狗熊有话说 / BearTalk - 节目列表

435 / 世界要大变了:《原则:应对变化中的世界秩序》- The Changing World Order

435 / 世界要大变了:《原则:应对变化中的世界秩序》- The Changing World Order

狗熊有话说 / BearTalk

阅读完了瑞·达利欧的《原则:应对变化中的世界秩序》,收获的话最简单来说就三个字:唤醒感。读完后再看很多天天在微博和Twitter发生的事情,都看到了其背后的意义。**根据瑞的计算机程序预测,中美开战的可能性高达30%。细思极恐。** 具体思考过程是这本书里最宝贵的,但也很难一两句话说清,所以为了简单易记,我就直接分享书的推断和部分结论了。感兴趣的朋友,请自行阅读原书。 - 人类历史上多次发生的大国权力交替,符合大周期规律。老牌大国的地位被新兴大国取代,相应的世界货币也会交换。之前是荷兰被英国,然后是美国,现在是中国。 - 权力的交替历史上都出现了流血事件与战争。 - 美国人冲动,具备战术思维,他们为现在想要的东西而战。大多数中国人具备战略思维,他们为未来想要的东西未雨绸缪。 - 自1945年世界新秩序开始以来,在中国、苏联/俄罗斯、美国三国中间,一直是其中的两国结盟,以削弱或压倒另一国。 - 衰落的帝国倾向于投入不符合逻辑的战斗,因为任何撤退都会被视为失败。 - 应对未来就是要:(1)感知并适应正在发生的事情,即使这些事情无法预料;(2)预估可能发生的事情的发生概率;(3)充分了解可能发生的事情,以保护自己免受不可接受的伤害,即便不可能万无一失地做到这一点。 - 未来10年里,最重要的动态是短期债务/货币/经济周期(也称商业周期)、内部政治周期以及中美之间不断升级的冲突和日益降低的相互依赖。 普通人能做什么?瑞在书里也给出了一些可以操作的建议:了解所有的可能性,考虑最坏的情况,然后想办法消除无法忍受的情况。分散风险。首先考虑延迟满足而不是当下满足,与最聪明的人反复沟通。 Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/beartalk/donations Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13分钟
99+
3年前
435 / 世界要大变了:《原则:应对变化中的世界秩序》- The Changing World Order

435 / 世界要大变了:《原则:应对变化中的世界秩序》- The Changing World Order

狗熊有话说 / BearTalk

阅读完了瑞·达利欧的《原则:应对变化中的世界秩序》,收获的话最简单来说就三个字:唤醒感。读完后再看很多天天在微博和Twitter发生的事情,都看到了其背后的意义。**根据瑞的计算机程序预测,中美开战的可能性高达30%。细思极恐。**具体思考过程是这本书里最宝贵的,但也很难一两句话说清,所以为了简单易记,我就直接分享书的推断和部分结论了。感兴趣的朋友,请自行阅读原书。- 人类历史上多次发生的大国权力交替,符合大周期规律。老牌大国的地位被新兴大国取代,相应的世界货币也会交换。之前是荷兰被英国,然后是美国,现在是中国。- 权力的交替历史上都出现了流血事件与战争。- 美国人冲动,具备战术思维,他们为现在想要的东西而战。大多数中国人具备战略思维,他们为未来想要的东西未雨绸缪。- 自1945年世界新秩序开始以来,在中国、苏联/俄罗斯、美国三国中间,一直是其中的两国结盟,以削弱或压倒另一国。- 衰落的帝国倾向于投入不符合逻辑的战斗,因为任何撤退都会被视为失败。- 应对未来就是要:(1)感知并适应正在发生的事情,即使这些事情无法预料;(2)预估可能发生的事情的发生概率;(3)充分了解可能发生的事情,以保护自己免受不可接受的伤害,即便不可能万无一失地做到这一点。- 未来10年里,最重要的动态是短期债务/货币/经济周期(也称商业周期)、内部政治周期以及中美之间不断升级的冲突和日益降低的相互依赖。普通人能做什么?瑞在书里也给出了一些可以操作的建议:了解所有的可能性,考虑最坏的情况,然后想办法消除无法忍受的情况。分散风险。首先考虑延迟满足而不是当下满足,与最聪明的人反复沟通。Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13分钟
0
3年前
433 / Armando Torrealba:设计是一种意图 - Design is intention

