming just a tool of production, and to understand the world around us in earnest. We let our genuine curiosity be our guide. With a light-hearted tone, we approach each topic seriously. We hope that “选修课 Universus” creates a space to explore lost dimensions. Hosted by: Lao Zhao: PhD in Theoretical Physics, software engineer, and organizer of the New York Cultural Salon. Guest: Luo Yuxiang: U.S. Registered Urban Planner, holding dual master's degrees in Architecture and Economics from Harvard University and the London School of Economics. Currently residing in New York, he has participated in and led over 20 real estate development, regional economic policy, and public domain investment projects across North America. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 一场始料未及的风暴正席卷特朗普的第二任期。曾被MAGA选民寄予厚望、用以清算“深层政府”的“爱泼斯坦客户名单”，却被特朗普自己的司法部宣告“不存在”，瞬间引爆其基本盘的信任危机。这究竟是一次拙劣的政治操作，还是一场旨在掩盖更惊人真相的阴谋？司法部长邦迪会成为第一个被献祭的内阁成员吗？ 与此同时，共和党在国会强力通过了标志性的“大而美法案”，将企业减税永久化，却把对医疗补助等福利的削减推迟到了中期选举之后。这一系列操作背后，是传统共和党建制派的胜利，还是特朗普主义的策略性妥协？ 作为回应，曾与特朗普短暂结盟的马斯克，因不满法案中的新能源政策和财政赤字问题，高调宣布成立“美国党”。这究竟是撼动美国两党政治的开始，还是又一个亿万富翁的政治幻想？ 本期节目录制于2025年7月13日美国东部时间晚间10点左右。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/jeffrey-epstein-big-beautiful-bill-elon-musk-america-party-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:01:53 特朗普第二任期的首个大危机：“爱泼斯坦文件”风波始末 01:05 司法部长邦迪为何“犯错”？MAGA支持者为何愤怒？ 14:25 从爱泼斯坦到外星人：特朗普选民的独特关注点 16:41 进入正题：国会通过“大而美法案” 18:00 立法博弈：为何众议院直接“吞下”了更激进的参议院版本？ 26:38 “过两年我们就赢回来了”：美国政治“摆烂心态”的新常态 35:00 法案里的“惊喜”：为何要对职业赌徒的税收下重手？ 38:29 “大而美法案”之外的战场：共和党计划在德州重划选区 59:21 法案的真实影响：医疗补助削减与中期选举的“甩锅”大赛 65:00 共和党的“老内核”：为何企业减税被永久化？ 73:22 马斯克成立“美国党”：撼动两党制还是政治幻想？ 74:41 财政保守，社会中间：为何马斯克的政党找不到选民？ 80:00 第三党的“宿命”：为何在美国成立新政党如此困难？ 90:45 政治抱负与商业利益：马斯克无法摆脱的政府依赖 92:05 “亿万富翁救世主”心态：马斯克的政治实验能走多远？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 An unforeseen storm is sweeping through Trump's second term. The "Epstein client list," once seen by MAGA voters as the key to a reckoning with the "deep state," has been declared "nonexistent" by Trump's own Department of Justice, instantly sparking a crisis of trust with his base. Is this a clumsy political maneuver, or a conspiracy to hide a more shocking truth? Will Attorney General Bondi be the first cabinet member to be sacrificed? Meanwhile, Republicans in Congress have powered through the landmark "One Big Beautiful Bill," making corporate tax cuts permanent while delaying cuts to social benefits like Medicaid until after the midterm elections. Is this move a victory for the traditional GOP establishment, or a strategic compromise of Trumpism? In response, Elon Musk, once briefly allied with Trump, has loudly announced the formation of the "American Party," citing his dissatisfaction with the bill's new energy policies and the ballooning fiscal deficit. Is this the beginning of a shake-up of America's two-party system, or just another billionaire's political fantasy? This episode was recorded around 10 PM ET on July 13, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/jeffrey-epstein-big-beautiful-bill-elon-musk-america-party-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:01:53 Trump's Second-Term Crisis: The "Epstein Files" Fiasco 01:05 Why Did AG Bondi "Blunder"? Why MAGA Supporters Are Furious 14:25 From Epstein to Aliens: The Unique Interests of Trump's Voters 16:41 The Main Story: Congress Passes the "One Big Beautiful Bill" 18:00 Legislative Games: Why the House "Swallowed" the Senate's More Radical Bill 26:38 "We'll Win It Back in Two Years": The New Normal of Political Apathy 35:00 A Surprise in the Bill: Why a Crackdown on Professional Gamblers? 