【聊了什么】
本期播客的主题是，如何像一个竞选专家一样看大选出票。
美国大选将在周二举行，周二晚上就开始出票。这期节目，我们来聊聊的唱票和出票过程，为什么有的州出票快，有的州出票慢，有的州先出支持民主党的票，有的州先出支持共和党的票，有的州会半夜扔出天量选票，有的州出票会像挤牙膏一样。外行看热闹，内行看门道，如何从出票的过程中早早就看出今年大选的走势，把握本次大选的动向。
【支持我们】
如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去：
欢迎在看理想订阅收听《美国大选与世界转向》节目： https://www.vistopia.com.cn/detail/372
也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/
会员可以收到每周2-4封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。
合作投稿邮箱：[email protected]
【时间轴】
00:00:42 周六 Ann Selzer 的艾奥瓦民调的指导意义
00:21:39 如何看大选投票
00:25:47 佛罗里达
00:42:17 佐治亚
00:46:57 北卡
00:51:37 宾夕法尼亚
00:56:49 密歇根
01:01:14 威斯康星
01:05:59 新罕布什尔和弗吉尼亚
01:07:59 亚利桑那
01:15:22 内华达
01:27:15 在哪里看大选的实时播报
01:30:37 结语
【我们是谁】
美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。
我们的主播和嘉宾：
王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子
Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者
【 What We Talked About】
America heads to the polls this Tuesday. When the votes start rolling in, can you read the returns like a campaign pro, war room style?
In this episode, we’ll talk about the vote-counting process: why do some states report results faster than others? What explains the “blue mirages” and “red mirages” in different jurisdictions? Why do certain states suddenly release a large number of votes in the middle of the night, and why others release results in a slow, steady trickle? For those who know what to look for, the vote-counting process reveals key insights into the election’s direction.
【Support Us】
If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:
Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io
Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette
Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected]
【Timeline】
00:00:42 How to understand Ann Selzer’s IA poll last Saturday
00:21:39 What to watch for on election night
00:25:47 Florida
00:42:17 Georgia
00:46:57 North Carolina
00:51:37 Pennsylvania
00:56:49 Michgan
01:01:14 Wisconsin
01:05:59 New Hampshire and Virginia
01:07:59 Arizona
01:15:22 Nevada
01:27:15 Where to watch latest update on election
01:30:37 Relax, it’s just another election
【Who We Are】
The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.
Our Hosts and Guests:
王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information
Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast
【拓展链接】
https://theamericanroulette.com/2024-us-election-swing-states-overview/
https://theamericanroulette.com/ann-selzer-iowa-final-poll-harris-lead/
王浩岚的微信公众号《岚目》https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/U9ZrOClRrgjj0nn1DX2FTg
端传媒实时更新 https://theinitium.com/article/2024-us-election-live-blog
https://apnews.com/projects/election-results-2024/
https://www.nytimes.com/article/election-2024-results-needle.html
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