433 / Armando Torrealba:设计是一种意图 - Design is intention

狗熊有话说 / BearTalk

Armando是一位来自智利的设计师,目前在Atlassian公司任职体验设计经理,之前他在Xero担任产品设计总监时,他曾是我的老板。他来自一个非英语母语的国家,但却在新西兰的设计界非常具有影响力,这也是我邀请他来我的播客的一个重要原因。在与他共事时,我发现他的沟通方式与对于设计的理解非常独特且深刻,希望你也可以像我一样,从这期播客中,学到很多非常有价值的思维方式。 Armando Torrealba: design is intention, find what’s your unique way to add value to your work, mindful design and tips for non-native speakers Armando Torrealba is an Experience Design Manager at Atlassian, and I worked with him while he worked at Xero as a Product Design Director. He came from Chile (as a non-native speaker) and thrives as a design leader in New Zealand, which was one of the reasons I invited him to join my podcast. While I worked with Armando at Xero, I noticed he is really great at communication, design intention and mindfulness. I’ve learned a lot from him and I believe you will get some takeaways from this podcast as well. Highlights 💡 Design is intention 💡 Think of what the value you can bring to the company helps you get confidence for design interviews 💡 Tips for non-native speakers at work 💡 Don't only consider companies with great design to work and why 💡 Mindful design and a mindful life Who is Armando Torrealba Armando Torrealba is the Experience Design Manager at Atlassian, and he has a passion for many things including(but not limited to) medication, mountain bikes, photography and hot sauce. Check his website for more details. Website: https://armandotorrealba.com// LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/armandotorrealba// 本期节目视频版地址:https://youtu.be/lXW-wMlbht4 Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/beartalk/donations Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

86分钟
99+
3年前
433 / Armando Torrealba:设计是一种意图 - Design is intention

433 / Armando Torrealba:设计是一种意图 - Design is intention

狗熊有话说 / BearTalk

Armando是一位来自智利的设计师,目前在Atlassian公司任职体验设计经理,之前他在Xero担任产品设计总监时,他曾是我的老板。他来自一个非英语母语的国家,但却在新西兰的设计界非常具有影响力,这也是我邀请他来我的播客的一个重要原因。在与他共事时,我发现他的沟通方式与对于设计的理解非常独特且深刻,希望你也可以像我一样,从这期播客中,学到很多非常有价值的思维方式。Armando Torrealba: design is intention, find what’s your unique way to add value to your work, mindful design and tips for non-native speakersArmando Torrealba is an Experience Design Manager at Atlassian, and I worked with him while he worked at Xero as a Product Design Director. He came from Chile (as a non-native speaker) and thrives as a design leader in New Zealand, which was one of the reasons I invited him to join my podcast. While I worked with Armando at Xero, I noticed he is really great at communication, design intention and mindfulness. I’ve learned a lot from him and I believe you will get some takeaways from this podcast as well.Highlights💡 Design is intention 💡 Think of what the value you can bring to the company helps you get confidence for design interviews 💡 Tips for non-native speakers at work 💡 Don't only consider companies with great design to work and why 💡 Mindful design and a mindful lifeWho is Armando TorrealbaArmando Torrealba is the Experience Design Manager at Atlassian, and he has a passion for many things including(but not limited to) medication, mountain bikes, photography and hot sauce. Check his website for more details.Website: https://armandotorrealba.com//LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/armandotorrealba//本期节目视频版地址:https://youtu.be/lXW-wMlbht4Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

86分钟
0
3年前
432 / 人生教练Ciao: Covid帮助我成为了数字游民 - A Life Coach’s expected digital nomad life

432 / 人生教练Ciao: Covid帮助我成为了数字游民 - A Life Coach’s expected digital nomad life

狗熊有话说 / BearTalk

人生教练Ciao的个人经历实在是非常丰富:在国内时就职于一线大厂,来到新西兰后也在一家顶尖的国家级智库工作,之后自己创业,成为了一位全职的人生教练。她还是一位癌症治愈者,而且是我见过最开朗的人之一。对了,她的英文好到基本像是母语一样,而且目前她的客户与生意基本是不区分国家的,这也是我邀请她来我的播客,并且用英文分享她的故事的原因。 这期节目,Ciao分享了她如何因为Covid疫情成为了一位数字游民,并开始自己人生教练职业的“数字式生意”的。另外,她也会分享几条非常实用的沟通技巧! Life Coach Ciao Chen shared her ways of working as a digital nomad travelling in China(currently) and running an international coaching business. It all started because of COVID :) Highlights 💡 Being a coach is as being a possibility enabler for others, and a coach needs to enable him/herself first. 💡 Coaching is a blessed job - I can talk to many smart people and get inspired on solving my problems, and I get paid for that! 💡 Listening is critical and the 3 levels of listening - Deep listening Who is Ciao Chen ICF registered Life Coach with 600+ coaching hours A CMW (Creating Meaningful Work) catalyst A digital nomad that lives in New Zealand and China A Vipassana meditation practitioner A cancer survivor A wisdom seeker A music, yoga and food lover Website: https://lifepotentialnz.com/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/qiaochen Links * Deep listening - The Coaching Tools Company * The Tibetan Book of Living and Dying(西藏生死书) * The Book of Life (生命之书) Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/beartalk/donations Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

65分钟
99+
3年前
432 / 人生教练Ciao: Covid帮助我成为了数字游民 - A Life Coach’s expected digital nomad life

