050 | 特朗普关税风暴:草台班子的大棋?Trump's Tariff Storm: A Ragtag Crew's Grand Strategy?

【聊了什么】 特朗普在4月2日「解放日」突然宣布对全球主要贸易伙伴加征高额「对等关税」,引发金融市场剧烈动荡。在短短一周内经历了180度大转弯——对除中国外的多数国家暂停征收额外关税,但对华关税则进一步升级。 这背后究竟发生了什么?是特朗普政府深思熟虑的「一盘大棋」,旨在重塑全球贸易格局、打击特定国家?还是白宫内部不同派系——财政部、贸易鹰派(如纳瓦罗)、经济顾问(如Stephen Miran)——目标各异、甚至相互矛盾的结果?特朗普本人对关税根深蒂固的执念,与他第二任期不受约束的执政风格,又在其中扮演了什么角色? 本期节目,我们邀请了全球市场的交易员Sagar一起深入解读这场关税风暴。 本期节目录制于4月12日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴】 02:04 事件回顾:特朗普4月2日宣布「对等关税」及后续反转 04:01 关税公式背后的荒谬逻辑 07:18 特朗普对关税的长期执念 vs 第二任期的放飞自我 12:43 三盘「大棋」:财政部 vs 纳瓦罗 vs 米兰 17:09 市场反应与经济影响 24:47 特朗普的核心动机:财政压力还是个人意志? 30:00 美债市场的动荡及其影响 42:18 政治影响:国会反应、特朗普党内控制力 01:03:25 未来展望:谈判前景、多边贸易体系的挑战 01:07:01 TikTok问题与中美贸易谈判 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Sagar:全球市场交易员 【 What We Talked About】 On "Liberation Day," April 2nd, Donald Trump abruptly announced hefty "reciprocal tariffs" on major global trading partners, sending shockwaves through financial markets. Within just one week, the policy underwent a dramatic U-turn – additional tariffs were suspended for most countries except China, whose tariffs were instead escalated. What truly happened behind the scenes? Was it a calculated "grand strategy" by the Trump administration aimed at reshaping global trade and targeting specific nations? Or was it the result of conflicting, even contradictory, goals among different factions within the White House – the Treasury Department, trade hawks like Navarro, and economic advisors like Stephen Miran? What role did Trump's own deep-seated obsession with tariffs and his less constrained governing style in his second term play? In this episode, we invite Sagar, a global markets trader, for an in-depth analysis of this tariff turmoil. This episode was recorded on April 12th. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 02:04 Recap: Trump's April 2nd "Reciprocal Tariffs" & Subsequent Reversals 04:01 The Absurd Logic Behind the Tariff Formula 07:18 Trump's Longstanding Tariff Obsession vs. Second Term Unbound 12:43 Three "Grand Strategies": Treasury vs. Navarro vs. Miran 17:09 Market Reaction & Economic Impact 24:47 Trump's Core Motivations: Fiscal Pressure or Personal Will? 30:00 US Treasury Market Turmoil & Its Impacts 42:18 Political Fallout: Congressional Reaction, Trump's GOP Control 01:03:25 Future Outlook: Negotiation Prospects, Challenges to Multilateral Trade 01:07:01 The TikTok Issue & US-China Trade Talks 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Sagar: Global Markets Trader 【The Links】 https://ustr.gov/issue-areas/reciprocal-tariff-calculations https://www.hudsonbaycapital.com/documents/FG/hudsonbay/research/638199_A_Users_Guide_to_Restructuring_the_Global_Trading_System.pdf https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/04/cea-chairman-steve-miran-hudson-institute-event-remarks/ Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