38:29 Beyond the Bill: The GOP's Plan to Redistrict Texas 59:21 The Bill's Real Impact: Medicaid Cuts and the Midterm Blame Game 65:00 The GOP's "Old Guard" DNA: Why Corporate Tax Cuts Were Made Permanent 73:22 Musk Founds the "American Party": A Political Shake-up or Fantasy? 74:41 Fiscally Conservative, Socially Centrist: Why Musk's Party Can't Find Voters 80:00 The Fate of Third Parties: Why It's So Hard to Launch a New Party in the U.S. 90:45 Political Ambitions vs. Business Interests: Musk's Inescapable Reliance on the Government 92:05 The "Billionaire Savior" Complex: How Far Can Musk's Political Experiment Go? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. 【The Links】 https://www.wsj.com/politics/trump-jeffrey-epstein-birthday-letter-we-have-certain-things-in-common-f918d796?mod=hp_lead_pos7 Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 2025年是美国媒体行业的分水岭之年。特朗普重返白宫，不仅没有再次给媒体续命，反而加速了传统媒体的衰落，他通过诉讼、监管等多种手段深刻影响了派拉蒙等传媒巨头的商业决策，共和党也掀起了对公共广播的资金围剿。与此同时，WBD、Comcast等集团纷纷拆分传统有线电视业务，科技新贵入主好莱坞，一个旧时代正被加速终结。这期节目中，我们又请来了杨一，一起深入剖析美国媒体的未来将走向何方。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/america-media-watershed-moment-trump-transcript 【加入杨一的花园 · 会员计划】 8月31日前加入「杨一的花园 · 会员计划」，成为「联结者」，可以使用优惠码MLMH10，立享首年9折优惠。 美轮美换付费会员加入「杨一的花园」，享首年8折优惠，请登陆美轮美换网站了解兑换方式。 https://yangyigarden.com 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:38 「杨一的花园 · 会员计划」 02:23 AAJA记者年会观察：AI、创作者经济与行业变革 12:00 派拉蒙合并案中的特朗普因素与政治博弈 21:57 Colbert深夜秀的落幕与喜剧形态的演变 33:19 WBD、Comcast为何纷纷拆分有线电视业务？ 39:56 国会停止拨款，美国公共广播（NPR/PBS）何去何从？ 48:33 默多克与特朗普因《华尔街日报》报道再现裂痕 55:36 为何说2025年是美国媒体真正的分水岭？ 61:17 未来挑战：AI、“Google Zero”与创作者经济的冲击 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 杨一：旅英媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 2025 is a watershed year for the American media industry. The return of Trump to the White House, rather than reviving the media, has accelerated the decline of traditional outlets. Through litigation, regulation, and other measures, he has profoundly influenced the business decisions of media giants like Paramount, while the Republican party has intensified its campaign to defund public broadcasting. Concurrently, conglomerates such as WBD and Comcast are spinning off their traditional cable TV businesses, and new tech money is moving into Hollywood, rapidly bringing an end to an old era. In this episode, we are once again joined by Yang Yi to conduct an in-depth analysis of where the future of American media is headed. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/america-media-watershed-moment-trump-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:38 Yang Yi's Garden · Membership Program 02:23 Observations from the AAJA Convention: AI, the Creator Economy, and Industry Transformation 12:00 The Trump Factor and Political Maneuvering in the Paramount Merger Case 21:57 The End of Colbert's Late Show and the Evolution of Comedy Formats 33:19 Why Are WBD and Comcast Spinning Off Their Cable TV Businesses? 39:56 With Congress Cutting Off Funding, What's Next for America's Public Broadcasting (NPR/PBS)? 48:33 Murdoch and Trump Rift Resurfaces Over a Wall Street Journal Report 55:36 Why 2025 is the True Watershed Year for American Media 61:17 Future Challenges: The Impact of AI, "Google Zero," and the Creator Economy 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Yang Yi: Journalist based in London Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 在特朗普2.0时代，高院6比3的保守派多数已成定局。面对特朗普政府在行政权上的不断扩张和对司法独立底线的不断试探，高院是如何回应的？最高法院是美国民主的最后一道防线，还是行政权力的橡皮图章？ 本期节目中，我们与两位嘉宾复盘最高法院近期的关键判决，剖析其对美国政治与社会的深远影响。