【聊了什么】 2025年是美国媒体行业的分水岭之年。特朗普重返白宫，不仅没有再次给媒体续命，反而加速了传统媒体的衰落，他通过诉讼、监管等多种手段深刻影响了派拉蒙等传媒巨头的商业决策，共和党也掀起了对公共广播的资金围剿。与此同时，WBD、Comcast等集团纷纷拆分传统有线电视业务，科技新贵入主好莱坞，一个旧时代正被加速终结。这期节目中，我们又请来了杨一，一起深入剖析美国媒体的未来将走向何方。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/america-media-watershed-moment-trump-transcript 【加入杨一的花园 · 会员计划】 8月31日前加入「杨一的花园 · 会员计划」，成为「联结者」，可以使用优惠码MLMH10，立享首年9折优惠。 美轮美换付费会员加入「杨一的花园」，享首年8折优惠，请登陆美轮美换网站了解兑换方式。 https://yangyigarden.com 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:38 「杨一的花园 · 会员计划」 02:23 AAJA记者年会观察：AI、创作者经济与行业变革 12:00 派拉蒙合并案中的特朗普因素与政治博弈 21:57 Colbert深夜秀的落幕与喜剧形态的演变 33:19 WBD、Comcast为何纷纷拆分有线电视业务？ 39:56 国会停止拨款，美国公共广播（NPR/PBS）何去何从？ 48:33 默多克与特朗普因《华尔街日报》报道再现裂痕 55:36 为何说2025年是美国媒体真正的分水岭？ 61:17 未来挑战：AI、“Google Zero”与创作者经济的冲击 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 杨一：旅英媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 2025 is a watershed year for the American media industry. The return of Trump to the White House, rather than reviving the media, has accelerated the decline of traditional outlets. Through litigation, regulation, and other measures, he has profoundly influenced the business decisions of media giants like Paramount, while the Republican party has intensified its campaign to defund public broadcasting. Concurrently, conglomerates such as WBD and Comcast are spinning off their traditional cable TV businesses, and new tech money is moving into Hollywood, rapidly bringing an end to an old era. In this episode, we are once again joined by Yang Yi to conduct an in-depth analysis of where the future of American media is headed. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/america-media-watershed-moment-trump-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:38 Yang Yi's Garden · Membership Program 02:23 Observations from the AAJA Convention: AI, the Creator Economy, and Industry Transformation 12:00 The Trump Factor and Political Maneuvering in the Paramount Merger Case 21:57 The End of Colbert's Late Show and the Evolution of Comedy Formats 33:19 Why Are WBD and Comcast Spinning Off Their Cable TV Businesses? 39:56 With Congress Cutting Off Funding, What's Next for America's Public Broadcasting (NPR/PBS)? 48:33 Murdoch and Trump Rift Resurfaces Over a Wall Street Journal Report 55:36 Why 2025 is the True Watershed Year for American Media 61:17 Future Challenges: The Impact of AI, "Google Zero," and the Creator Economy 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Yang Yi: Journalist based in London Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 一场始料未及的风暴正席卷特朗普的第二任期。曾被MAGA选民寄予厚望、用以清算“深层政府”的“爱泼斯坦客户名单”，却被特朗普自己的司法部宣告“不存在”，瞬间引爆其基本盘的信任危机。这究竟是一次拙劣的政治操作，还是一场旨在掩盖更惊人真相的阴谋？司法部长邦迪会成为第一个被献祭的内阁成员吗？ 与此同时，共和党在国会强力通过了标志性的“大而美法案”，将企业减税永久化，却把对医疗补助等福利的削减推迟到了中期选举之后。这一系列操作背后，是传统共和党建制派的胜利，还是特朗普主义的策略性妥协？ 作为回应，曾与特朗普短暂结盟的马斯克，因不满法案中的新能源政策和财政赤字问题，高调宣布成立“美国党”。这究竟是撼动美国两党政治的开始，还是又一个亿万富翁的政治幻想？ 本期节目录制于2025年7月13日美国东部时间晚间10点左右。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/jeffrey-epstein-big-beautiful-bill-elon-musk-america-party-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:01:53 特朗普第二任期的首个大危机：“爱泼斯坦文件”风波始末 01:05 司法部长邦迪为何“犯错”？MAGA支持者为何愤怒？ 14:25 从爱泼斯坦到外星人：特朗普选民的独特关注点 16:41 进入正题：国会通过“大而美法案” 18:00 立法博弈：为何众议院直接“吞下”了更激进的参议院版本？ 26:38 “过两年我们就赢回来了”：美国政治“摆烂心态”的新常态 35:00 法案里的“惊喜”：为何要对职业赌徒的税收下重手？ 38:29 “大而美法案”之外的战场：共和党计划在德州重划选区 59:21 法案的真实影响：医疗补助削减与中期选举的“甩锅”大赛 65:00 共和党的“老内核”：为何企业减税被永久化？ 73:22 马斯克成立“美国党”：撼动两党制还是政治幻想？ 74:41 财政保守，社会中间：为何马斯克的政党找不到选民？ 80:00 第三党的“宿命”：为何在美国成立新政党如此困难？ 90:45 政治抱负与商业利益：马斯克无法摆脱的政府依赖 92:05 “亿万富翁救世主”心态：马斯克的政治实验能走多远？