69分钟
26k+
1周前

049 | 这瓜有毒×美轮美换:特朗普2.0时代的科研寒冬

【聊了什么】 本期节目由《这瓜有毒》制作,录制于3月中旬。 本期节目聚焦美国科研界在特朗普第二次执政后所面临的空前挑战。几位嘉宾分享了他们的第一手观察——从政府大规模裁员、联邦经费冻结,到频频传出的各种“关键字”审查,一连串政策变化让科研机构和高校都陷入了前所未有的混乱。 很多研究项目和人才因此停摆或外流,更令人担忧的是,部分公共卫生与基础科研项目可能因此断档,影响范围远远超出美国本土。 除了官方与学术机构的角力,本期节目还提及多位科研工作者的亲身体会。他们与主持人讨论了在经费不确定、审查规则模糊的情况下,如何调整研究方向,或者转向其他领域谋出路。这些应对方法虽然艰难,但也反映出当科研环境被政策因素扰动时,人们必须不断摸索新生存方式。 从长远来看,科研生态一旦受损,影响的绝不仅是论文发表或学术奖项,还有可能带来公共卫生、国际合作等多方面的风险。节目的核心信息是:学术界需要更多互相支持与协力,也需积极与公众保持沟通,争取让科学研究在复杂环境里依然能生根发芽。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【嘉宾介绍】 孔孔:这瓜有毒主播 Y博:药企科学家,专注于新药研发及科普创作。其微信公众号 @一个生物狗的科普小园 广受好评。 Talich:美轮美换主播,现居亚利桑那的美国政治和文化历史爱好者。 【时间轴】 02:15 初步讨论科研经费冻结 嘉宾提到 NIH、NSF 等科研机构出现的经费暂停,并分享第一手观察,说明不少研究项目无故被搁置。 07:10 裁员风波与内部混乱 大量政府部门和高校开始裁员或冻结职位,导致项目审批停摆。嘉宾们举例说明这一政策对研究人员个人与团队的冲击。 10:25 “关键字审查”的荒诞例 从 “woman”“transgender” 等词遭到过滤,到与疫苗研究及中美合作相关的项目被取消,探讨这背后可能的政治逻辑。 15:40 公共卫生的隐忧 麻疹、禽流感等疾病的防控工作也难以幸免;政府层面的信息发布与应对协调存在明显滞后风险。 21:05 高校的应对与困境 多所知名大学开始缩减博士生名额、暂停招生或项目;对年轻研究者而言,职业前景骤然受挫。 24:10 个人感受与现实选择 科研人员谈到应对策略,部分人考虑转向私营企业或跨国合作,另一些则只能等待政策走向明朗。 28:35 马斯克的角色与政府关系 马斯克在裁员和管理层面所扮演的作用,如何与特朗普政府形成强势“组合拳”,对科技产业也产生辐射影响。 33:20 长期影响:科研生态断裂与人才流失 减少科研投入可能带来的潜在代价,不仅限于美国,更会波及国际学术合作与基础研究发展。 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode was produced by 这瓜有毒 and recorded in mid-March. This episode focuses on the unprecedented challenges facing the American research community following Donald Trump’s return to power. Our guests share first-hand accounts of what they’ve witnessed—massive government layoffs, a freeze on federal funding, and increasing reports of politically driven “keyword” censorship. These policy shifts have thrown research institutions and universities into an era of chaos not seen before. Many research projects have been halted or abandoned, and researchers are leaving the field or the country altogether. Even more concerning is the potential collapse of key public health initiatives and basic science programs, with ripple effects far beyond the United States. Beyond the clash between official institutions and academia, this episode also highlights the personal experiences of scientists on the ground. In conversation with the host, they discuss how they’ve had to shift their research focus—or leave their fields entirely—amid budget uncertainty and vague, shifting censorship rules. These tough decisions reveal how deeply political interference is reshaping the scientific environment, and how researchers must continually adapt to survive. In the long run, a damaged research ecosystem affects far more than academic publications or professional accolades—it carries risks for public health, global scientific collaboration, and technological progress. The core message of this episode: the academic community must foster greater solidarity, maintain open lines of communication with the public, and continue planting the seeds of science—even in hostile soil. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 02:15 – Initial Discussion on Research Funding Freeze Guests discuss the suspension of funding from agencies like the NIH and NSF, sharing first-hand observations of research projects being stalled or canceled without explanation. 07:10 – Layoff Waves and Institutional Chaos Widespread layoffs and hiring freezes across government agencies and universities have paralyzed project approvals. Guests provide examples of how these policies have directly impacted individual researchers and teams. 10:25 – The Absurdity of “Keyword Censorship” Terms like “woman” and “transgender” have reportedly been filtered out, and projects related to vaccines or U.S.-China collaborations canceled. The guests explore the possible political motivations behind these actions. 15:40 – Public Health in Jeopardy Disease control efforts for illnesses like measles and avian flu are not spared. There are serious concerns about delays and dysfunction in how the government communicates and coordinates public health responses. 21:05 – Universities' Response and Dilemmas Prestigious universities are cutting PhD slots, pausing admissions, or shutting down programs entirely. For early-career researchers, this has suddenly upended their career prospects. 24:10 – Personal Stories and Hard Choices Researchers describe their strategies to adapt: some are shifting to private sector roles or international collaborations, while others are stuck in limbo, waiting for the political climate to stabilize. 28:35 – Elon Musk’s Role and Ties to Government Musk’s involvement in layoffs and organizational shakeups is examined, along with how his alignment with the Trump administration forms a powerful force reshaping the tech and science landscape. 33:20 – Long-Term Impact: A Broken Research Ecosystem and Talent Exodus Cuts in research investment may have long-term costs, not just for the U.S. but for global scientific cooperation and the future of foundational research. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

