美轮美换 The American Roulette - 节目列表

【聊了什么 The What】 这是一场纽约Same Room华语播客节线下录制的节目！ 这期节目，老纽约客美轮美换主播Lokin、城市传说主播罗雨翔和纽约漫谈录的欧阳斌，给新纽约客起朱楼宴宾客主播大卫翁和唠点纽约嗑主播杨蒙恩，，奉上含金量极高的纽约生存Tips：从如何通过Housing Connect网站抽取租金稳定的『福利房』，到美股AI热潮下的资产配置陷阱；从地铁逃票的法律风险，到应对种族歧视的真实报案经验，到华人社区的凝聚力差异，和长岛通勤的省钱小窍门。 This is a live recording from the Same Room Chinese-Language Podcast Festival in New York!In this episode, veteran New Yorkers Lokin, host of The American Roulette 美轮美换, Luo Yuxiang, host of Urban Myths 城市传说, and Ouyang Bin of Bin on the Bank 纽约漫谈录 offer newly minted New Yorkers David Weng, host of 起朱楼宴宾客, and Yang Meng'en, host of Loud in NY 唠点纽约嗑, a treasure trove of high-value New York survival tips: from winning rent-stabilized "affordable housing" through the Housing Connect lottery, to asset-allocation traps amid the US stock market's AI frenzy; from the legal risks of subway fare evasion, to real-life experience filing police reports over racial discrimination, to differences in cohesion across Chinese immigrant communities, and money-saving tricks for the Long Island commute. 【时间轴 The When】 * 03:42 - 第一代移民命题：100个咖啡计划与身份焦虑 * 06:40 - 纽约的好处：无论你是谁，总有群体能托住你 * 08:44 - 现实的骨感：美国梦滤镜下的OPT与H1B关卡 * 13:15 - 职场奇遇：从波士顿大巴面试到进入纽约市政府 * 22:20 - 文化输出：米兰达权利与美国价值观的全球影响 * 31:26 - 34街的变革：社区如何与政府合作保留公共空间 * 36:51 - 纽约的人才红利：为何在这里更容易认识有趣的人 * 43:48 - 法律视角下的租客权利保护与eviction流程 * 47:30 - AI泡沫讨论：盯紧OpenAI这个行业“脆弱点” * 54:45 - 避雷分享：不要迷信社交媒体上的“黑白大厨”餐厅 * 72:08 - 结尾彩蛋：长岛火车的买票精算与1美元苏打水攻略 * 03:42 - The first-generation immigrant question: the "100 coffees" plan and identity anxiety * 06:40 - What's great about New York: whoever you are, there's a community to catch you * 08:44 - Harsh reality: the OPT and H1B gauntlet behind the American Dream filter * 13:15 - Career adventures: from a Boston bus interview to landing a job in NYC government * 22:20 - Cultural export: Miranda rights and the global influence of American values * 31:26 - Change on 34th Street: how communities work with government to preserve public space * 36:51 - New York's talent dividend: why it's easier to meet interesting people here * 43:48 - Tenant rights and the eviction process, from a legal perspective * 47:30 - The AI bubble debate: watch OpenAI, the industry's "weak point" * 54:45 - What to avoid: don't fall for "Culinary Class Wars" restaurants hyped on social media * 72:08 - Closing bonus: LIRR ticket-buying math and the $1 soda hack 【我们是谁 The Who】 选修课 Universus 是一档分享和探讨泛文化话题的中文播客，脱胎于2013年创办的纽约文化沙龙。 我们力求引发对学科方法和视角的认知和思考，而不仅仅是知识的传递。我们在组织活动的过程中积累了一些经验和人脉，尝试打造成年人的博雅教育，并在播客中拓展这样的探索。我们希望审视和反抗无意识的价值规训与随波逐流。我们希望冷酷地剖析自己的偏见，热忱地拥抱多元视角。我们希望去工具化，真诚地感知、理解、创造自己的生活和复杂的世界。我们追随原初的好奇而非代餐式的猎奇。话题可以轻松，方法力求严肃。在《选修课》里，我们互相映照，唤醒失落的维度。 选修课 Universus is a Chinese-language podcast created by the same people who founded the New York Chinese Cultural Salon (纽约文化沙龙）in 2013. The past decade of organizing events and talks put us in a position of creating a sort of liberal arts education experience for those who have left school. We strive to go beyond merely transmitting knowledge to reflecting on complex topics using cross-disciplinary perspectives. We strive to resist conformity, to dissect our own biases, and to embrace diverse schools of thought. Our goal is to help professionals resist becoming just a tool of production, and to understand the world around us in earnest. We let our genuine curiosity be our guide. With a light-hearted tone, we approach each topic seriously. We hope that “选修课 Universus” creates a space to explore lost dimensions. 【买咖啡 Please Support Us】 如果喜欢这期节目并愿意想要给我们买杯咖啡： * 打赏平台：www.patreon.com/universuspod * 商务合作邮箱：[email protected] If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: * 打赏平台: www.patreon.com/universuspod * Business Inquiries Email: [email protected]