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 An unforeseen storm is sweeping through Trump's second term. The "Epstein client list," once seen by MAGA voters as the key to a reckoning with the "deep state," has been declared "nonexistent" by Trump's own Department of Justice, instantly sparking a crisis of trust with his base. Is this a clumsy political maneuver, or a conspiracy to hide a more shocking truth? Will Attorney General Bondi be the first cabinet member to be sacrificed? Meanwhile, Republicans in Congress have powered through the landmark "One Big Beautiful Bill," making corporate tax cuts permanent while delaying cuts to social benefits like Medicaid until after the midterm elections. Is this move a victory for the traditional GOP establishment, or a strategic compromise of Trumpism? In response, Elon Musk, once briefly allied with Trump, has loudly announced the formation of the "American Party," citing his dissatisfaction with the bill's new energy policies and the ballooning fiscal deficit. Is this the beginning of a shake-up of America's two-party system, or just another billionaire's political fantasy? This episode was recorded around 10 PM ET on July 13, 2025. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/jeffrey-epstein-big-beautiful-bill-elon-musk-america-party-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:01:53 Trump's Second-Term Crisis: The "Epstein Files" Fiasco 01:05 Why Did AG Bondi "Blunder"? Why MAGA Supporters Are Furious 14:25 From Epstein to Aliens: The Unique Interests of Trump's Voters 16:41 The Main Story: Congress Passes the "One Big Beautiful Bill" 18:00 Legislative Games: Why the House "Swallowed" the Senate's More Radical Bill 26:38 "We'll Win It Back in Two Years": The New Normal of Political Apathy 35:00 A Surprise in the Bill: Why a Crackdown on Professional Gamblers? 38:29 Beyond the Bill: The GOP's Plan to Redistrict Texas 59:21 The Bill's Real Impact: Medicaid Cuts and the Midterm Blame Game 65:00 The GOP's "Old Guard" DNA: Why Corporate Tax Cuts Were Made Permanent 73:22 Musk Founds the "American Party": A Political Shake-up or Fantasy? 74:41 Fiscally Conservative, Socially Centrist: Why Musk's Party Can't Find Voters 80:00 The Fate of Third Parties: Why It's So Hard to Launch a New Party in the U.S. 90:45 Political Ambitions vs. Business Interests: Musk's Inescapable Reliance on the Government 92:05 The "Billionaire Savior" Complex: How Far Can Musk's Political Experiment Go? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. 【The Links】 https://www.wsj.com/politics/trump-jeffrey-epstein-birthday-letter-we-have-certain-things-in-common-f918d796?mod=hp_lead_pos7 Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 在上一期的节目中，我们讨论了刚刚赢得民主党纽约市长初选的新生力量马姆达尼。我们在播客中也提到，如果马姆达尼能够在11月击败其他候选者，成为纽约市长的话，将不可避免地要和州长、市议会、州议会、NYPD等等多方势力和利益团体打交道，来实现自己的承诺，也不可避免的要进行妥协。马姆达尼在竞选中喊出了要实现纽约公交免费的目标，如果要实现这一目标，就需要和掌管纽约地铁、公交和通勤铁路的纽约大都会运输署，也就是MTA打交道。 纽约作为的全球最知名的大都会、全美最大城市，却承载着一套“老旧且脆弱”的公共交通基础设施。技术和资金壁垒固然是常见的制约因素，但这座城市独特的制度基因才是影响基建发展的关键。 在这期番外节目中，嘉宾罗雨翔就从纽约地铁为什么这么烂讲起，分析了纽约城市发展背后的政治与经济。这期番外播客剪辑于第214期纽约文化沙龙的录音，由罗雨翔于2025年4月13日主讲。罗雨翔此前也做过另一期和纽约相关的节目《纽约的房价到底为什么这么高？》，两期播客都发布在我们的友台《选修课》上，也欢迎大家前去收听，并关注这档播客。 如果你对这期节目内容感兴趣，请关注主讲人罗雨翔的新书《创造大都会——纽约空间与制度观察》！国内各大平台均有销售（淘宝、当当、京东），海外用户请使用这个链接购买。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 * 00:02:00 纽约的地铁为何如此糟糕？基础设施背后的政治经济学 * 00:09:09 从电影《小丑》看纽约地铁问题的历史渊源 * 00:11:54 政府预算里的“两本账”如何影响了城市基建？ * 00:12:48 地铁运营权转移给州政府背后的政治经济学博弈 * 00:20:45 拉瓜迪亚机场为何没有地铁快线？社区利益与公共项目的冲突 * 00:25:14 环境保护法如何导致公共建设效率降低？ * 00:35:38 纽约街道规划如何成就了城市的宜居性？ * 00:39:56 “曼哈顿网格规划”的历史意义与经济逻辑 * 00:49:11 “商业改进区”如何推动纽约街区建设？ * 00:58:04 “公共与私人合作”模式的优势与隐患 【我们是谁】 选修课 Universus 是一档分享和探讨泛文化话题的中文播客，脱胎于2013年创办的纽约文化沙龙。 我们力求引发对学科方法和视角的认知和思考，而不仅仅是知识的传递。我们在组织活动的过程中积累了一些经验和人脉，尝试打造成年人的博雅教育，并在播客中拓展这样的探索。我们希望审视和反抗无意识的价值规训与随波逐流。我们希望冷酷地剖析自己的偏见，热忱地拥抱多元视角。我们希望去工具化，真诚地感知、理解、创造自己的生活和复杂的世界。我们追随原初的好奇而非代餐式的猎奇。话题可以轻松，方法力求严肃。在《选修课》里，我们互相映照，唤醒失落的维度。 