80分钟
13k+
2周前

048 | 币圈遇上特朗普 Crypto's Trump Card

【聊了什么】 对于加密货币了解或不了解的朋友们,相信大家都知道,特朗普在就职前夕发行了一个以自己名字命名的meme币”特朗普币”,曾一度成为全球市值最高的meme币之一,总市值一度超过100亿美元,但截至3月7日,其价格已从最高点下跌超过80%。 特朗普在竞选期间积极与支持加密货币的选民互动,并承诺就任后推出有利于加密行业的政策。从竞选期间到现在,我们见证了比特币突破10万美元大关,特朗普任命风险投资家David Sachs为加密和人工智能”沙皇”,以及最近签署行政命令建立战略性比特币储备,兑现了他竞选时的承诺。然而,随着近期股市和加密货币价格的波动,我们不禁要问:对于加密行业而言,特朗普政府究竟可靠吗?加密货币价格在3月7日延续近期颓势。这也引发了投资人对特朗普政府政策实际效果的思考。 最后向大家实话实说,参加这集播客的几个人其实都买了特朗普的meme币(羞耻脸),经历了其价格的大起大落。通过特朗普币的涨跌,我们想聊聊自己的故事,并探讨特朗普政府对加密行业的影响。 本期节目前半段录制于2月10日,补充录制于3月9日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:45 真心话时刻:我们的买币故事 20:44 币圈内部对Trump meme coin有什么反应? 29:55 Trump对于crypto的前后态度转变,从2019 Trump反对比特币到现在支持,中间发生了什么?Defi和稳定币的诞生,更多meme coin的出现 47:05 之前SEC的主席Gary Gansler对于加密货币的严厉政策 54:10 白宫的新任加密和人工智能”沙皇”David Sachs是谁?他的All-in podcast是什么? 01:13:15 补录内容:节目录完将近一个月后,Trump政府和加密圈子又有了翻天覆地的变化,更新一下最近的动向,包括分析最近白宫的建立战略性比特币储备的行政令等 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 Afra: 科技和crypto从业者,自由撰稿人,住在湾区和伦敦,个人网站: afra.work 胖花花:《研究研究》主播 【 What We Talked About】 Whether you're familiar with cryptocurrencies or not, you've likely heard that President Trump launched a meme coin bearing his own name shortly before his inauguration. "Trump Coin" rapidly became one of the world's most valuable meme coins, achieving a market cap of over $10 billion at its peak. However, by March 7th, its value had plummeted by more than 80% from the all-time high. During his campaign, Trump actively courted pro-crypto voters, promising favorable policies for the cryptocurrency industry. Since Trump's win in 2024 election, notable developments include Bitcoin surpassing the $100,000 mark, Trump's appointment of venture capitalist David Sachs as his "Crypto and AI Czar," and the recent executive order establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve—actions that align closely with his campaign promises. Yet, amidst recent volatility in both stock and crypto markets, we must ask: Is the Trump administration genuinely reliable for the crypto sector? The continued downward trend in cryptocurrency prices observed on March 7th has prompted investors to reassess the true effectiveness of the administration's crypto policies. Full disclosure: Every participant in this podcast invested in Trump's meme coin, personally experiencing its dramatic price fluctuations. Through sharing our firsthand experiences with the rise and fall of Trump Coin, we aim to examine and discuss the broader impact of the Trump administration on the cryptocurrency landscape. Note: The first half of this episode was recorded on February 10th, with additional recording completed on March 9th. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:45 Moment of Truth: Our Meme Coin Apeing Stories 20:44 Crypto Community's Reaction to Trump's Meme Coin 29:55 Evaluating Trump's Impact on the Crypto Landscape 47:05 Former SEC Chair Gary Gensler's Influence and Legacy 54:10 Who is David Sachs, the "Crypto and AI Czar"? 01:06:50 Former Crypto Critics React to Trump's Executive Order 01:13:15 Additional Content: Recent dramatic changes in the crypto landscape nearly one month after initial recording, including an analysis of Trump's executive order on a strategic Bitcoin reserve. 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Afra: a tech and crypto professional based in the Bay Area and London, as well as a freelance writer. Website: afra.work Pang Huahua: host of the “Research Research” podcast. 【The Links】 World Liberity Financial: https://www.worldlibertyfinancial.com/ All-in Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@allin Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

89分钟
8k+
1个月前

047 | 特朗普的蜜月期结束了吗?Is Trump's honeymoon over?

【聊了什么 The What】 特朗普再度就任美国总统已满50天。相比第一次入主白宫的“草台班子”,如今的特朗普2.0政府显然准备更加充分:大规模人事调动、重新洗牌众多联邦机构、DOGE对各部门“开刀”、对“深层政府”展开强势清洗……这套雷霆手段究竟将会对美国总统权力和美国政治制度带来怎样的影响?随着经济和民众情绪的变化,特朗普的蜜月算结束了吗? 【五月天购票链接】 今年3月29日,五月天成团25周年“回到那一天”演唱会将登陆拉斯维加斯忠实体育场(Allegiant Stadium)。这是五月天北美巡演的唯一一场,请记住,是唯一一场,也是华语歌手在北美开唱的最大规模和最高规格。演出将斥资千万美金打造,从巨型五球华丽舞美,到环场巴士,带你体验原汁原味的五月天魅力。 3月29日这个日子也很特别,是五月天正式成军的纪念日。从七号公园初次登场的那个三月,到拉斯维加斯五万人共享的星空,我们一起坐上时光机,穿越回忆任意门,体验一趟精彩万分的旅程,回到属于你和五月天的那一天。 无论你来自哪个国家,无论你是听着五月天歌长大的老粉,还是刚刚喜欢上他们音乐的新粉,这场演唱会,都不容错过。 请访问iemshowplace.com或Ticketmaster,或点击文案中的链接购票锁定席位。 VIP套餐还包含专属观赏区、快速通道和限量纪念礼包,值得收藏。 加入五月天,永远不会太迟。 [Copy of Mayday_25th_US+lnfo-01.jpg] https://iemshowplace.com/mayday-5525-25/ 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴】 02:32 特朗普2.0 核心:强化总统权力 04:15 “单一总统制”与行政“大清洗” 10:15 行政权或者立法权之争 17:19 马斯克的政府效率部(DOGE) 25:30 碰触“硬骨头”:农业、医保与社保 38:35 党内宫斗加剧 48:25 税改争端 53:15 民主党在野的迷茫 01:06:00 经济忧虑与民众情绪变化 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 【 What We Talked About】 Donald Trump has marked 50 days since retaking office as President of the United States. Compared to his initial "ragtag" team when he first entered the White House, the Trump administration 2.0 is evidently much better prepared: extensive personnel changes, reshuffling of numerous federal agencies, significant moves by DOGE targeting various departments, and a vigorous purge against the "deep state." How will these forceful measures reshape presidential authority and impact the American political system? With shifting economic conditions and public sentiment, is Trump's honeymoon period over? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 02:32 Trump 2.0's Core: Strengthening Presidential Power 04:15 "Unitary Executive Theory" and the Administrative "Great Purge" 10:15 The Conflict Between Executive and Legislative Powers 17:19 Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) 25:30 Tackling Tough Issues: Agriculture, Healthcare, and Social Security 38:35 Intensifying Internal Party Struggles 46:55 Tax Reform Disputes 53:15 Democratic Party’s Confusion in Opposition 01:06:00 Economic Concerns and Shifting Public Sentiment 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 【The Links】 Inside the Explosive Meeting Where Trump Officials Clashed With Elon Musk Is There Something More Radical than MAGA? JD Vance Is Dreaming It. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

90分钟
19k+
1个月前

046 | 美国会抛弃乌克兰吗?Will U.S. Abandon Ukraine?

