【聊了什么】
夏天通常是美国政治新闻周期比较缓慢的季节，但今年夏天的新闻并不少。在夏天的尾巴，“特朗普病危”的谣言突然在社交媒体上传播，暴露了“老皇帝”和“新太子”的微妙关系。与此同时，一场争夺国会控制权的战争已在地图上打响。从德州共和党的坚决出手，到加州民主党的强硬反制，两党围绕选区划分展开了极限攻防。这场“以火攻火”的对决将如何收场？加州州长纽森模仿特朗普的“烂梗”战术，是奇招还是险棋？
本期节目录制于9月1日。
播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/redistricting-texas-california-newsom-transcript
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【时间轴】
02:51 特朗普健康状况
10:52 进入本期核心——国会选区重划之争
12:04 什么是Gerrymandering？从历史起源到当代实践
15:50 “一人一票”原则的法律演进
21:49 “公平”的困境：独立委员会、党派利益与政治地理的冲突
36:11 《投票权法案》（VRA）的角色
46:31 德州战场：共和党如何通过重划选区谋求5个新增席位
53:05 加州反击：纽森领导的“以牙还牙”策略及其公投挑战
1:01:30 全国军备竞赛：两党在各州选区的未来布局与潜在战场
1:09:13 模仿还是超越？加州州长纽森的“网红”政治策略分析
1:21:25 民主党的未来路线之争：效仿特朗普还是坚持传统？
【我们是谁】
美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。
我们的主播和嘉宾：
Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者
王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子
Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师
小华：媒体人
【 What We Talked About】
Summer is usually a slower season for the American political news cycle, but there has been no shortage of news this summer. At the tail end of the summer, a rumor that "Trump is critically ill or dead" suddenly spread on social media, exposing the delicate relationship between the "old emperor" and the "new prince." Meanwhile, a battle for control of Congress has already begun on the electoral map. From the Texas Republican Party's move to the California Democratic Party's ountermeasures, the two parties have engaged in an extreme offense and defense over redistricting. How will this "fighting fire with fire" showdown end? Is California Governor Newsom's tactic of imitating Trump a brilliant move or a risky gamble?
This episode was recorded on September 1st.
Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/redistricting-texas-california-newsom-transcript
【Support Us】
If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:
Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/
Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette
Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]
【Timeline】
02:51 Trump's Health Condition
10:52 The Core Topic of This Episode: The Battle Over Congressional Redistricting
12:04 What is Gerrymandering? From its Historical Origins to Modern Practices
15:50 The Legal Evolution of the "One Person, One Vote" Principle
21:49 The Dilemma of "Fairness": The Conflict Between Independent Commissions, Partisan Interests, and Political Geography
36:11 The Role of the Voting Rights Act (VRA)
46:31 The Texas Battlefield: How the Republican Party Aims to Gain 5 New Seats Through Redistricting
53:05 California's Counterattack: Newsom's "Eye for an Eye" Strategy and its Referendum Challenge
1:01:30 A Nationwide Arms Race: The Two Parties' Future Strategies and Potential Battlegrounds in State Districts
1:09:13 Imitation or Transcendence? An Analysis of California Governor Newsom's "Influencer" Political Strategy
1:21:25 The Democratic Party's Debate Over its Future Path: Imitate Trump or Stick to Tradition?
【Who We Are】
The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.
Our Hosts and Guests:
Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history
王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information
Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer
小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer
【The Links】
If Redistricting Goes as Expected, Which Party Will Come Out Ahead? https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/31/upshot/redistricting-analysis-2026-midterms.html
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