【聊了什么】 有人真的死了，有人消失近一个月后出来证明自己还活着，还有人虽然活着，政治生命却已经结束。本期从林赛·格雷厄姆突然去世、麦康奈尔的健康疑云和 Graham Platner 因性侵指控退选聊起，盘点华盛顿这个夏天的死人、活人和“政治死人”。 我们也讨论格雷厄姆留下的权力真空、美国国会的老人政治、民主党候选人接连出现的丑闻，以及 ICE 执法如何影响缅因州和德州选情。后半段转向重新升级的伊朗战争、霍尔木兹海峡控制权和特朗普提出的20%通行费，最后聊到他为何在中期选举前重新炒作2020年选举舞弊。 本期节目录制于7月18日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:20 林赛·格雷厄姆突然去世 08:21 从反特朗普到核心盟友：格雷厄姆的政治遗产 13:39 妹妹接班：南卡参议院席位如何继承 20:54 麦康奈尔“还活着”与国会老人政治 29:03 Graham Platner：从民主党新星到政治死亡 33:23 候选人审查与进步派的政治素人困境 39:52 ICE 枪击事件如何进入缅因州选战 44:56 Ruben Gallego 的竞选资金与桃色丑闻 52:06 伊朗战火重燃，停火备忘录为何失效 58:49 美国会不会用武力打开霍尔木兹海峡 01:01:57 特朗普的“海峡守护者”与20%通行费 01:05:48 特朗普重提2020年选举舞弊 01:11:45 战争拨款、国会票数与中期选举 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 Someone actually died, someone resurfaced after nearly a month to prove he's still alive, and someone else is alive but politically finished. This episode starts with Lindsey Graham's sudden death, the health mystery surrounding Mitch McConnell, and Graham Platner's withdrawal from his race over sexual assault allegations — a rundown of Washington's summer of the dead, the living, and the politically dead. We also discuss the power vacuum Graham leaves behind, gerontocracy in Congress, the string of scandals hitting Democratic candidates, and how ICE enforcement is shaping the races in Maine and Texas. The second half turns to the re-escalating war with Iran, control of the Strait of Hormuz and Trump's proposed 20% transit fee, and finally why he's reviving 2020 election fraud claims ahead of the midterms. This episode was recorded on July 18. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:20 Lindsey Graham's sudden death 08:21 From Trump critic to core ally: Graham's political legacy 13:39 A sister succeeds: how South Carolina's Senate seat gets passed down 20:54 McConnell is "still alive" — and the gerontocracy in Congress 29:03 Graham Platner: from rising Democratic star to political death 33:23 Candidate vetting and progressives' political-outsider problem 39:52 How an ICE shooting entered Maine's Senate race 44:56 Ruben Gallego's campaign finances and sex scandal 52:06 War with Iran reignites: why the ceasefire memorandum collapsed 58:49 Would the U.S. use force to reopen the Strait of Hormuz? 01:01:57 Trump's "Strait Guardian" plan and the 20% transit fee 01:05:48 Trump revives 2020 election fraud claims 01:11:45 War appropriations, the votes in Congress, and the midterms 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 美国250岁了。特朗普政府给它过生日的方式包括：把林肯纪念堂的倒影池刷成国旗蓝（然后看着藻类卷土重来、油漆片片剥落），在肯尼迪中心门口挂上"特朗普"三个字（如今盖在施工围布后面），以及在白宫南草坪架起UFC八角笼（比赛办在总统80岁生日当天）…… 本期录制于7月2日、独立日前夕。我们追问三个问题：谁在给美国过生日？谁拥有美国历史的解释权？谁是美国人？ 一辆开了250年的老爷车，正站上历史的分水岭。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:42 谁在给美国过生日，怎么过？ 16:29 谁出钱、谁办事：企业赞助、隐形成本与三套大庆班子 31:27 谁拥有美国历史的解释权？ 1:00:41 老爷车开了250年：世界最古老政权的奇迹与政治周期 1:09:45 谁是美国人？出生公民权案惊险过关 1:32:38 美国的"苏伊士时刻"？250岁与摇晃的国际秩序 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Lokin：美国法学院毕业生，纽约诉讼律师 【What We Talked About】 America turns 250. The Trump administration's idea of a birthday party: painting the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool flag-blue (then watching the algae return and the paint peel away), putting "Trump" on the Kennedy Center's façade (now hidden behind construction wrap), and raising a UFC octagon on the White House South Lawn (with the fight held on the president's 80th birthday)... Recorded on July 2, on the eve of Independence Day, this episode asks three questions: Who is throwing America's birthday party? Who gets to interpret American history? And who counts as an American? After 250 years on the road, the old car has arrived at a historical watershed. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:42 Who's Throwing America's Birthday Party — and How? 16:29 Who Pays, Who Runs the Show: Corporate Sponsors, Hidden Costs, and Three Competing Committees 31:27 Who Gets to Interpret American History? 1:00:41 250 Years on the Road: The Miracle and Political Cycles of the World's Oldest Surviving Government 1:09:45 Who Counts as an American? Birthright Citizenship's Narrow Escape 1:32:38 America's "Suez Moment"? Turning 250 in a Teetering World Order 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our hosts and guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 6月12日，美国商务部以国家安全为由，限制 Anthropic/Claude 最新模型 Mythos 5 和 Fable 5 向外国人开放。随后，Anthropic 将这两个刚刚发布、被视为公司最强能力代表的模型全线下架。一个 AI 产品更新，为什么会突然变成国家安全事件？所谓“外国人不能用”，又如何影响到整个 AI 行业？ 本期我们从技术层面解释大语言模型的“护栏”：它为什么需要拒绝回答某些问题，为什么护栏太低会带来安全风险，护栏太高又会误伤正常科研和普通用户。Anthropic 一直主张 AI 监管，但当政府真的出手，监管又立刻变成出口管制、国籍边界、法律灰色地带和政治表态问题。 我们也把讨论推到更大的层面：Anthropic 的价值观、AI 公司与军方合作、硅谷加速主义者的反应、开源模型和 AI 安全之间的矛盾，以及特朗普和桑德斯都提到过的 AI 国有化、主权基金和全民分红。AI 不只是技术产品，也正在成为国家安全、文化战争、劳动力市场和人类社会未来秩序的一部分。 【推广】 我们和Superlinear Academy合作，为听众争取到了AI基础课程的优惠，使用专属折扣码购买可享受4-5折。 