【聊了什么 The What】 2025年2月28日,特朗普与乌克兰总统泽连斯基在白宫举行会晤时爆发的激烈冲突。原本旨在签署一项美乌矿产框架协议、推动和平进程的会谈,却变成了特朗普、万斯严厉斥责泽连斯基的电视直播翻车事件。 这场冲突对美乌关系、俄乌局势以及欧盟安全战略都会产生深远影响。我们和《研究研究》播客的主播胖花花一起讨论了这件事件和其影响。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴 The When】 02:24 电视直播冲突回顾 07:03 泽连斯基访美的背景和美乌矿产协议 11:50 特朗普2019年乌克兰“通话门”回顾 15:53 究竟是万斯从中作梗还是泽连斯基早有准备 19:30 野心家万斯上位 21:27 俄乌冲突近况 22:47 美国给乌克兰提供了多少援助 26:54 美乌关系降至冰点 30:05 特朗普为什么喜欢俄罗斯 33:31 俄罗斯付出的代价 36:30 欧洲各国态度的变化 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 胖花花:《研究研究》主播 【 What We Talked About】 On February 28, 2025, a fierce confrontation erupted during a White House meeting between President Trump and Ukrainian President Zelenskyy. What was originally intended as a televised discussion to sign a US–Ukraine minerals framework agreement and advance the peace process quickly devolved into a live broadcast debacle, with Trump and Vice President Pence harshly reprimanding Zelenskyy. This conflict will have far-reaching implications for US-Ukraine relations, the Russia-Ukraine situation, and the EU’s security strategy. We discussed this event and its impacts together with Pang Huahua, the host of the “Research Research” podcast. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 02:24 Recap of the confrontation 07:03 Background of Zelenskyy’s US Visit and the US–Ukraine mineral deal 11:50 Recap of Trump's 2019 Ukraine "Phone Call" Scandal 15:53 Was It Vance’s Meddling or was Zelenskyy already prepared? 19:30 The rise of Vance 21:27 Latest developments in the Russia–Ukraine war 22:47 How much aid has the US provided to Ukraine? 26:54 US–Ukraine relations hit rock bottom 30:05 Why does Trump favor Russia? 33:31 The price Russia has paid 36:30 Shifts in European countries 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 【The Links】 https://podcasts.apple.com/cn/podcast/%E4%BF%84%E4%B9%8C%E6%88%98%E4%BA%89%E4%B8%89%E5%91%A8%E5%B9%B4-%E6%8A%97%E4%BA%89-%E5%B9%BB%E7%81%AD%E4%B8%8E%E7%BB%88%E5%B1%80/id1487143507?i=1000695416126 https://www.reuters.com/world/norway-says-it-will-keep-supplying-fuel-us-navy-after-company-calls-boycott-2025-03-02/ Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

