【聊了什么】
民主党全国代表大会在8月19日到22日于芝加哥联合中心“胜利召开”。在本期播客中，我们和嘉宾向杨讨论了党代会的整体氛围，对整个大会进行了回顾，并和上个月共和党的大会做对比。我们也分析了哈里斯在演讲和竞选中的策略选择，并展望了未来两个月选举中可能出现的变数。
本期节目由美轮美换和看理想联合制作，欢迎在看理想订阅《美国大选与世界转向》节目。
【支持我们】
如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/
欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372
合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]
【时间轴】
04:01 党代会气氛如何？民主党对危机管理格外重视？
08:48 巴以问题在党代会中被淡化
17:11 美国党代会逐渐远离“开放”，靠近模范化？
23:04 围绕特朗普展开的共和党党代会，前领导人都未出席
31:24 共和党邀请众多工人代表、劳工领袖参会
36:38 演讲顺序，有按照“黄金时间”规划吗？
43:13 党代会对两党支持率有什么影响
48:24 部分民调预测哈里斯领先于特朗普，该如何看待？
0:59:10 党代会上，哈里斯更多喊口号少提具体政策，是一种策略吗？
1:18:00 接下来，决定大选走向的最大变数是什么？特朗普犯错还是哈里斯犯错？
【我们是谁】
美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。
我们的主播和嘉宾：
王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子
Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者
曹起曈：青椒，政治行为研究者
向杨：芝加哥大学社会学博士候选人，b站up“向杨Alan君”
【 What We Talked About】
The Democratic National Convention was held at the United Center in Chicago from August 19 to 22. In this episode, we sit down with our guest, Xiang Yang, to unpack the convention's vibe, key moments, and how it stacked up against the RNC last month. We also analyze Harris's strategic choices in her acceptance speech and her campaign, and forecast the potential game-changers in the final stretch to Election Day.
This program is jointly produced by The American Roulette and Vistopia. Subscribe to "The U.S. Election and Global Shifts" program on Vistopia for more insights.
【Support Us】
If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:
Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/
Support us on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette
Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]
【Timeline】
04:01 What's the vibe at the convention? Is the Democratic Party paying extra attention to crisis management?
08:48 The Israel-Palestine issue downplayed at the convention
17:11 Are U.S. party conventions moving away from "openness" and towards normalization?
23:04 RNC centered around Trump, with former leaders absent
31:24 RNC invited worker representatives and labor leaders to the convention
36:38 Is there a "prime time" strategy for the speech order?
43:13 How do the conventions impact the approval ratings of both parties?
48:24 Some polls show Harris leading Trump - how should we interpret this?
59:10 Harris focuses more on slogans and less on specific policies - is this a strategy?
1:18:00 What's the biggest wildcard - a Trump misstep or a Harris blunder?
【Who We Are】
The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.
Our Hosts and Guests:
王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information
Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history
曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School
向杨：PhD candidate in Sociology at the University of Chicago, Bilibili creator “向杨Alan君”
【拓展链接】
向杨Alan君 https://space.bilibili.com/495979610/
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