购买链接：coding.ai-builders.com 折扣码：美元购买MLMH，人民币购买MLMHY 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:13 Claude 最新模型被限，Anthropic 全线下架 05:23 技术、政治与意识形态如何交织 05:52 什么是大模型“越狱”和“护栏” 12:37 亚马逊、安全人员与模型漏洞举报 14:01 政府与 Anthropic 各执一词的罗生门 21:47 Anthropic 为什么主动呼吁 AI 监管 23:15 出口管制：美国能否限制外国人使用模型 30:12 Anthropic 的价值观、国家安全和军方合作 41:34 禁令会不会削弱美国 AI 的领先优势 43:40 硅谷加速主义者为何为 Anthropic 被锤叫好 45:03 白宫内部权力变化与 AI 政策走向 49:07 用户数据、文化战争与开源模型争议 53:12 从公司自律到国家入股：AI 巨头国有化想象 54:17 AI 冲击劳动力市场之后，社会如何分配红利 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 曹起曈：青椒，政治行为研究者 主播和嘉宾的言论不代表其所在机构或其雇主的观点。 【What We Talked About】 On June 12, the U.S. Commerce Department restricted access to Anthropic/Claude’s latest models, Mythos 5 and Fable 5, for foreign nationals on national security grounds. Anthropic then took both newly released models, widely seen as the company’s most capable systems, offline for all users. How did an AI product update suddenly become a national security incident? And how does a rule that “foreigners cannot use it” affect the entire AI industry? In this episode, we explain the technical side of large language model “guardrails”: why models need to refuse certain requests, why guardrails that are too weak can create safety risks, and why guardrails that are too strict can interfere with legitimate research and ordinary users. Anthropic has long advocated for AI regulation, but once the government actually intervenes, regulation immediately turns into a question of export controls, national boundaries, legal gray areas, and political signaling. We also broaden the discussion to Anthropic’s values, AI companies’ cooperation with the military, reactions from Silicon Valley accelerationists, the tension between open-source models and AI safety, and proposals raised by both Trump and Sanders around AI nationalization, sovereign wealth funds, and public dividends. AI is no longer just a technology product; it is becoming part of national security, the culture war, the labor market, and the future order of human society. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:13 Claude’s latest models are restricted, and Anthropic takes them offline 05:23 How technology, politics, and ideology become entangled 05:52 What “jailbreaking” and “guardrails” mean for large language models 12:37 Amazon, security researchers, and reports of model vulnerabilities 14:01 The competing narratives from the government and Anthropic 21:47 Why Anthropic has actively called for AI regulation 23:15 Export controls: can the U.S. restrict foreigners from using AI models? 30:12 Anthropic’s values, national security, and cooperation with the military 41:34 Will the ban weaken America’s lead in AI? 43:40 Why Silicon Valley accelerationists are cheering Anthropic’s troubles 45:03 Shifting power inside the White House and the future of AI policy 49:07 User data, culture-war politics, and the open-source model debate 53:12 From corporate self-regulation to state ownership: imagining AI nationalization 54:17 After AI disrupts the labor market, how should society share the gains? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our hosts and guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School The views expressed by the host and guests do not represent the opinions of their employers or any affiliated institutions. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 本期我们请来《翻转体育》主播Hualun，一起聊即将在美国、墨西哥和加拿大举行的世界杯。但这不是一期预测谁会夺冠的节目，而是借世界杯看美国：一个全球化程度最高的体育赛事，进入美国之后，会怎样撞上美国式的基础设施、城市规划、体育商业和政治现实？ 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:29 雷暴、酷暑与美国基础设施的第一道考题 03:36 橄榄球场改足球场：人工草皮与球员体验 06:14 MetLife Stadium：纽约决赛为什么在新泽西 07:57 豪华球场之外，美国交通有多抽象 10:18 停车场国家如何承办世界杯决赛 13:15 天价球票、抽签和二级市场 21:31 美资进入欧洲足球，美国元素越来越重要 24:46 美国足球的崛起，以及它离欧洲主流还有多远 27:33 特朗普政府、旅行限制和远征球迷的麻烦 30:20 当政治人物开始表演“球迷身份” 36:31 MLS、梅西效应与美国足球能否真正出圈 45:21 不靠谱夺冠预测 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 Hualun：《翻转体育》主播 【What We Talked About】 In this episode, we are joined by Hualun, host of 泛转体育, for a conversation with Xiao Hua and Harry Wang about the upcoming World Cup in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. But this is not really a prediction episode about who will win. Instead, we use the World Cup as a lens to look at the United States: what happens when one of the most globalized sporting events runs into American infrastructure, urban planning, sports business, and politics? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:29 Thunderstorms, summer heat, and the first infrastructure test 03:36 Converting NFL stadiums for soccer: turf, grass, and player experience 06:14 MetLife Stadium: why the New York final is actually in New Jersey 07:57 Luxury stadiums and America’s transportation problem 10:18 How does a parking-lot country host a World Cup final? 13:15 Sky-high ticket prices, lotteries, and the resale market 21:31 American capital enters European football 24:46 The rise of U.S. soccer, and how far it still is from Europe’s mainstream 27:33 The Trump administration, travel restrictions, and visiting fans 30:20 When politicians perform their identities as sports fans 36:31 MLS, the Messi effect, and whether U.S. soccer can truly break through 45:21 Tournament favorites: Spain, France, Argentina, or England? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our hosts and guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Hualun: Host of 《翻转体育》 Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

Same Room 纽约华语播客节 [10d7def8-6910-4376-a668-f3db943695f3.webp] 纽约文化沙龙致力于拓展线下活动的公共性。我们主张众说纷纭而非整齐划一；我们拥抱多元视角而非标准答案。我们审视和反抗无意识的价值规训与随波逐流；我们冷酷地剖析自己的偏见，热忱地唤醒失落的维度。我们邀请每一颗寻找意义的心灵进入这个空间，真诚地感知、言说、倾听、理解。 这也是中文播客在这几年带给我们的力量之源。我们习惯于在异步时空中，独自聆听那些散落全球的美好中文——他们记录大时代、解构流行文化、观察城市与政治、想象参与世界的新方法……我们赞叹于那些独特的观点，并且渴望回应与共鸣。 于是我们决定：让这些声音在同一个空间回响。我们邀请来自 11 个播客的 12 位主播，从录音室出来，走进同一个房间，带着自己的叙事与视角，用声波碰撞，激荡出一个丰饶的公共声场。我们也邀请你，放下耳机，走进房间，成为塑造这个声场的在场者。 参与主播： 《起朱楼宴宾客》大卫翁 《疲惫娇娃》小杨 《美轮美换》Lokin 《城市传说》罗雨翔 《行星酒馆》东尼 《唠点纽约嗑》Rachel 47 / 杨蒙恩 《纽约漫谈录》欧阳斌 《残言片语》仁慈 / 伊如 《硅谷 101》/《新新人类》一闻 《选修课》老赵 活动形式： 三场对话，每场一小时。具体分组与话题会在未来公布。 时间：2026-06-14 周日 2-6 PM 地点：Cooper Union Rose Auditorium 地址：41 Cooper Sq, New York, NY 10008 报名链接：https://luma.com/1ver2cyw 【聊了什么】 本期我们请杨一回到节目，从 CBS《60分钟》一周之内的大清洗和 Scott Pelley 被解雇聊起。一个仍然赚钱、仍有收视率、仍是美国新闻界殿堂级的节目，为什么会突然陷入公开内战？Bari Weiss、Nick Bilton、Paramount/Skydance 并购以及Paramount和WBD合并、特朗普政府与 FCC 审查，又怎样共同构成了这场风波背后的权力结构？ 我们也回顾《60分钟》的历史：Don Hewitt 如何把杂志叙事、明星记者和好莱坞式戏剧感带进电视新闻；它是怎样成为美国电视新闻的神话，又怎样影响中国观众对外媒和调查报道的想象。我们也讨论了在流媒体、算法和 AI 时代，这套电视新闻神话还能撑多久。 我们同时还聊了最近发生在美国网络媒体界的大新闻——BuzzFeed被收购和Vox Media旗下New York Magazine、Vox.com和Vox Media Podcast Network被Jame Murdoch部分收购，这部分内容将在《去现场》播出，欢迎关注《去现场》收听更多内容。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 02:02 CBS《60分钟》大清洗与 Scott Pelley 被解雇 09:27 为什么《60分钟》被视为美国新闻业的“大教堂” 13:22 Bari Weiss、Paramount 与 CBS 新权力结构 17:37 萨尔瓦多监狱报道被叫停：纸媒思维误入电视台 20:17 《60分钟》为何能成为殿堂级节目 21:22 Don Hewitt 如何创造电视新闻杂志 31:32 好莱坞叙事、明星记者与调查报道的黄金时代 35:22 烟草调查与《60分钟》的新闻理想神话 38:52 《60分钟》与中国 51:47 《60分钟》在 CBS 内部的特殊地位 55:52 《60分钟》的模式还能撑多久 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 杨一：旅欧媒体人，播客《去现场》主播 【 What We Talked About】 In this episode, Yang Yi returns to the show as we begin with a week of turmoil inside CBS’s 60 Minutes: a sweeping purge of senior staff and the firing of Scott Pelley. How did a program that is still profitable, still watched, and still regarded as one of the great institutions of American journalism end up in open internal war? And how do Bari Weiss, Nick Bilton, the Paramount/Skydance and Paramount/WBD merger, the Trump administration, and FCC scrutiny together shape the power structure behind this crisis? We also look back at the history of 60 Minutes: how Don Hewitt brought magazine-style storytelling, star correspondents, and a Hollywood sense of drama into television news; how the show became a myth of American TV journalism; and how it shaped Chinese audiences’ imagination of foreign media and investigative reporting. We also ask how much longer this model of television news can survive in the age of streaming, algorithms, and AI. We also discussed two major recent developments in American digital media: the acquisition of BuzzFeed, and James Murdoch’s partial acquisition of New York Magazine, Vox.com, and the Vox Media Podcast Network under Vox Media. That part of the conversation will be released on 去现场. Follow 去现场 for more. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:00 Opening note: this episode and the On the Ground preview 02:02 The purge at CBS’s 60 Minutes and the firing of Scott Pelley 09:27 Why 60 Minutes is seen as a “cathedral” of American journalism 13:22 Bari Weiss, Paramount, and the new power structure at CBS 17:37 The pulled El Salvador prison segment: when print-media thinking enters television 20:17 How 60 Minutes became an institution 21:22 How Don Hewitt created the TV news magazine 31:32 Hollywood storytelling, star correspondents, and the golden age of investigative TV 35:22 The tobacco investigation and the journalistic idealism behind 60 Minutes 38:52 60 Minutes and China 51:47 The special status of 60 Minutes inside CBS 55:52 How much longer can the 60 Minutes model survive? 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 杨一：Europe-based Media Professional; Host of 去现场 Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

Same Room 纽约华语播客节 [10d7def8-6910-4376-a668-f3db943695f3.webp] 沙龙致力于拓展线下活动的公共性。我们主张众说纷纭而非整齐划一；我们拥抱多元视角而非标准答案。我们审视和反抗无意识的价值规训与随波逐流；我们冷酷地剖析自己的偏见，热忱地唤醒失落的维度。我们邀请每一颗寻找意义的心灵进入这个空间，真诚地感知、言说、倾听、理解。 这也是中文播客在这几年带给我们的力量之源。我们习惯于在异步时空中，独自聆听那些散落全球的美好中文——他们记录大时代、解构流行文化、观察城市与政治、想象参与世界的新方法……我们赞叹于那些独特的观点，并且渴望回应与共鸣。 于是我们决定：让这些声音在同一个空间回响。我们邀请来自 11 个播客的 12 位主播，从录音室出来，走进同一个房间，带着自己的叙事与视角，用声波碰撞，激荡出一个丰饶的公共声场。我们也邀请你，放下耳机，走进房间，成为塑造这个声场的在场者。 参与主播： 《起朱楼宴宾客》大卫翁 《疲惫娇娃》小杨 《美轮美换》Lokin 《城市传说》罗雨翔 《行星酒馆》东尼 《唠点纽约嗑》Rachel 47 / 杨蒙恩 《纽约漫谈录》欧阳斌 《残言片语》仁慈 / 伊如 《硅谷 101》/《新新人类》一闻 《选修课》老赵 活动形式： 三场对话，每场一小时。具体分组与话题会在未来公布。 时间：2026-06-14 周日 2-6 PM 地点：Cooper Union Rose Auditorium 地址：41 Cooper Sq, New York, NY 10008 报名链接：https://luma.com/1ver2cyw 【聊了什么】 五月的特朗普，活在两个截然不同的美国里。党外，他的支持率跌到 34% 上下的历史低点，油价冲破每加仑 4 美元、部分州突破 5 美元，民众一边为夏天的出行账单肉痛，一边看着华盛顿忙着把总统头像印上 250 美元纪念钞、给林肯纪念堂旁的雕像镀 24K 金；党内，他却把"复仇之旅"推向高潮——卡西迪、马西、康宁三位现任参议员接连在初选中落马，党内地位达到随心所欲的封神状态。 本期我们从伊朗僵局聊起，一路谈到 17.76 亿的反武器化基金、选区重划的焦土战争，中期选举最新形势，以及万斯的失势与卢比奥的崛起。 本期节目录制于美国时间5月31日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 1:53 伊朗战争还能否收场 8:31 油价飞涨：夏天为何是选举前的经济观察窗口 12:35 17.76 亿反武器化基金：起诉自家 IRS，再和解套现 20:59 华盛顿面子工程：250 美元纪念钞与白宫东翼舞厅 23:56 特朗普的历史级低支持率 25:54 选区重划博弈：弗吉尼亚、南卡到阿拉巴马 37:19 特朗普的复仇之旅：连斩卡西迪、马西、康宁三位参议员 43:23 康宁 vs 帕克斯顿：蝎子与青蛙的寓言与选情 56:12 民主党：缅因 Platner 丑闻与加州初选 1:03:52 2028 风向：万斯失势、卢比奥崛起与"帝王之术" 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 In May, Trump lived in two entirely different Americas. Outside the party, his approval sank to a record low of around 34%, gas prices broke $4 a gallon (over $5 in some states), and while Americans winced at their summer travel bills, Washington was busy putting the president's face on a $250 commemorative bill and gilding a statue near the Lincoln Memorial in 24K gold. Inside the party, however, he pushed his "revenge tour" to its peak — sitting Senators Cassidy, Massie, and Cornyn all fell in their primaries, cementing his grip on the GOP to the point of near-total dominance. This episode runs from the Iran stalemate to the $1.776 billion "anti-weaponization" fund, the scorched-earth battle over redistricting, the latest midterm outlook, and Vance's decline alongside Rubio's rise. Recorded May 31. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 1:53 Iran: Is There Any Way Out of This War? 8:31 Surging Gas Prices: Why Summer Is the Economic Window Before an Election 12:35 The $1.776B Anti-Weaponization Fund: Suing Your Own IRS, Then Settling for Cash 20:59 Washington's Vanity Projects: The $250 Bill and the White House East Wing Ballroom 23:56 Trump's Historic Low Approval 25:54 The Redistricting Wars: From Virginia to South Carolina to Alabama 37:19 Trump's Revenge Tour: Taking Down Cassidy, Massie, and Cornyn 43:23 Cornyn vs. Paxton: The Scorpion and the Frog, in Texas 56:12 The Democrats: Maine's Platner Scandal and California's Primary 1:03:52 Eyes on 2028: Vance's Fall, Rubio's Rise, and the Art of the Throne 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 这期节目是一期番外节目，我们在这里推荐一下我们的一位嘉宾，罗雨翔老师新推出的播客栏目《城市传说》。如果你喜欢，欢迎在各个播客平台关注这档节目。 [640.jpeg] 这是一个第一人称视角下的城市与社会“微观察”系列节目。 本期故事是我在一个美国南部城市的黑人区做项目时的亲身经历。当政府把一位黑人女性“空降”进我们的项目组时，我的第一反应不是欢迎，而是警惕：这是关系户？还是政治正确的体现？但这个看似简单的判断，最终把我带向了一系列更复杂的问题——关于身份、偏见，以及我们口中的“公平”，到底意味着什么？ 🎙讲故事的人 罗雨翔 ，美国注册城市规划师，现居纽约。曾就职于纽约市政府，参与并主持北美30余地的地产开发及公共投资项目。毕业于哈佛大学(建筑)及伦敦政治经济学院(区域经济)。著有《创造大都会：纽约空间与制度观察》(上海三联书店｜后浪)，并在《澎湃》《忽左忽右》等媒体发表评论。 👩🏾🦱故事主人公 Viola就是那位被政府“空降”进项目组的成员，也是在这个过程中让我不断重新理解许多问题、并让我反过来质疑我自己的人。 ⏳时间轴 Part 1 遭遇最强“关系户” 02:00 来到特朗普的基本盘 07:15 黑人区风情 13:36 一种很有感染力的笑 Part 2 地头蛇 19:12 我差点让团队没饭可吃 23:53 把项目会开到“家”里 26:29 The Taste of the Community Part 3 困扰我的三个问题 31:20 我是否剥削了她？ 