46分钟
25k+
1个月前

045 | 厚雪长波×美轮美换:不再自信的美国

【聊了什么 The What】 王浩岚做客雪球出品的《厚雪长波》节目,讨论特朗普2.0时代的美国。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢《美轮美换》并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 厚雪长波原文案 本期嘉宾: 王浩岚|《美轮美换》主播、美国政治爱好者、《岚目》公众号主笔 节目内容: 上周五,美国副总统万斯在欧洲发表演讲,引起轩然大波。万斯将矛头直指欧洲内部安全问题,他指出自己最担心的并非俄罗斯或中国这样的外部力量,而是来自内部的威胁——欧洲自身正在远离一些最重要、最根本的价值观,而这些价值观正是美国与欧洲共享的基础。 万斯的表态显然和美国过去的价值观距离越来越远,感觉越走越偏,现场让很多欧洲国家元首都很懵逼。再说回特朗普,在重返白宫后的这些时间里,发布了一系列可以说让我们匪夷所思的政策和言论,比如要吞并加拿大、格陵兰岛,控制巴拿马运河,甚至还要占领加沙,这两天还和普京通了电话;同时,退出世卫组织和巴黎协定、无差别加征关税、和马斯克一起搞了个政府效率部,开始了独属于美国的“广进计划”……这一系列操作下来,市场波动更大了。 新就任的美国国务卿卢比奥在X上发表的内容也吸引了我们的关注,他这样写道:“我们在特朗普总统领导下的‘美国优先’对外政策正在取得成效。我们这个半球的国家还有其他地区的国家现在都知道——‘美国优先’并不意味着‘美国唯一’。” 说是这么说,但感觉确实是“美国唯一”了。 之所以关注这些事情,还是因为美国对全球市场的影响力太强了,美联储已经让全世界闻风丧胆了,现在特朗普政府又成了最新的不确定性因素。政治经济不分家,看清美国政治,才能更好地理解美国经济的走势,从而进一步影响我们对美国市场、国内市场、全球市场的判断。 这一期的节目我们邀请到了播客节目《美轮美换 The American Roulette》的主播王浩岚,给我们上一节美国政治学的小课堂。他是美国政治学专业,对美国政治有长期的观察,同时自己也一直居住在美国东部城市,可以带给我们一些“内部”的视角。这种“美国视角”可以给我们理解美国带来更多参考意义。本期节目里会提到很多跟美国政治密切相关的名词和话题,例如:美国优先、孤立主义、门罗主义、自由主义、新自由主义、左翼、右翼、建制派、民粹主义、经济民粹主义等等,希望能够给大家带来不一样的收获。 本期剧透 02:46 中国人在美攻读美国政治学,以从内向外的全局视角看待美国政治是什么体验? 04:10 美国缘起与孤立主义:自建国以来即奉行孤立主义,远离欧洲纷争,为美国创造平和的发展条件 06:00 门罗主义:从最初强调“欧洲不干涉美洲事务”,到逐渐演变为“美洲事务由美国主导” 07:54 特朗普放话控制巴拿马运河意味什么?“对于美国毫无意义,是门罗主义的复辟” 13:10 拳打格陵兰、北吞加拿大,特朗普的领土扩张提议有哪些战略因素考量? 15:45 特朗普的政策看似扩张,实则收缩 17:32 新自由主义、传统古典自由主义、凯恩斯主义都是什么?有什么联系? 20:03 2008年金融危机是重要的转折点,宣告新自由主义理论的破灭 26:57 “MAGA”主义的核心吸引力在哪?美国人心中的“Great”是什么样? 29:45 美国正处于贫富差距拉大的时代:有资产的人过得很滋润,但没有资产很难白手起家 33:20 左派 vs. 右派,分别持什么政治理念? 43:02 50年前美国两党并非以单纯的意识形态划分,而是由复杂的历史背景和选民群体的组成决定的 52:38 美国是“民族国家”还是“普世帝国”?经济不再是区分政党的核心,社会议题才是最大的矛盾点 56:41 学历愈发成为政党立场的分水岭:民主党失去了赖以生存的工人阶级,如今更偏向精英阶层 59:53 政府效率部为何存在?保守派要的是“电锯政治”,把政府能砍的都砍掉 01:19:16 如何看待特朗普的关税立场?不仅仅是作为谈判筹码,更是出于对关税本身的信念 01:22:06 中美战略竞争中,“卡脖子”或许能实现短期压制,但也在无形中加速了全球技术的重组和自主创新的爆发 01:26:51 美国不再自信:面对内部社会分裂问题和外部全球竞争压力,美国认识到自己在全球领导地位上不再独占鳌头 收听渠道 这档节目会同步更新在雪球、小宇宙、喜马拉雅、苹果播客、B站、Youtube、Spotify 等平台,搜索节目名称就能找到我们。 创作团队 主持 / 七一 罗夏 嘉宾 / 王浩岚 封面设计 / VV 后期 / Layla 薛一鸣 关于我们 《厚雪长波》是由雪球出品的,一档和投资相关又不止于投资的节目。本节目由声湃提供品牌播客制作顾问服务。 雪球成立于2010年,从投资社区出发,现已成为极具影响的集投资交流交易于一体的在线综合财富管理平台。雪球目前已拥有超过6300万用户,聚集了国内对投资感兴趣、有见解,对权益资产接纳度较高的人群。 Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

89分钟
18k+
2个月前

044 | 特朗普重返白宫 Trump's Second Coming

【聊了什么 The What】 2025年1月20日,美国迎来了第47任总统——重返白宫的特朗普。在这个权力交接的关键72小时里,我们见证了一系列戏剧性的发展:从TikTok的生死时刻,到加沙地带的停火协议;从拜登的预防性特赦,到特朗普的加密货币发行。 本期节目,我们将解析权力交接期间和就职典礼上发生的标志性事件。特朗普新政府的首日行动展现了鲜明的"美国优先"色彩,从宣布边境紧急状态到调整移民政策,从将墨西哥湾更名为"美洲湾"的象征性举动,到对1月6日事件参与者的大规模特赦。我们一起走进这个充满混乱和变化的新时代。 本期播客录制于美国东部时间1月20日晚间,由美轮美换和看理想联合制作,欢迎在看理想订阅《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 [image.png] 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴 The When】 近期事件回溯 01:24 TikTok下线又上线是政治作秀吗? 08:01 群众对美国体制的不信任 11:50 加沙停火,是特朗普部分兑现了承诺,还是他摘了拜登的桃? 16:22 如何看拜登任前签署了一系列对家庭成员的预防性特赦? 22:08 特朗普特赦国会山事件中的一千六百名参与者 24:06 就职典礼前两天,特朗普发布新币? 特朗普就职典礼 29:00 因寒冷天气,就职典礼在国会大厦大厅里举行 30:23 为何科技公司高管们的座位相当靠前? 33:34 民主党对特朗普的各方支持度破防? 52:36 特朗普政府所代表的新的单边主义回归 55:29 “把墨西哥湾改名美国湾”,特朗普的“昭昭天命”(Manifest Destiny)是什么? 58:43 第一天政策:宣布美墨边境进入国家紧急状态;移民申请庇护的APP关停 1:00:23 特朗普在关税并没有采取特别多实质行动? 1:03:35 美国政治的“钟摆”现无疑摆向右边,什么时候会再往左吗? 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Lokin:美国法学院毕业生,即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华:媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 On January 20, 2025, Donald Trump made his historic return to the White House as America's 47th President. The crucial 72 hours surrounding this power transition witnessed a series of dramatic developments: from TikTok's fight for survival to the Gaza ceasefire agreement; from Biden's unprecedented preemptive pardons to Trump's venture into cryptocurrency. In this episode, we examine the pivotal events that marked both the transition period and the inauguration ceremony. The Trump administration's first-day actions boldly reaffirmed the "America First" agenda—ranging from declaring a national emergency at the border to overhauling immigration policies, from the symbolic renaming of the Gulf of Mexico to the "Gulf of America," to the sweeping pardons for January 6 participants. Join us as we navigate through this new era of uncertainty and transformation. This episode was recorded at 9 PM Eastern Time on January 20, 2025. The episode is co-produced by The American Roulette and Vistopia. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 Recent Events in Review 01:24 TikTok's offline-online flip: A political theater? 08:01 Growing public distrust in American institutions 11:50 Gaza ceasefire: Trump's promise fulfilled or Biden's achievement claimed? 16:22 Analyzing Biden's unprecedented preemptive pardons for family members 22:08 Trump pardons 1,600 January 6 Capitol riot participants 24:06 Trump launches cryptocurrency days before inauguration The Inauguration 29:00 Ceremony moves to Capitol Rotunda amid cold weather 30:23 Tech CEOs' front-row presence: A new power dynamic? 33:34 Democrats' surprising shift in Trump support ratings 52:36 The resurgence of unilateralism under Trump 2.0 55:29 "Gulf of America": Decoding Trump's "Manifest Destiny" 58:43 Day One executive actions: Border emergency declaration and asylum app shutdown 1:00:23 Trump's restrained approach to tariff policies 1:03:35 As the political pendulum swings right, when might it return left? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