主播： 老赵：理论物理学博士，软件工程师，纽约文化沙龙组织者。 主讲： 罗雨翔：美国注册城市规划师，哈佛大学与伦敦政治经济学院建筑与经济双硕士。现居纽约，参与以及主持北美20余地区的地产开发、区域经济政策与公共领域投资项目。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode dives into an intriguing paradox: New York City, a globally renowned metropolis with robust finances, yet burdened by an aging and fragile subway system. American certified urban planner Yuxiang Luo guides us through the intricate political and economic logic underlying the city's infrastructure issues. From budgetary mechanisms and political negotiations between state and city governments to the pros and cons of public participation systems, we realize infrastructure problems are far more than mere technical or financial issues—they're complex entanglements of institutions, history, and power dynamics. Several thought-provoking questions arise during the discussion: Why is New York, despite its significant financial resources, unable to efficiently invest in its infrastructure? Why does subway management lie in the hands of the state rather than the city government? How can small interest groups exert outsized influence over significant public projects? Is this model protecting public welfare, or is it the fundamental cause behind the inefficiency and high costs of public construction? Is the New York model of public-private cooperation genuinely innovative, or does it carry deep institutional flaws? If you find this episode interesting, please check out our speaker Luo Yuxiang‘s new book 《创造大都会》! 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 * 00:02:00 Why is New York’s subway system so bad? The political economy behind infrastructure * 00:09:09 Tracing the historical roots of NYC’s subway problems through the movie "Joker" * 00:11:54 How do the government’s “two budgets” impact urban infrastructure? * 00:12:48 The political-economic game behind transferring subway management to state government * 00:20:45 Why doesn’t LaGuardia Airport have a direct rail link? Conflicts between community interests and public projects * 00:25:14 How does environmental law reduce efficiency in public construction? * 00:35:38 How did New York’s street planning contribute to the city’s livability? * 00:39:56 Historical significance and economic logic of the Manhattan grid plan * 00:49:11 How do Business Improvement Districts promote neighborhood development in NYC? * 00:58:04 Advantages and pitfalls of the public-private partnership model 【Who We Are】 选修课 Universus is a Chinese-language podcast created by the same people who founded the New York Chinese Cultural Salon (纽约文化沙龙）in 2013. The past decade of organizing events and talks put us in a position of creating a sort of liberal arts education experience for those who have left school. We strive to go beyond merely transmitting knowledge to reflecting on complex topics using cross-disciplinary perspectives. We strive to resist conformity, to dissect our own biases, and to embrace diverse schools of thought. Our goal is to help professionals resist becoming just a tool of production, and to understand the world around us in earnest. We let our genuine curiosity be our guide. With a light-hearted tone, we approach each topic seriously. We hope that “选修课 Universus” creates a space to explore lost dimensions. Hosted by: Lao Zhao: PhD in Theoretical Physics, software engineer, and organizer of the New York Cultural Salon. Guest: Luo Yuxiang: U.S. Registered Urban Planner, holding dual master's degrees in Architecture and Economics from Harvard University and the London School of Economics. Currently residing in New York, he has participated in and led over 20 real estate development, regional economic policy, and public domain investment projects across North America. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 在纽约市长民主党初选中，名不见经传的33岁州议员佐赫兰·马姆达尼（Zohran Mamdani）以惊人的胜利击败了前州长库默（Andrew Cuomo），震惊了美国政坛。马姆达尼是一位自我认同的“民主社会主义者”，他的崛起不仅可能让他成为这个全球金融中心的第一位社会主义者市长，也标志着美国进步派运动取得了历史性的胜利。 从讨论“餐车通胀”（Halalflation），到娴熟地运用各种新媒体策略，Mamdani如何在短短数月内从民调个位数迅速攀升，赢得了这场看似不可能的选战？他提出的冻结租金、全民学前班等政策，在纽约这个贫富差距巨大的城市中获得了怎样的回响？当进步派的理想主义遇上纽约错综复杂的政治现实，他又将面临怎样的挑战？ 本期节目中，我们与身在布鲁克林的嘉宾小钟一起，深入剖析的马姆达尼的崛起之路，探讨这场选举背后纽约市的阶级、种族和代际政治变迁。 更正： 1. 播客中提到AOC赢得初选为8年前，实际上是7年前 2. 播客中引用了《纽约时报》的分析，提到18-24岁是初选中比例最大的群体，但此数据在录制之后进行了更正，显示25-34岁的选民所占比例更高。 播客文字稿（付费会员专享）：https://theamericanroulette.com/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-cuomo-transcript 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 06:17 精英家庭出身的“草根”候选人马姆达尼 11:00 马姆达尼与AOC的相似之处 15:20 “社会主义者”标签的背后 17:33 Mamdani如何靠社交媒体赢得选战？ 25:31 谁在支持Mamdani？ 28:43 对变革的渴望：为何选民抛弃建制派？ 33:38 前州长库默为何输掉选举？ 45:07 马姆达尼的政策蓝图与可行性分析 51:17 理想主义 vs. 政治现实：马姆达尼执政将面临的挑战 57:37 进步派市长的执政困境 01:08:18 马姆达尼如何应对反犹指控 01:17:49 民主党与进步主义的未来与挑战 01:25:22 11月市长选举展望 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 小钟：布鲁克林居民 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【 What We Talked About】 In the New York City Democratic mayoral primary, a little-known 33-year-old State Assemblyman, Zohran Mamdani, defeated former Governor Andrew Cuomo in a stunning upset victory, sending shockwaves through the American political establishment. Mamdani, a self-described 'democratic socialist,' whose rise not only positions him to potentially become the first socialist mayor of the global financial capital but also marks a historic victory for the American progressive movement. From discussing "Halalflation" to adeptly using a range of new media strategies, how did Mamdani, in just a few short months, surge from single digits in the polls to win a race that once seemed impossible? How did his proposals, such as a rent freeze and universal pre-K, resonate in a city marked by a vast wealth gap? And when progressive idealism meets the complex political realities of New York, what challenges lie ahead for him? In this episode, we're joined by our guest Zhong, who is based in Brooklyn, to do a deep dive into Mamdani's rise and discuss the shifting dynamics of class, race, and generational politics in New York City that this election has brought to the forefront. Corrections: 1. In the episode, we mention that AOC's primary win was eight years ago. This was a slip of the tongue; it was actually seven years ago. 2. The episode references a New York Times analysis indicating that the 18-24 age group was the largest demographic in the primary. This data was subsequently updated after our recording, showing that the 25-34 age group actually had a higher turnout. Podcast Transcript (Paid Subscribers Only): https://theamericanroulette.com/zohran-mamdani-nyc-mayor-cuomo-transcript 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 06:17 Zohran Mamdani: A "Grassroots" Candidate with Elite Roots 11:00 The Parallels Between Mamdani and AOC 15:20 Unpacking the "Socialist" Label 17:33 How Mamdani Leveraged Social Media to Victory 25:31 Who is Backing Mamdani? 28:43 A Hunger for Change: Why Voters Abandoned the Establishment 33:38 Why Former Governor Cuomo Lost 45:07 Mamdani's Policy Blueprint and Its Feasibility 51:17 Idealism vs. Reality: The Governing Challenges for Mamdani 57:37 The Governing Dilemma for Progressive Mayors 01:08:18 How Mamdani Navigates Accusations of Antisemitism 01:17:49 The Future of the Progressive Movement within the Democratic Party 01:25:22 Looking Ahead to the November Mayoral Election 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 小钟（Xiao Zhong）：Brooklyn resident The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助