34:09 公众参与是否只是合法性装饰？ 36:09 政治正确是否公平？ 本期故事基于真实经历创作，人物、地点与细节经过处理，不完全对应现实。 📩邮箱：[email protected] 📗公众号：不成熟研究 📕小红书：城市传说 Urban Myths 🌠小宇宙：城市传说 Urban Myths Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 2026年4月29日，最高法院在 Louisiana v. Callais 案中以6-3裁定，事实上掏空了1965年《投票权法》的第二条，这也是首席大法官罗伯茨在长达四十多年司法生涯的"收官之作"。从2013年的 Shelby County 到今天，南方各州终于可以名正言顺地按党派利益重划选区，而几乎不再受到种族歧视效果的实质约束。本期节目我们请回了林三土老师，和我们一起把这场判决的来龙去脉：1965年VRA是怎么诞生的、两党围绕第二条经历过怎样的拉锯、此前的判决如何为今天埋下伏笔，以及它接下来意味着什么。 除了VRA这条主线，我们也聊了白宫记者晚宴外那场抽象的未遂枪击案、DHS停摆终于在沉默中结束、薛定谔式的伊朗战事，以及缅因州州长Janet Mills退选、Graham Plantner锁定民主党提名——这是民主党的"茶党时刻"，还是只是建制派的又一次失败？ 本期节目录制于5月3日。 更正与澄清：本期节目中提到特朗普被陪审团认定的是"性侵"而不是"强奸"。但 2023 年 8 月联邦法官 Lewis Kaplan 在驳回特朗普反诉时明确写道：说特朗普强奸了 Carroll，这个陈述"实质上是真实的"（substantially true）。之所以 5 月陪审团没勾"rape"那一栏，是因为90年代事发当时的纽约州刑法对强奸的定义非常窄，必须是阴茎侵入阴道（该法2024年已将强奸定义修改为包含更多侵入式性行为）。而陪审团认定的事实是手指强行侵入——这在纽约刑法以外的通用语境里，就是强奸。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:50 路易斯安那 v. Callais：最高法院6-3掏空投票权法第二条 04:36 从1965年立法到罗伯茨的四十年布局 07:12 2019年Rucho案埋下的伏笔 17:08 2010年中期选举：南方政治版图的彻底翻转 24:25 选区重划军备竞赛 39:55 下一步会不会是"一人一票"？ 46:50 选民反对gerrymandering，但也并不懂 56:30 白宫记者晚宴枪击案 1:04:40 DHS停摆结束：没有赢家的胜利 1:08:25 国会乱局 1:14:40 Janet Mills退选与Plantner锁定提名 1:22:33 薛定谔式的伊朗战事 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 林垚，政治学、哲学、法学学者，高校教师，公众号“林三土”，播客“时差”、“催稿拉黑”，2024年出版文集《空谈》 【 What We Talked About】 On April 29, 2026, the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 in Louisiana v. Callais, effectively gutting Section 2 of the 1965 Voting Rights Act. For Chief Justice John Roberts, this is the capstone of a four-decade judicial career devoted to dismantling the VRA. From Shelby County in 2013 to today, Southern states can now openly redraw districts along partisan lines with little meaningful constraint from claims of racial discrimination. In this episode, we're joined once again by Lin Santu to walk through the full arc of the ruling: how the VRA came into being in 1965, how the two parties fought over Section 2 across the decades, how earlier decisions laid the groundwork for what just happened, and what comes next. Beyond the VRA, we also get into the strangely amateurish attempted shooting outside the White House Correspondents' Dinner, the quiet end of the DHS shutdown, the Schrödinger's-cat status of the Iran war, and Maine governor Janet Mills dropping out of the Senate primary while Graham Plantner locks up the Democratic nomination — is this the Democrats' Tea Party moment, or just another defeat for the establishment? Recorded May 3. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:50 Louisiana v. Callais: Supreme Court Guts Section 2 of the VRA in 6-3 Ruling 04:36 From the 1965 VRA to Roberts' Four-Decade Crusade 07:12 How Rucho v. Common Cause (2019) Set the Stage 17:08 The 2010 Midterms: When the South Flipped for Good 24:25 The Redistricting Arms Race 39:55 Could "One Person, One Vote" Be Next? 46:50 Voters Oppose Gerrymandering — and Don't Really Get It 56:30 The Shooting Outside the White House Correspondents' Dinner 1:04:40 The DHS Shutdown Ends: A Victory With No Winners 1:08:25 Chaos on the Hill 1:14:40 Janet Mills Drops Out as Plantner Locks Up the Nomination 1:22:33 Schrödinger's Iran War 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Lin Yao, scholar of political science, philosophy, and law; university faculty member; author of the WeChat public account "林三土"; host of the podcasts "时差" and "催稿拉黑"; published essay collection Empty Talk (《空谈》) in 2024. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 如果说 2022 年底 ChatGPT 的发布让 AI 走进了大众视野，那 2026 年初 Anthropic 被白宫封杀的那一周，可能就是 AI 真正走进政治的那一刻。一家商业公司因为坚持不让自己的产品用于监控和自主武器，被列上了原本只留给外国敌对势力的名单；而它最大的竞争对手，在同一天签下了五角大楼的合同。 这期节目中，我们和《新新人类》的主播一闻、硅谷投资人磊一起聊了AI是如何变成最烫手的政治问题的：红线到底该由谁来画？当 Super PAC 开始用 AI 的钱打中期选举、当数据中心让红州蓝州的电价一起上涨、当美国公众对 AI 的反感度已经跌穿地板——AI 的"核弹时刻"到底是技术奇点，还是政治奇点？我们也顺便聊了聊中美在这件事上正在经历的两种截然不同的现实。 本期节目录制于4月初。 我们和Superlinear Academy合作，为听众争取到了AI基础课程的优惠，使用专属折扣码购买可享受4-5折。 购买链接：coding.ai-builders.com 折扣码：美元购买MLMH，人民币购买MLMHY 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 05:26 Anthropic与五角大楼撕破脸：AI政治化的转折点 07:08 两条红线：大规模监控与全自主武器 10:01 立法真空下，商业公司被迫当仲裁者 12:53 硅谷政治转向与员工抗议的复活 16:53 Anthropic的商业账本：合同不如公众形象值钱 19:28 Dario vs Sam Altman：同一天两种结局 26:25 Super PAC对AI监管的冲突 32:50 AI好感度比ICE还低 34:55 中美两种现实：小龙虾与"温水煮青蛙" 40:39 数据中心、电价与NIMBY：AI恐惧的具象化 45:41 如果AI创造所有GDP，普通人还有筹码吗？ 