67分钟
18k+
3个月前

043 | TikTok还能成功续命吗? Is this the end for TikTok in the US?

【聊了什么 The What】 TikTok的命运在这个周末迎来关键时刻。在美国最高法院以9-0全票支持禁令的背景下,这个拥有1.7亿美国用户的社交媒体平台警告将在1月19日停止运营。曾经力推TikTok禁令的特朗普,如今却可能成为其最大的救世主。这一切都发生在新旧政府交接的微妙时期。拜登政府表示不会在最后几天执行禁令,而特朗普团队则暗示要寻求通过行政手段保住TikTok。 在本期节目中,我们将分析这场前所未有的博弈:为什么最高法院会做出一致裁决?特朗普的态度背后有什么考量?当国会通过的法律、最高法院确认的判决可能被总统选择性执行,这又将如何影响美国的政治生态?让我们共同见证这个可能改变美国科技监管格局的重要时刻。 本期播客录制于美国东部时间1月18日中午。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴 The When】 00:20 过去几天关于TikTok禁令的最新进展以及各方反应 04:26 最高法院判决分析 05:18 最高法院为何采用中等审查标准?以及国家安全与言论自由的权衡 10:50 判决对其他"外国"科技公司的影响 13:35 TikTok为何态度如此强硬 17:05 [插播] 拜登对平权修正案的表态 20:45 Meta和扎克伯格最近的转变 23:35 特朗普对TikTok态度背后的考量 24:40 国会的态度变化 25:22 未来局势的短期和长期走向 28:47 总统拒不执行法案会成为常态吗? 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 【 What We Talked About】 TikTok reaches a critical juncture this weekend. Following the Supreme Court's unanimous 9-0 decision to uphold the ban, the social media platform—home to 170 million American users—has announced it will shut down operations on January 19. Donald Trump, who originally championed the TikTok ban, could now emerge as its ultimate savior. These developments are unfolding during a sensitive transition period between administrations. While the Biden administration has declared it won't enforce the ban in its final days, the incoming Trump team has indicated it will seek administrative measures to keep TikTok operating in the US. In this episode, we'll examine this unprecedented situation: What led to the Supreme Court's unanimous ruling? What are the calculations behind Trump's changing position? And when congressional legislation and Supreme Court decisions face potential selective enforcement by the president, how might this reshape America's political landscape? Join us as we witness a pivotal moment that could transform the future of tech regulation in the United States. This episode was recorded at noon Eastern Time on January 18, 2025. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:20 Latest developments on the TikTok ban and stakeholder reactions 04:26 Analyzing the Supreme Court decision 05:18 The Supreme Court's use of intermediate scrutiny: Balancing national security and First Amendment rights 10:50 Implications of the ruling for other "foreign" tech companies 13:35 Behind TikTok's assertive response 17:05 Biden's statement on the Equal Rights Amendment 20:45 Meta and Zuckerberg's recent strategic shift 23:35 Understanding Trump's position on TikTok 24:40 Evolution of Congressional attitudes 25:22 Short-term developments and long-term implications 28:47 Will presidential non-enforcement of laws become a precedent? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 【拓展链接】 新新人类播客 https://pixelperfect.typlog.io/ Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