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/scotus-rulings-2025-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 03:05 高院年度盘点背景介绍：特朗普第二任期与6比3的保守派多数 05:26 批判“3-3-3”法院的说法 11:10 首席大法官罗伯茨的个人议程与困境 15:05 宪法、政策与司法审查：法院角色的理论探讨 21:27 Trump v. CASA 与出生公民权 41:01 “影子卷宗”(Shadow Docket)的兴起及其影响 46:41 影子卷宗案例：移民与行政权力案件 53:01 从高院判决看总统制与议会制的差异 64:43 LGBTQ权益与父母权利的冲突 72:48 阿里托的愤怒与杰克逊的“末日预言” 83:24 高院的未来：合法性危机与下任期展望 95:34 重新审视法院角色 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Nancy：普林斯顿大学政治学博士生，耶鲁法学院法律博士 品达：美国政治观察人士 【 What We Talked About】 In the era of Trump 2.0, a 6-3 conservative majority on the Supreme Court is a settled reality. How has the Court responded to the Trump administration's continuous expansion of executive power and its constant testing of the boundaries of judicial independence? Is the Supreme Court the last line of defense for American democracy, or a mere rubber stamp for executive authority? In this episode, we are joined by two guests to review the Supreme Court's recent key decisions and analyze their profound impact on American politics and society. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/scotus-rulings-2025-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 03:05 Background for the Supreme Court's Year in Review: Trump's Second Term and the 6-3 Conservative Majority 05:26 Critiquing the "3-3-3" Court Theory 11:10 Chief Justice Roberts's Personal Agenda and Dilemmas 15:05 Constitution, Policy, and Judicial Review: A Theoretical Exploration of the Court's Role 21:27 Trump v. CASA and Birthright Citizenship 41:01 The Rise of the "Shadow Docket" and Its Impact 46:41 Shadow Docket Cases: Immigration and Executive Power 53:01 Presidential vs. Parliamentary Systems as Seen Through Supreme Court Rulings 64:43 The Conflict Between LGBTQ Rights and Parental Rights 72:48 Justice Alito's Anger and Justice Jackson's "Doomsday Prophecy" 83:24 The Future of the Supreme Court: Legitimacy Crisis and a Look Ahead to the Next Term 95:34 Reexamining the Role of the Court 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Nancy：Princeton Politics PhD student, Yale Law School graduate Pinda：American political enthusiast 【The Links】 Trump v. CASA, Inc. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a884_8n59.pdf Department of Homeland Security v. D.V.D. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a1153_2co3.pdf Mahmoud v. Taylor https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24-297_4f14.pdf A. A. R. P. v. Trump https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a1007_g2bh.pdf Skrmetti v. United States https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/23-477_2cp3.pdf Trump v. Wilcox https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/24a966_1b8e.pdf KBJ's footnote 12 in Stanley v. City of Sanford, Florida https://abovethelaw.com/2025/06/neil-gorsuch-starts-some-supreme-court-drama-ketanji-brown-jackson-ends-it/ How the Transgender Rights Movement Bet on the Supreme Court and Lost https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/19/magazine/scotus-transgender-care-tennessee-skrmetti.html Sarah McBride on Why the Left Lost on Trans Rights https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-sarah-mcbride.html Lawless https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/Lawless/Leah-Litman/9781668054628 Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 夏天通常是美国政治新闻周期比较缓慢的季节，但今年夏天的新闻并不少。在夏天的尾巴，“特朗普病危”的谣言突然在社交媒体上传播，暴露了“老皇帝”和“新太子”的微妙关系。与此同时，一场争夺国会控制权的战争已在地图上打响。从德州共和党的坚决出手，到加州民主党的强硬反制，两党围绕选区划分展开了极限攻防。这场“以火攻火”的对决将如何收场？加州州长纽森模仿特朗普的“烂梗”战术，是奇招还是险棋？ 本期节目录制于9月1日。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/redistricting-texas-california-newsom-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 02:51 特朗普健康状况 10:52 进入本期核心——国会选区重划之争 12:04 什么是Gerrymandering？