52:50 Bernie Sanders的Claude视频与左派的AI叙事 56:03 Token出海：中美AI的两种工业体系 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期的主播和嘉宾： 小华：媒体人 一闻：一个对地铁比手机更上瘾的记者 Lei：风险投资人 【 What We Talked About】 If the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022 was the moment AI entered the public consciousness, then the week in early 2026 when Anthropic was blacklisted by the White House may well be the moment AI entered politics. A commercial company, for refusing to let its product be used for surveillance and autonomous weapons, was placed on a list previously reserved for foreign adversaries — while its biggest competitor signed a Pentagon contract the very same day. In this episode, we sit down with Yiwen, host of Pixel Perfect, and Lei, a Silicon Valley investor, to unpack how AI became the most politically charged issue of the moment. Who gets to draw the red lines? When Super PACs start spending AI money to swing the midterms, when data centers push up electricity bills across red and blue states alike, when American public sentiment toward AI has fallen through the floor — is AI's "nuclear moment" a technological singularity, or a political one? We also get into the two starkly different realities the U.S. and China are living through on this front. Recorded in early April. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 05:26 Anthropic vs. the Pentagon: The Turning Point of AI's Politicization 07:08 Two Red Lines: Mass Surveillance and Fully Autonomous Weapons 10:01 In a Legislative Vacuum, Companies Are Forced to Arbitrate 12:53 Silicon Valley's Political Shift and the Return of Employee Protest 16:53 Anthropic's Math: Public Image Beats Government Contracts 19:28 Dario vs. Sam Altman: Two Outcomes on the Same Day 26:25 Super PACs Go to War Over AI Regulation 32:50 AI Polls Worse Than ICE 34:55 Two Realities: OpenClaw and the Slow-Boiling Frog 40:39 Data Centers, Electric Bills, and NIMBY: Where AI Fear Gets Real 45:41 If AI Creates All the GDP, What Leverage Do Ordinary People Have? 52:50 Bernie Sanders' Claude Video and the Left's AI Narrative 56:03 Tokens Go Overseas: Two Industrial Systems for AI 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Yiwen: Journalist Lei: Investor Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 我们在这期节目中一起复盘了这半个月美国政治的几条主线。伊朗战争方向，特朗普的"脱身"与伊朗的"既成事实"之间反复拉锯——霍尔木兹海峡开放又关闭、封锁被封锁、以黎停火让以色列错愕、美军登船搜查油轮，我们试图分析接下来的走向。 国内方面，中期选举的布局已经开始，消费者信心指数创75年新低，化肥和牛肉价格成为特朗普亲自下场关心的问题。我们还聊了国会两党"一换一"式的丑闻清洗（Swalwell退选加州州长、Tony Gonzales辞职），以及特朗普与教皇之间的冲突，以及纽约时报最新披露的最高法院shadow docket内部备忘录。 本期节目录制于美国时间2026年4月18日上午。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:46 伊朗局势15天大反转：从停火重启到一触即发 07:16 特朗普想不想打？美方开价比奥巴马核协议还低 10:32 伊朗内部撕裂：议长圆话、强硬派反弹、抵抗轴心动摇 16:47 特朗普绕开以色列宣布黎以停火 19:47 霍尔木兹既成事实：拖下去对美国越不利 21:47 Susie Wiles启动中期选举备战 26:47 共和党的隐忧：选民失望但不转投、信心指数创75年新低 29:53 MAGA内部清算：卡尔森挨打、Joe Rogan被优待 34:40 TPUSA成"反指"：地方选举的意外反噬 42:15 Swalwell丑闻与两党"交换辞职"的潜规则 55:45 匈牙利选举 58:54 特朗普大战教皇 1:07:28 阿利托、托马斯会退吗？ 1:12:54 纽时爆料：Shadow Docket十年前如何诞生 1:18:18 伊朗队还能来世界杯吗？新泽西交通坐地起价 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 【 What We Talked About】 In this episode, we walk through the main threads of U.S. politics over the past two weeks. On Iran, Trump's push to extract himself and Tehran's push to establish facts on the ground keep pulling against each other — the Strait of Hormuz opens and closes, a blockade gets counter-blockaded, an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire catches Israel off guard, and U.S. forces move toward boarding and searching tankers. We try to make sense of where this is heading. On the domestic front, the midterm positioning has begun. Consumer confidence has hit a 75-year low, and fertilizer and beef prices have become issues Trump is weighing in on personally. We also get into the tit-for-tat scandal purge playing out in Congress (Swalwell dropping his California gubernatorial bid, Tony Gonzales resigning), Trump's clash with the Pope, and the New York Times' newly surfaced internal memos on the Supreme Court's shadow docket. This episode was recorded on the morning of April 18, 2026, U.S. time. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:46 Iran in 15 Days: From Ceasefire Restart to the Brink 07:16 Does Trump Actually Want War? U.S. Offering Less Than Obama's Deal 10:32 Cracks Inside Iran: The Speaker's Spin, Hardliner Backlash, and a Shaken Axis of Resistance 16:47 Trump Announces Israel-Lebanon Ceasefire — Without Telling Israel 19:47 Hormuz as Fait Accompli: Every Day That Passes Hurts the U.S. 21:47 Susie Wiles Kicks Off Midterm Prep 26:47 The GOP's Quiet Problem: Disillusioned Voters Who Won't Switch Sides, Confidence at a 75-Year Low 29:53 MAGA Infighting: Carlson Gets Hit, Rogan Gets a Pass 34:40 TPUSA as Reverse Indicator: The Local Election That Backfired 42:15 The Swalwell Scandal and Washington's Unwritten "Trade-a-Resignation" Rule 55:45 Hungary's Election 58:54 Trump vs. the Pope 1:07:28 Will Alito or Thomas Retire? 1:12:54 NYT Scoop: How the Shadow Docket Was Born a Decade Ago 1:18:18 Can Iran's Team Still Play the World Cup? New Jersey's Transit Price Gouge 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 美军F-15被击落后，一场天价的营救行动在伊朗腹地上演——临时机场、运输机陷入泥土、最终炸毁滞留飞机撤离。整个过程堪比好莱坞大片，但"丧事喜办"的背后是一个更深层的战略困境：特朗普的降温方式就是升级，而伊朗政权则在为自己的生存而战。闪电战变成了持久战，双方的战争目标越拉越远，僵局看不到出口。与此同时，油价攀升、民调下滑、共和党基本盘松动，美国国内形势也给战局带来更多不确定性。 战场之外，特朗普政府内部暗流涌动。司法部长邦迪在去最高法院的路上被特朗普当面解雇，国防部长赫格塞斯因偏执症般的不安全感大规模清洗军方高层，卢特尼克、加巴德等多名内阁成员据报也面临下台风险。 最高法院则就出生公民权展开口头辩论，特朗普史无前例地亲自到庭旁听，但从大法官们的提问来看，这场宪法之争的走向恐怕不会如他所愿。 本期节目录制于美国时间2026年4月5日上午。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 也欢迎加入我们的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 会员可以收到每周2-5封newsletter，可以加入会员社群，参加会员活动，并享受更多福利。 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:44 F-15被击落与天价伊朗腹地大营救 06:24 升级困境：特朗普唯一的降温方式就是升级 08:39 伊朗战争目标演变：从政权存续到重塑海湾格局 13:50 美国的战争目标到底是什么？越列越多，越来越模糊 15:44 总统只看到"玫瑰色战况" 19:51 特朗普民调三次断崖 24:41 霍尔木兹海峡封锁 29:26 特朗普的红线画了几条已经数不清 32:01 赫格塞斯大清洗 45:47 邦迪被解雇 49:14 司法部长接任人选大盘点 57:07 下一波清洗：卢特尼克、加巴德、劳工部长？ 60:33 最高法院大法官换人窗口 1:06:23 出生公民权之争：第十四修正案与特朗普亲临旁听 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人 【 What We Talked About】 After a U.S. F-15 was shot down, a massively expensive rescue operation unfolded deep inside Iranian territory — a makeshift airfield, transport planes stuck in mud, and stranded aircraft ultimately destroyed before extraction. The whole episode could have been a Hollywood blockbuster, but behind the spectacle lies a deeper strategic dilemma: Trump's only way to de-escalate is to escalate, while the Iranian regime is fighting for its very survival. What was supposed to be a lightning strike has turned into a war of attrition, with each side's objectives drifting further apart and no off-ramp in sight. Meanwhile, rising oil prices, falling approval ratings, and cracks in the Republican base are adding more uncertainty to the equation. Off the battlefield, turmoil is brewing inside the Trump administration. Attorney General Bondi was fired by Trump in person on the way to the Supreme Court. Defense Secretary Hegseth, gripped by paranoia over his own job security, has launched the largest purge of senior military officials in recent memory. Other cabinet members — including Lutnick and Gabbard — are also reportedly at risk. At the Supreme Court, oral arguments over birthright citizenship took center stage. Trump made an unprecedented appearance in the courtroom, but judging from the justices' questioning, this constitutional battle is unlikely to go his way. This episode was recorded on the morning of April 5, 2026, U.S. time. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:44 F-15 shot down and the costly rescue deep inside Iran 06:24 The escalation trap: Trump's only way to de-escalate is to escalate 08:39 Iran's evolving war aims: from regime survival to reshaping the Gulf 13:50 What are America's war objectives? The list keeps growing, the vision keeps blurring 15:44 The president is only seeing the "rosy" version of the war 19:51 Three cliff drops in Trump's approval ratings 24:41 The Strait of Hormuz blockade 29:26 Trump's red lines: too many to count 32:01 Hegseth's military purge 45:47 Bondi fired 49:14 The attorney general succession: a rundown of contenders 57:07 Next wave of firings: Lutnick, Gabbard, Labor Secretary? 60:33 The Supreme Court vacancy window 1:06:23 The birthright citizenship fight: the 14th Amendment and Trump's courtroom appearance 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助