31分钟
19k+
3个月前

042 | 卡特的政治遗产 The legacy of Jimmy Carter

【聊了什么 The What】 卡特以美国历史上最长寿总统的身份离世。在本期节目中,我们深入分析了这位“外来者”总统:从他早年在佐治亚州的政治崛起,到1976年以局外人之姿赢下大选;从他与国会复杂的互动关系,到其充满争议的总统任期。 为什么卡特会被称为美国第一位新自由主义总统?他那些在当时备受质疑的外交决策,为何在今天被认为富有远见?面对能源危机和高通胀,卡特政府的应对措施为何屡屡受挫?在民主党从新政联盟向新自由主义转型的过程中,这位来自南方的政治家又扮演了怎样的角色?让我们通过这期节目重新认识这位被过度符号化和简单化的美国总统。 本期节目由美轮美换和看理想联合制作,欢迎在看理想订阅《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 [image.png] 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴 The When】 00:30 美国国会众议院举行议长选举,共和党议员迈克·约翰逊(Mike Johnson)以218票赞成的投票结果成功连任 11:31 卡特:历史转折中的领导人?历史转折期的复杂政治遗产探讨 20:05 卡特的政治生涯与1976年总统大选分析 42:47 内政:入住白宫,依然是局外人?外来者的形象和政治理念 47:58 卡特与里根政策风格对比及卡特执政的得失分析 01:04:49 外交:成就与困境,从戴维营协议到人质危机 01:23:28 1980年美国大选卡特因何败选? 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 【 What We Talked About】 Jimmy Carter has passed away as America's longest-living president. In this episode, we examine the legacy of this "outsider" president: from his early political rise in Georgia to his unexpected victory in the 1976 election; from his complicated relationship with Congress to his contentious presidency. Why is Carter considered America's first neoliberal president? How did his once-controversial foreign policy decisions come to be seen as visionary? What led to the Carter administration's repeated setbacks in addressing the energy crisis and inflation? What role did this Southern politician play as the Democratic Party shifted from the New Deal Coalition to neoliberalism? Join us as we reassess this often oversimplified and misunderstood American president. This episode is co-produced by The American Roulette and Vistopia. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:30 U.S. House Speaker Election: Republican Mike Johnson Re-elected with 218 Votes 11:31 Jimmy Carter: Leadership in a Time of Transition - Examining His Complex Legacy 20:05 From Georgia to the White House: Carter's Rise and the 1976 Presidential Election 42:47 An Outsider in Washington: Carter's White House Years and Political Philosophy 47:58 Contrasting Styles: Carter vs. Reagan - Assessing the Carter Presidency 01:04:49 Foreign Policy Legacy: From the Camp David Accords to the Iran Hostage Crisis 01:23:28 The 1980 Election: Understanding Carter's Defeat 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 【拓展链接】 https://ishare.ifeng.com/c/s/v004ahhs-_3oAWdGcK0oqyOmyRTEiRHFSY-_BKFrGGWk8SziU__ Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

91分钟
9k+
3个月前

041 | 特朗普的抽象内阁 Trump Cabinet picks and major White House appointments

【聊了什么 The What】 我们在这期节目中深入探讨特朗普组建的新内阁团队和其他核心成员,涵盖了幕僚长、安全团队、外交团队、经济团队、司法团队、移民团队、医疗卫生团队等各个领域的人选及其背景分析。同时还讨论了内阁成员的确认流程、休会任命等相关制度问题。 本期节目由美轮美换和看理想联合制作,欢迎在看理想订阅《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 [image.png] 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴 The When】 00:52 为何这次进入速度这么快? 09:33 上届特朗普政府核心团队本次基本上都不在了? 10:45 与上届相比,本届内阁成员总体印象如何? 16:24 白宫办公厅主任人选分析 23:33 安全团队成员讨论 33:28 内阁成员的资质问题如何纳入考虑? 42:46 外交团队人选探讨 52:16 经济团队组建分析 01:08:13 司法团队人选讨论 01:17:07 移民和医疗卫生团队探讨 01:28:17 「政府效率部」(DOGE)的特殊安排 01:42:42 政党转型期的人事选择 01:45:56 内阁成员确认流程解析 01:50:34 休会任命制度探讨 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 小华:媒体人 Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 向杨:芝加哥大学社会学博士候选人,b站up"向杨Alan君" 【 What We Talked About】 In this episode, we conducted an in-depth analysis of Trump's proposed new cabinet appointees and other core team members, examining the nominations and backgrounds across various departments including the Chief of Staff, national security team, diplomatic corps, economic team, Department of Justice, immigration officials, and health services leadership. We also explored the institutional processes involved in cabinet confirmation procedures and recess appointments. This episode is co-produced by The American Roulette and Vistopia. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:52 What accounts for the accelerated transition pace this time? 09:33 Examining the absence of previous Trump administration core team members 10:45 Comparing overall cabinet composition with the previous administration 16:24 White House Chief of Staff 23:33 Examining the national security team composition 33:28 How are qualifications being weighted in cabinet selections? 42:46 Analysis of diplomatic team appointments 52:16 Formation and structure of the economic team 01:08:13 Review of Department of Justice appointments 01:17:07 Analysis of immigration and health services leadership 01:28:17 Special structure of the "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE) 01:42:42 Personnel decisions during party transformation 01:45:56 Understanding the cabinet confirmation process 01:50:34 Examining the mechanics of recess appointments 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 向杨:PhD candidate in Sociology at the University of Chicago, Bilibili creator “向杨Alan君” 【拓展链接】 https://theamericanroulette.com/trump-cabinet-members-introduction/ Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

114分钟
18k+
4个月前

番外 | 马斯克的主角光环破灭了吗?Is Elon Musk the antihero of Silicon Valley?