从历史起源到当代实践 15:50 “一人一票”原则的法律演进 21:49 “公平”的困境：独立委员会、党派利益与政治地理的冲突 36:11 《投票权法案》（VRA）的角色 46:31 德州战场：共和党如何通过重划选区谋求5个新增席位 53:05 加州反击：纽森领导的“以牙还牙”策略及其公投挑战 1:01:30 全国军备竞赛：两党在各州选区的未来布局与潜在战场 1:09:13 模仿还是超越？加州州长纽森的“网红”政治策略分析 1:21:25 民主党的未来路线之争：效仿特朗普还是坚持传统？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 Summer is usually a slower season for the American political news cycle, but there has been no shortage of news this summer. At the tail end of the summer, a rumor that "Trump is critically ill or dead" suddenly spread on social media, exposing the delicate relationship between the "old emperor" and the "new prince." Meanwhile, a battle for control of Congress has already begun on the electoral map. From the Texas Republican Party's move to the California Democratic Party's ountermeasures, the two parties have engaged in an extreme offense and defense over redistricting. How will this "fighting fire with fire" showdown end? Is California Governor Newsom's tactic of imitating Trump a brilliant move or a risky gamble? This episode was recorded on September 1st. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/redistricting-texas-california-newsom-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 02:51 Trump's Health Condition 10:52 The Core Topic of This Episode: The Battle Over Congressional Redistricting 12:04 What is Gerrymandering? From its Historical Origins to Modern Practices 15:50 The Legal Evolution of the "One Person, One Vote" Principle 21:49 The Dilemma of "Fairness": The Conflict Between Independent Commissions, Partisan Interests, and Political Geography 36:11 The Role of the Voting Rights Act (VRA) 46:31 The Texas Battlefield: How the Republican Party Aims to Gain 5 New Seats Through Redistricting 53:05 California's Counterattack: Newsom's "Eye for an Eye" Strategy and its Referendum Challenge 1:01:30 A Nationwide Arms Race: The Two Parties' Future Strategies and Potential Battlegrounds in State Districts 1:09:13 Imitation or Transcendence? An Analysis of California Governor Newsom's "Influencer" Political Strategy 1:21:25 The Democratic Party's Debate Over its Future Path: Imitate Trump or Stick to Tradition? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 【The Links】 If Redistricting Goes as Expected, Which Party Will Come Out Ahead? https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/31/upshot/redistricting-analysis-2026-midterms.html Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 9月10日，美国保守派青年运动领袖、TPUSA创始人查理·柯克遇刺身亡，震动全美。一个没有任何公职的“网红”，为何能成为特朗普核心圈层的“造王者”，撬动上亿美元资金，并让共和党精英、金主和普通年轻人为之倾倒？ 本期节目深入剖析查理·柯克的崛起，分析他如何将网红传播、校园组织和金主筹款融为一体，打造出独特的政治影响力机器。他的遇刺，又将如何影响特朗普主义和美国保守派运动的走向？ 本期节目录制于2025年9月13日。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/charlie-kirk-violence-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:34 查理·柯克遇刺事件回顾 03:39 柯克为何有如此大的影响力和2024年大选中的关键作用 06:30 柯克的三大核心能力：与年轻人沟通、构建组织网络、向金主筹款 09:09 TPUSA如何构建覆盖美国学校的组织网络 12:10 柯克政治对特朗普的影响和保守派内部的张力 20:07 TPUSA如何建立起校园政治网络 43:58 柯克的思想转变：从自由意志主义者到特朗普民粹主义者，再到基督教民族主义者 48:58 柯克 vs. 万斯 52:32 枪击案发生后的信息真空下的各种猜测与媒体的矛盾报道 54:20 枪手：一个被网络亚文化和游戏烂梗塑造的“extremely online”的青年 56:55 FBI局长Kash Patel的争议 1:00:52 当政治暴力成为一种“行为艺术”和“线下烂梗” 1:05:54 犹他州州长Spencer Cox的反应 1:09:04 这会是美国政治的“国会纵火案”吗？ 1:14:09 TPUSA的未来：柯克死后，这个高度依赖其个人魅力的组织能否持续？