【聊了什么】
9月19日，特朗普政府突然宣布的H-1B签证的新政策在科技行业、留学生、工作签证社群中掀起滔天巨浪。高达十万美元的申请费、语焉不详的条文、朝令夕改的澄清，让无数人的职业规划与人生轨迹迅速陷入了巨大的不确定性。
当特朗普政府反移民的大刀砍向合法移民，特朗普一贯的“混乱治理”背后又有怎样的政治算计？天价“过路费”将如何重塑美国的人才竞争格局？与此同时推出的“黄金卡”又预示着怎样的未来？本期节目我们紧急解析这场H1B风暴的来龙去脉与影响。
本期节目录制于2025年9月21日。
播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/h1b-chaos-trump-immigration-transcript
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合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]
【时间轴】
01:30 特朗普政府H-1B新政引发的混乱和时间线
07:27 分析特朗普政府的TACO风格及其与第一任期的相似之处
08:03 探讨科技公司和马斯克在H-1B新政风波中的反应与角色
11:55 H-1B签证的起源、90年代的黄金期及后续的演变与困境
15:03 MAGA民粹派与硅谷保守派在H-1B议题上的根本冲突
16:23 为何拿H-1B开刀？分析合法移民群体在政治上的“边缘”地位
19:43 H-1B体系的滥用问题与改革的必要性
22:22 特朗普新政的“一刀切”象征意义大于实际改革
25:28 “禁穆令”判例和总统在移民事务上的巨大权力
29:02 特朗普的交易式思维
30:39 小布什、奥巴马时期综合性移民改革的历次尝试与失败
40:45 H-1B新政对留学生传统留美路径的冲击
42:13 对科技行业的冲击，初创公司与科技巨头的不同境遇
48:11 对印度、中国等移民来源国经济与人才流动的长远影响
51:39 特朗普政府的“黄金卡”项目：明码标价的移民新模式
【我们是谁】
美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。
我们的主播和嘉宾：
王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子
小华：媒体人
游天龙：《选·美》栏目创始人之一，美国政治的资深门外汉。
【 What We Talked About】
On September 19th, the Trump administration's sudden announcement of new H-1B visa policies sent shockwaves through the tech industry, international student communities, and work visa holders. With application fees soaring to $100,000, vague and ambiguous provisions, and constantly shifting clarifications, countless people's career plans and life trajectories have been plunged into massive uncertainty.
As the Trump administration's anti-immigration sword strikes at legal immigration, what political calculations lie behind Trump's signature "governance through chaos"? How will these exorbitant "toll fees" reshape America's talent competition landscape? What future does the simultaneously introduced "Golden Card" program portend? In this episode, we urgently analyze the origins and impacts of this H-1B storm.
This episode was recorded on September 21, 2025.
Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/h1b-chaos-trump-immigration-transcript
【Support Us】
If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:
Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/
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Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]
【Timeline】
01:30 The chaos and timeline triggered by the Trump administration's new H-1B policies
07:27 Analysis of the Trump administration's TACO style and similarities with his first term
08:03 Exploring tech companies' and Elon Musk's reactions and roles in the H-1B policy storm
11:55 The origins of H-1B visas, the golden age of the 90s, and subsequent evolution and challenges
15:03 The fundamental conflict between MAGA populists and Silicon Valley conservatives on H-1B issues
16:23 Why target H-1B? Analyzing legal immigrants' politically "marginalized" status
19:43 Abuse issues in the H-1B system and the necessity for reform
22:22 Trump's new policy: "one-size-fits-all" approach more symbolic than substantive reform
25:28 The "Muslim Ban" precedent and presidential powers over immigration matters
29:02 Trump's transactional thinking
30:39 Repeated attempts and failures at comprehensive immigration reform during the Bush and Obama eras
40:45 Impact of new H-1B policies on international students' traditional pathways to staying in the US
42:13 Impact on the tech industry: different fates for startups versus tech giants
48:11 Long-term effects on economies and talent flows of immigrant source countries like India and China
51:39 The Trump administration's "Golden Card" program: A new immigration model with explicit price tags
【Who We Are】
The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.
Our Hosts and Guests:
王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information
小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer
游天龙 (Tinalong You): Co-founder of iAmElection, seasoned outside observer of American politics
【拓展链接 The Links】
https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/border-crisis-immigration-reform
https://shop.vistopia.com.cn/article?article_id=833225&share_uid=DjMtk
https://shop.vistopia.com.cn/article?article_id=838725&share_uid=rYoKq
https://theamericanroulette.com/mei-guo-h-1bxin-zheng-jiang-shen-ke-ying-xiang-zhong-mei-ke-ji-xing-ye-fa-zhan/
https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-h1b-ban/
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