【聊了什么The What】 本集是友台《新新人类 Pixel Perfect》的节目,欢迎大家在各个平台收听并关注这档新播客 如果要在2024年这个节点提名硅谷现在最有影响力也最具争议性的人物,应该很少有人能和伊隆·马斯克竞争。无论是他创立的特斯拉、spacex等公司,还是他在收购社交媒体推特以后所做的一系列出格动作,和最近的保守转向,都让他稳稳坐在硅谷话题榜的首位。 这个毁誉参半的超级科技领袖是一个充满矛盾的人。爱他的人认为他是硅谷的救世主,一位真正不受当今世界思想定式和传统规训的天才。但恨他的人觉得他是一个冲动,自私,厌女和狂妄的小丑。但不管他到底是哪一个,不可否认的是马斯克已经超越了普通的商业人物和科技领袖,成为了一个职业公众人物,也是我们这个时代被大众津津乐道的神话和隐喻。 马斯克到底是一个什么样的人?我们应该怎样评价他?从他的传记,新闻作品和对掌控自己叙事的迷恋中,我们能看到今天硅谷的哪些不满?在本期节目中。新新人类的三位主播安蕤,马修和一闻与嘉宾Afra一起,试图在这些扑朔迷离的叙事中看到这位超级科技偶像的底色。 If we had to name the most influential and controversial figure in Silicon Valley in 2024, few would come close to Elon Musk. Whether it's through companies he founded, like Tesla and SpaceX, or the series of bold moves he made after acquiring the social media platform Twitter, followed by his recent conservative shift, Musk firmly holds the top spot on Silicon Valley’s list of talking points. This larger-than-life tech leader is a bundle of contradictions. Supporters see him as the savior of Silicon Valley, a true genius who’s unafraid to break free from conventional thinking. But critics argue that he’s impulsive, selfish, misogynistic; an arrogant clown. Whichever side you’re on, there’s no denying Musk has gone beyond being just another business mogul — he’s become a public figure, a myth, and a kind of cultural metaphor for our times. What kind of person is Musk, really? How should we assess him? What can we learn about Silicon Valley’s current discontents from his biographies, the media coverage, and his obsession with controlling his own narrative? In this episode, Anrui, Matthew, and Yiwen — along with guest Afra, attempt to peel back the layers of mystique around Musk, to uncover the essence of his character. 【时间轴 The When】 04:20 天才还是疯子:马斯克形象的两面性 20:04 从PayPal到SpaceX:马斯克的商业帝国如何建立 36:28 推特收购案:神话开始破碎的转折点 54:28 硅谷的政治转向与马斯克的右倾 01:18:31 反思"马斯克主义":技术精通但心智未成熟的时代 04:20 The controversial perception of Musk 20:04 From PayPal to SpaceX 36:28 Twitter acquisition: when the myth began to crumble 54:28 Is Elon leading a right shift of silicon valley’s political ideology 01:18:31 Reflecting on “Muskism” 【我们是谁 Who We Are】 新新人类是一档由几个与互联网一起长大的新生代科技记者主持的播客,致力于站在中美交汇点上,解读全球科技潮流与人文的交织。 * 马修:一个网瘾晚期的全职养猫人 * 杜安蕤:一个想当裁缝的科技/文化撰稿人 * 一闻:一个对地铁比手机更上瘾的记者 * Afra:一个科技行业从业者 【拓展链接 The Links】 Elon Musk by Walter Issacson 中文版:《埃隆·马斯克传》沃尔特·艾萨克森著 ,刘佳琦译,中信出版社 The Surreal Case of a CIA Hacker’s Revenge - Patrick Radden Keefe Character Limit by Kate Conger & Ryan Mac The X-Man – Jill Lepore 【支持我们 Please Support Us】 如果喜欢这期节目并愿意支持我们: * 海外用户:patreon.com/c/pixelperfect_xxrl * 海内用户:afdian.com/a/pixelperfectpod * 商务合作邮箱:[email protected] If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: * Those Abroad: patreon.com/c/pixelperfect_xxrl * Those in China: afdian.com/a/pixelperfectpod * Business Inquiries Email: [email protected] Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

85分钟
10k+
4个月前

040 | 美国参众两院选举结果分析 Breaking Down the U.S. Congressional Election Results

【聊了什么 The What】 特朗普虽横扫七大摇摆州,共和党拿下两院的控制权,但共和党在众议院国会层面的优势远不及预期。在本期节目中,我们深入分析了这场选举中各方势力的消长:从加州缓慢的计票过程引发的制度争议,到约翰逊议长面临的党内挑战:从拉丁裔选民的投票取向之谜,到民主党在州级选举中的表现。 面对微弱的众议院优势和复杂的参议院政治生态,共和党能否顺利推进特朗普的政策议程?各州最高法院选举和地方政治格局的变化,又将如何影响未来的政治版图? 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去: 欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目: https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter,可以加入会员社群,参加会员活动,并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱:[email protected] 【时间轴 The When】 00:22 概述2024年两院选举结果 01:24 为什么加州等地计票速度如此缓慢? 10:35 总统选举结果和参众两院结果的差异 21:30 特朗普内阁提名对国会席位的影响 23:45 约翰逊议长的前景及新众议院规则 31:37 新的共和党周期开始了吗? 42:07 探讨卢比奥离任后,德桑蒂斯对佛罗里达参议员任命的选择 46:15 参议院选情及共和党的结构性优势 53:19 参议院共和党和特朗普之间的关系 1:10:40 地方和州一级选举结果及其影响 01:21:40 即将到来的补选和2025年州长选举 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾: 王浩岚:美国政治爱好者,岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Talich:美国政治和文化历史爱好者 寄馀生:比较政治爱好者 【 What We Talked About】 Despite Trump's sweep of all seven swing states and Republican control of both chambers, their margin in the House proved far narrower than expected. In this episode, we delve into the shifting dynamics of this election: from controversies surrounding California's prolonged vote counting to Speaker Johnson's challenges within his party; from the enigma of Latino voting patterns to Democratic performance in state elections. With a precarious House majority and a complex Senate landscape ahead, can Republicans effectively advance Trump's policy agenda? How will state Supreme Court elections and evolving local political dynamics reshape America's political terrain? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:22 Overview of the 2024 Congressional election results 15:10 Why is vote counting so slow in California and other states? 35:25 Gap between presidential election results and Congressional outcomes 40:40 Impact of Trump's cabinet nominations on Congressional seats 45:50 Speaker Johnson's prospects and new House rules 52:30 Has a new Republican cycle begun? 1:03:50 DeSantis's options for Florida Senate appointment after Rubio's departure 1:08:45 Senate landscape and Republican structural advantages 1:14:20 Relationship between Senate Republicans and Trump 1:30:40 State and local election results and their implications 1:41:40 Upcoming special elections and 2025 gubernatorial races 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich:Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 寄馀生(Ji Yusheng): Comparative politics enthusiast Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

99分钟
10k+
4个月前
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