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 On September 10th, the assassination of Charlie Kirk, leader of the American conservative youth movement and founder of TPUSA, sent shockwaves across the nation. How did an 'influencer' with no public office become a 'kingmaker' in Trump's inner circle, leveraging hundreds of millions of dollars and captivating Republican elites, donors, and young people alike? This episode provides an in-depth analysis of Charlie Kirk's rise, examining how he integrated influencer-style communication, campus organizing, and major donor fundraising to build a unique political influence machine. How will his assassination impact the future of Trumpism and the American conservative movement? This episode was recorded on September 13, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/charlie-kirk-violence-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:34 A review of the Charlie Kirk assassination incident 03:39 Why Kirk had such immense influence and his key role in the 2024 election 06:30 Kirk's three core abilities: communicating with young people, building organizational networks, and fundraising from major donors 09:09 How TPUSA built an organizational network covering American schools 12:10 Kirk's political influence on Trump and the internal tensions within the conservative movement 20:07 How TPUSA established its campus political network 43:58 Kirk's ideological evolution: from a libertarian to a Trump populist, and then to a Christian nationalist 48:58 Kirk vs. Vance 52:32 The information vacuum after the shooting: various speculations and contradictory media reports 54:20 The shooter: An "extremely online" youth shaped by internet subcultures and toxic gaming memes 56:55 The controversy surrounding FBI Director Kash Patel 1:00:52 When political violence becomes a form of "performance art" and an "offline toxic meme" 1:05:54 The reaction of Utah Governor Spencer Cox 1:09:04 Could this be the "Reichstag fire" of American politics? 1:14:09 The future of TPUSA: After Kirk's death, can this organization, highly dependent on his personal charisma, survive? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 9月19日，特朗普政府突然宣布的H-1B签证的新政策在科技行业、留学生、工作签证社群中掀起滔天巨浪。高达十万美元的申请费、语焉不详的条文、朝令夕改的澄清，让无数人的职业规划与人生轨迹迅速陷入了巨大的不确定性。 当特朗普政府反移民的大刀砍向合法移民，特朗普一贯的“混乱治理”背后又有怎样的政治算计？天价“过路费”将如何重塑美国的人才竞争格局？与此同时推出的“黄金卡”又预示着怎样的未来？本期节目我们紧急解析这场H1B风暴的来龙去脉与影响。 本期节目录制于2025年9月21日。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/h1b-chaos-trump-immigration-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:30 特朗普政府H-1B新政引发的混乱和时间线 07:27 分析特朗普政府的TACO风格及其与第一任期的相似之处 08:03 探讨科技公司和马斯克在H-1B新政风波中的反应与角色 11:55 H-1B签证的起源、90年代的黄金期及后续的演变与困境 15:03 MAGA民粹派与硅谷保守派在H-1B议题上的根本冲突 16:23 为何拿H-1B开刀？分析合法移民群体在政治上的“边缘”地位 19:43 H-1B体系的滥用问题与改革的必要性 22:22 特朗普新政的“一刀切”象征意义大于实际改革 25:28 “禁穆令”判例和总统在移民事务上的巨大权力 29:02 特朗普的交易式思维 30:39 小布什、奥巴马时期综合性移民改革的历次尝试与失败 40:45 H-1B新政对留学生传统留美路径的冲击 42:13 对科技行业的冲击，初创公司与科技巨头的不同境遇 48:11 对印度、中国等移民来源国经济与人才流动的长远影响 51:39 特朗普政府的“黄金卡”项目：明码标价的移民新模式 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 游天龙：《选·美》栏目创始人之一，美国政治的资深门外汉。 【 What We Talked About】 On September 19th, the Trump administration's sudden announcement of new H-1B visa policies sent shockwaves through the tech industry, international student communities, and work visa holders. With application fees soaring to $100,000, vague and ambiguous provisions, and constantly shifting clarifications, countless people's career plans and life trajectories have been plunged into massive uncertainty. As the Trump administration's anti-immigration sword strikes at legal immigration, what political calculations lie behind Trump's signature "governance through chaos"? How will these exorbitant "toll fees" reshape America's talent competition landscape? What future does the simultaneously introduced "Golden Card" program portend? In this episode, we urgently analyze the origins and impacts of this H-1B storm. This episode was recorded on September 21, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/h1b-chaos-trump-immigration-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:30 The chaos and timeline triggered by the Trump administration's new H-1B policies 07:27 Analysis of the Trump administration's TACO style and similarities with his first term 08:03 Exploring tech companies' and Elon Musk's reactions and roles in the H-1B policy storm 11:55 The origins of H-1B visas, the golden age of the 90s, and subsequent evolution and challenges 15:03 The fundamental conflict between MAGA populists and Silicon Valley conservatives on H-1B issues 16:23 Why target H-1B? Analyzing legal immigrants' politically "marginalized" status 19:43 Abuse issues in the H-1B system and the necessity for reform 22:22 Trump's new policy: "one-size-fits-all" approach more symbolic than substantive reform 25:28 The "Muslim Ban" precedent and presidential powers over immigration matters 29:02 Trump's transactional thinking 30:39 Repeated attempts and failures at comprehensive immigration reform during the Bush and Obama eras 40:45 Impact of new H-1B policies on international students' traditional pathways to staying in the US 42:13 Impact on the tech industry: different fates for startups versus tech giants 48:11 Long-term effects on economies and talent flows of immigrant source countries like India and China 51:39 The Trump administration's "Golden Card" program: A new immigration model with explicit price tags 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 游天龙 (Tinalong You): Co-founder of iAmElection, seasoned outside observer of American politics 【拓展链接 The Links】 https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/border-crisis-immigration-reform https://shop.vistopia.com.cn/article?article_id=833225&share_uid=DjMtk https://shop.vistopia.com.cn/article?article_id=838725&share_uid=rYoKq https://theamericanroulette.com/mei-guo-h-1bxin-zheng-jiang-shen-ke-ying-xiang-zhong-mei-ke-ji-xing-ye-fa-zhan/ https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-h1b-ban/ Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 本期节目，我们与播客疲惫娇娃的主播们，聊了Ari Aster的最新电影《爱丁顿》(Eddington)——一部让人看完想骂街，但又忍不住要深度分析的作品。这位以《仲夏夜惊魂》和《遗传厄运》闻名的导演，这次把镜头对准了2020年5月疫情初期的美国小镇，用西部片的外壳包装了一个关于社交媒体如何撕裂社群的恐怖故事。Joaquin Phoenix饰演的老派警长Joe Cross和Pedro Pascal饰演的自由派市长在这个巴掌大的新墨西哥小镇展开政治对决，而真正的赢家却是那个从头到尾都面目模糊的科技巨头——他们要在这里建数据中心。我们从这部极具争议性的电影聊开去，探讨了BLM运动的社交媒体化、取消文化的游戏规则、以及阴谋论如何在小镇邻里间传播。最终发现，当所有人都在网上吵成一团的时候，真正的危机——AI和大科技公司——已经悄悄占领了现实世界。 本期节目录制于2025年9月7日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:12 - Vibe Shift：从Covid到现在的时代精神转向 03:44 - Ari Aster这一次拍了个什么片？ 07:57 - 小镇警长和自由派精英的对决导演拉偏架了吗？ 16:57 - BLM运动的社交媒体化和"good trouble"的商品化 23:34 - 社交媒体游戏规则如何让所有人"吃相难看" 35:36 - 创伤如何成为舆论场的货币 40:07 - 小蓝的"假新闻田野调查" 46:31 - 电影结局的虚无主义倾向 49:31 - "SolidGoldMagikarp"彩蛋 53:30 - AI数据中心对美国小镇的真实影响 59:24 - 艺术家有权创作"残忍"艺术吗？ 1:11:12 - 爱丁顿里的真实社会议题 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 小杨：疲惫娇娃主播 一芳：疲惫娇娃主播 小蓝：新新人类主播 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode we dove into Ari Aster's latest film "Eddington"—a movie that'll make you want to throw things at the screen, but also can't stop you from obsessively analyzing every frame. The director behind "Midsommar" and "Hereditary" sets his sights on a fictional small American town during the early pandemic chaos of May 2020, wrapping a horror story about social media tearing communities apart in Western film genre. Joaquin Phoenix's old-school sheriff Joe Cross goes head-to-head with Pedro Pascal's liberal mayor in this tiny New Mexico town, while the real winner turns out to be the faceless tech giant that's been planning to build a data center there all along. We used this deeply polarizing film to unpack everything from how BLM got weaponized on social media, to the toxic rules of cancel culture, to how conspiracy theories spread like wildfire through small-town neighbor networks. The ending is both alarming and defeatist: while everyone was busy fighting online, the real crisis—AI and Big Tech—had already quietly taken over. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:12 - Vibe Shift: Zeitgeist transformation from pandemic to now 03:44 - Film plot overview: Political showdown in a New Mexico town 07:57 - Did Ari Aster put his thumb on the scale in the fight between the sheriff and the mayor 16:57 - The social media-ization of BLM and commodification of "good trouble" 23:34 - How social media rules make everyone look bad 35:36 - How trauma becomes currency in the discourse 40:07 - Xiao Lan's "fake news field research" 46:31 - The film's nihilistic ending 49:31 - "SolidGoldMagikarp" Easter egg 52:18 - Real impact of AI data centers on American small towns 59:24 - Do artists have the right to create "cruel" art? 1:11:12 - Real social issues plaiguing today's America in "Eddington" 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小杨 (Xiao Yang): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 一芳 (Yi Fang): Host of 疲惫娇娃 CyberPink 小蓝 (Xiao Lan): Host of 新新人类 PixelPerfect The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 美国联邦政府时隔七年再度关门，这不仅是预算之争，更是两党围绕奥巴马医改补贴和行政权力的政治赌博。民主党看似手握医保这一民生王牌，民调也明显占有，为何攻势疲软？特朗普政府在《2025计划》的操盘手Russell Vought的推动下试图借机进一步削弱联邦政府，是否能成功？这场闹剧会像以往一样无疾而终？ 本期节目录制于2025年10月4日。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/2025-government-shutdown-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:00 时隔7年，美国联邦政府再次停摆 02:18 什么是政府关门？“必要”和“非必要”服务如何划分？ 05:26 从克林顿、奥巴马到特朗普时期的政府关门 09:13 提出政治要求的一方通常会失败 12:16 本次关门核心争议 13:28 两党各自的政治算盘：为何双方都觉得关门对自己有利？ 17:21 - 关门对联邦雇员和公共服务的影响 19:00 预算管理局（OMB）主任Russell Vought想借机削减联邦政府 21:52 奥巴马医改“补贴悬崖”与拜登时期加强版补贴到期问题 30:23 民主党的议题选择：从弱势的移民问题转向强势的医保问题 39:39 民主党攻势为何“雷声大雨点小”？党内分歧与领导层顾虑 42:03 共和党的反击策略：将医保问题与非法移民捆绑 53:20 关门对弗吉尼亚和新泽西州长选举的潜在影响 58:04 为何共和党不愿为预算案废除“冗长辩论”？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 The U.S. federal government has shut down again after seven years—this is not merely a budget dispute, but a political gamble between the two parties over Affordable Care Act subsidies and executive power. The Democrats seemingly hold the trump card of healthcare, a vital public concern, and polls are clearly in their favor, so why is their offensive so weak? The Trump administration, driven by Russell Vought, the mastermind behind Project 2025, is attempting to use this opportunity to further weaken the federal government—will they succeed? Will this spectacle fizzle out like previous shutdowns? This episode was recorded on October 4, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/2025-government-shutdown-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:00 After 7 years, the U.S. federal government shuts down again 02:18 What is a government shutdown? How are "essential" and "non-essential" services defined? 05:26 Government shutdowns from the Clinton, Obama, and Trump eras 09:13 The side making political demands typically loses 12:16 Core disputes in this shutdown 13:28 Each party's political calculus: Why do both sides think the shutdown benefits them? 17:21 Impact of the shutdown on federal employees and public services 19:00 OMB Director Russell Vought seeks to use this opportunity to downsize the federal government 21:52 The Affordable Care Act "subsidy cliff" and the expiration of enhanced Biden-era subsidies 30:23 Democrats' issue selection: Shifting from the weak immigration issue to the strong healthcare issue 39:39 Why is the Democrats' offensive "all bark and no bite"? Internal divisions and leadership concerns 42:03 Republican counterattack strategy: Tying healthcare to illegal immigration 53:20 Potential impact of the shutdown on Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections 58:04 Why Republicans are unwilling to eliminate the filibuster for the budget bill 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 “鸡毛秀”停播风波不仅是一场关于言论自由的攻防战，更是美国传统媒体结构性危机的集中爆发。