432 / 人生教练Ciao: Covid帮助我成为了数字游民 - A Life Coach’s expected digital nomad life

狗熊有话说 / BearTalk

人生教练Ciao的个人经历实在是非常丰富:在国内时就职于一线大厂,来到新西兰后也在一家顶尖的国家级智库工作,之后自己创业,成为了一位全职的人生教练。她还是一位癌症治愈者,而且是我见过最开朗的人之一。对了,她的英文好到基本像是母语一样,而且目前她的客户与生意基本是不区分国家的,这也是我邀请她来我的播客,并且用英文分享她的故事的原因。这期节目,Ciao分享了她如何因为Covid疫情成为了一位数字游民,并开始自己人生教练职业的“数字式生意”的。另外,她也会分享几条非常实用的沟通技巧!Life Coach Ciao Chen shared her ways of working as a digital nomad travelling in China(currently) and running an international coaching business. It all started because of COVID :)Highlights💡 Being a coach is as being a possibility enabler for others, and a coach needs to enable him/herself first.💡 Coaching is a blessed job - I can talk to many smart people and get inspired on solving my problems, and I get paid for that!💡 Listening is critical and the 3 levels of listening - Deep listeningWho is Ciao ChenICF registered Life Coach with 600+ coaching hours A CMW (Creating Meaningful Work) catalyst A digital nomad that lives in New Zealand and China A Vipassana meditation practitioner A cancer survivor A wisdom seeker A music, yoga and food loverWebsite: https://lifepotentialnz.com/LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/qiaochenLinksDeep listening - The Coaching Tools CompanyThe Tibetan Book of Living and Dying(西藏生死书)The Book of Life (生命之书)Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

65分钟
0
3年前
430 / Brendan的设计播客制作之旅 - Brendan Jarvis: what I've learned from podcasting

430 / Brendan的设计播客制作之旅 - Brendan Jarvis: what I've learned from podcasting

狗熊有话说 / BearTalk

两年前,我曾经采访过一位在奥克兰制作访谈类设计播客的主播Brendan Jarvis,畅聊过关于本地的设计行业的想法与观点。这段期间,我看到他的播客一直保持着每周一期的更新,且采访的人都是全球知名的设计大咖。同样是以业余时间制作播客,他是如何做到的?我很好奇,于是我再次提出邀请,就有了这期节目。 Highlights: 💡 A better experience for guests and audience: look at the camera and active listening 💡 Be authentic or professional? 💡 How to find guests for a UX podcast? 💡 How to get the workflow organised? 💡 How to deal with “I don’t want to do it today” 💡 Tips for releasing a high-quality podcast every week? **Who is Brendan Jarvis** Brendan Jarvis is the Managing Founder and Principal Researcher of The Space InBetween - New Zealand’s only specialist evaluative UX research practice and world-class UX lab: enabling brave teams across the globe to de-risk product design, and equally brave leaders to shape and scale design culture. Website: [https://thespaceinbetween.co.nz/](https://thespaceinbetween.co.nz/) LinkedIn: [https://www.linkedin.com/in/brendanjarvis/](https://www.linkedin.com/in/brendanjarvis/) Twitter: [https://twitter.com/brendanjarvis](https://twitter.com/brendanjarvis) Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/beartalk/donations Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

61分钟
77
3年前
430 / Brendan的设计播客制作之旅 - Brendan Jarvis: what I've learned from podcasting

430 / Brendan的设计播客制作之旅 - Brendan Jarvis: what I've learned from podcasting

狗熊有话说 / BearTalk

两年前,我曾经采访过一位在奥克兰制作访谈类设计播客的主播Brendan Jarvis,畅聊过关于本地的设计行业的想法与观点。这段期间,我看到他的播客一直保持着每周一期的更新,且采访的人都是全球知名的设计大咖。同样是以业余时间制作播客,他是如何做到的?我很好奇,于是我再次提出邀请,就有了这期节目。Highlights:💡 A better experience for guests and audience: look at the camera and active listening💡 Be authentic or professional? 💡 How to find guests for a UX podcast?💡 How to get the workflow organised?💡 How to deal with “I don’t want to do it today”💡 Tips for releasing a high-quality podcast every week?**Who is Brendan Jarvis**Brendan Jarvis is the Managing Founder and Principal Researcher of The Space InBetween - New Zealand’s only specialist evaluative UX research practice and world-class UX lab: enabling brave teams across the globe to de-risk product design, and equally brave leaders to shape and scale design culture.Website: [https://thespaceinbetween.co.nz/](https://thespaceinbetween.co.nz/)LinkedIn: [https://www.linkedin.com/in/brendanjarvis/](https://www.linkedin.com/in/brendanjarvis/)Twitter: [https://twitter.com/brendanjarvis](https://twitter.com/brendanjarvis)Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

61分钟
0
3年前

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