本期节目从这起风波说起，回溯美国广播电视网与地方台独特的共生关系，以及监管机构FCC在其中扮演的角色。 当旧的秩序摇摇欲坠，新的变革也已登堂入室。我们同时将目光投向另一家传统媒体巨头CBS，探讨Bari Weiss的“空降”将给传统新闻编辑室带来怎样的颠覆性实验。一边是在旧体系内艰难挣扎的深夜秀，一边是试图从内部进行激进重塑的百年新闻部。当百年形成的媒体结构遭遇政治极化与新技术的双重冲击，传统电视的未来将走向何方？ 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/jimmy-kimmel-abc-disney-cbs-news-bari-weiss-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:40 Jimmy Kimmel因评论Charlie Kirk被ABC停播事件始末 05:05 FCC直接施压的阴影 09:10 深夜秀的历史 15:55 “末代主播”？深夜秀的商业模式危机 25:36 地方电视台巨头Sinclair和Nextstar在此次事件中的关键角色 26:19 全国广播网 (Network) 与地方加盟台 (Affiliate) 的博弈 32:43 地方媒体集团的崛起与政治倾向化（以Sinclair为例） 38:38 FCC（联邦通信委员会）的权力杠杆 49:06 FCC的内容审查边界：从“公共利益”原则的演变看政府监管的合法性 62:47 FCC主席的威胁是否违反第一修正案？ 66:59 对比特朗普与拜登政府的“Jawboning” 72:15 CEO的误判？迪士尼Bob Iger的“缓兵之计”为何失败 82:02 为何大公司在特朗普2.0时代集体“变软”？集体行动的困境 85:50 David Ellison入主派拉蒙与Bari Weiss执掌CBS新闻 90:12 Bari Weiss的挑战：新媒体“网红”能否管理好百年新闻机构？ 106:24 福克斯的“减法”策略与继承人问题的解决 109:35 传统媒体的核心价值还剩下什么？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 小华：媒体人 杨一：旅英媒体人 品达：美国政治观察人士 【 What We Talked About】 The suspension of Jimmy Kimmel Live was more than a free speech debate—it was a flare-up of the deep, structural crisis in American media. This episode unpacks that crisis, from the complex relationship between networks and local affiliates to the power of the FCC. While the old system crumbles, a radical new experiment is underway at CBS. We examine what happens when an outsider like Bari Weiss is put in charge of a traditional newsroom—a story of external pressure versus a high-stakes internal overhaul. Facing political division and technological disruption, what is the future of traditional TV? Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/jimmy-kimmel-abc-disney-cbs-news-bari-weiss-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:40 The Jimmy Kimmel Suspension: A Breakdown of the Controversy Over His Charlie Kirk Comments 05:05 The Shadow of Direct FCC Pressure 09:10 The History of Late Night 15:55 "The Final Generation"? The Business Model Crisis Facing Late Night 25:36 The Key Role of Local TV Giants Sinclair and Nextstar 26:19 The Power Struggle Between National Networks and Local Affiliates 32:43 The Rise and Politicization of Local Media Groups (The Case of Sinclair) 38:38 The FCC's Regulatory Leverage 49:06 The Limits of FCC Content Regulation: Legitimacy and the Evolving "Public Interest" Doctrine 62:47 Did the FCC Chairman's Threats Violate the First Amendment? 66:59 Comparing Government "Jawboning": Trump vs. Biden 72:15 A CEO's Miscalculation? Why Disney's Bob Iger's Delaying Tactic Backfired 82:02 Why Big Business is Bending the Knee to Trump 2.0: The Dilemma of Collective Action 85:50 New Leadership: David Ellison at Paramount & Bari Weiss at CBS News 90:12 The Bari Weiss Challenge: Can a New Media Influencer Run a Legacy News Institution? 106:24 Fox's Streamlining Strategy and the Murdoch Succession Solution 109:35 What Core Value Remains for Traditional Media? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Yang Yi: Journalist based in London Pinda：American political enthusiast Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助