【聊了什么】 2022年6月，美国最高法院推翻了维持了半个世纪的联邦宪法保障女性堕胎权的里程碑式判决——罗诉韦德案（Roe v. Wade）。取而代之的是道布斯案（Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization），声称将堕胎权问题归还各州处理。这一决定引发了全国范围内的激烈争议，持续至今。 在本期播客中，我们将深入分析过去两年各州议会在堕胎权立法和司法审查上的激烈博弈，探讨堕胎权在全国范围内的可及性危机，回顾联邦法院在堕胎权相关议题上作出的若干重要判决，并展望堕胎权在即将到来的2024年大选中可能发挥的作用。 本期播客最初录制于5月19日，并在7月3日根据最高法院最新判决进行了补充录制。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:02:45 堕胎问题的“州权”和“反扑” 00:04:09 各州的堕胎相关新立法 00:06:39 德州极端堕胎法造成医疗危机后民主党擦屁股 00:09:41 为何各州反堕胎立法漏洞频出 00:14:51 州最高法院引人瞩目的堕胎判决和后果 00:18:37 亚利桑那州高院反堕胎判决是如何起到反效果的 00:22:46 堕胎权公投和选举：“仁义不施而攻守之势异” 00:29:26 堕胎权在全国的可及性危机 00:35:38 联邦最高法院持续介入堕胎权问题 00:36:18 米非司酮案：保守派法官削弱行政部门 00:49:43 紧急堕胎医疗与“医生的良心” 00:56:33 古老的Comstock法案与今天的堕胎权 01:05:04 堕胎权被推翻会引发其他“隐私权”重审吗 01:14:06 美国和其他国家的堕胎权发展史大相径庭 01:21:39 特朗普摇摆不定的堕胎权立场 01:27:16 全国堕胎权禁令和堕胎权与大选的未来 01:36:16 高院在米非司酮案中支持FDA的前因后果 01:39:56 推翻“雪佛龙尊重”和堕胎权行政诉讼 01:47:56 高院未表态紧急堕胎医疗案中的实质问题 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Talich：美国政治和文化历史爱好者 Nancy：普林斯顿大学政治学博士生，耶鲁法学院法律博士 【 What We Talked About】 In June of 2022, the United States Supreme Court overturned the milestone opinion that ensured women’s right to abortion in the federal Constitution for half a century – Roe v. Wade. Instead, the Dobbs opinion proclaimed to return the issue of abortion to the states. For the past two years, controversies surrounding abortion rights have only grown louder nationwide. This episode of the podcast analyzes the interplay between state legislative enactments and judicial review on the issue of abortion rights over the past two years, the national accessibility crisis of abortion rights, several decisions produced by federal courts on abortion-related issues, and the potential role of abortion rights in the upcoming 2024 elections. This episode was initially recorded on May 19th and supplemented on July 3rd following the latest Supreme Court decisions. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:02:45 “State rights” and “backlash” of the abortion question 00:04:09 New state legislations on abortion 00:06:39 Extreme abortion laws in Texas cause a medical crisis while Democrats try to save the day 00:09:41 Why are anti-abortion state laws full of loopholes 00:14:51 Eye-catching state supreme court abortion decisions and consequences 00:18:37 How the Arizona Supreme Court’s anti-abortion decision backfired 00:22:46 Abortion right on the ballot and in the elections: “When benevolence and righteousness are not practiced, the balance of attack and defense shall alter.” 00:29:26 National accessibility crisis of abortion rights 00:35:38 Federal Supreme Court continues to weigh in on abortion rights 00:36:18 Mifepristone case: conservative justices weaken the administrative state 00:49:43 EMTALA, emergency abortion care, and “a doctor’s conscience” 00:56:33 Ancient Comstock Act and today’s abortion rights 01:05:04 Will overturning abortion rights lead to a retrial of other “privacy rights”? 01:16:06 American abortion rights as an international anti-trend 01:21:39 Swinging abortion position of Trump 01:27:16 National abortion ban, and the future of abortion rights and the elections 01:36:16 How the Supreme Court supported the FDA in the mifepristone case 01:39:56 Overturning “Chevron deference” and administrative litigation of abortion rights 01:47:56 Supreme Court failed to substantively rule on the EMTALA abortion case 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin：American law student, New York litigator soon-to-be 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich：Aficionado of American politics, culture, and history Nancy：Princeton Politics PhD student, Yale Law School graduate 【拓展链接】 嘉宾推荐的论文： Roe Rage: Democratic Constitutionalism and Backlash https://law.yale.edu/sites/default/files/documents/pdf/Faculty/Siegel_RoeRageDemocraticConstitutionalismAndBacklash.pdf 推翻雪佛龙尊重的高院重磅判决： Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo https://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/loper-bright-enterprises-v-raimondo/ 一氧化二氮（笑气）与氮氧化物（大气污染物）： This is why the Supreme Court shouldn’t try to do the EPA’s job https://newrepublic.com/article/183285/supreme-court-chevron-gorsuch-nitrous-oxide 保护堕胎权能帮到拜登么？ Abortion rights win big in 2023 elections. Can it help Biden win too? https://podcast.theamericanroulette.com/episodes/minimidterm Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 灾难性的辩论表现让拜登的年龄问题再次成为核心焦点。主流媒体和自由派精英纷纷呼吁民主党更换候选人。但是，临阵换将真的是更好的选择吗？ 在本期播客中，我们回顾了拜登和特朗普在2024年首场辩论中的表现，讨论了辩论结果如何影响选情，分析了更换候选人的利弊，以及如果拜登坚持不退，他和民主党是否还有翻盘的可能。 本期播客录制于6月29日。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划 众筹平台链接： * Patreon * 爱发电 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:00:53 拜登和特朗普的辩论表现回顾 00:08:06 政策从来不是辩论的重点 00:13:55 这场辩论对选情的影响 00:16:40 拜登和拜登团队的失误 00:20:01 关键还在于摇摆选民 00:22:24 拜登辩论策略的失误 00:24:56 辩论后的舆论反应 00:30:54 主流舆论要求换人的呼声和民主党高层力挺拜登 00:36:30 更换候选人的利弊 00:43:20 拜登作为候选人的合法性 00:47:30 谁能劝得动拜登 00:49:35 有人可以替换拜登吗？ 00:56:27 替换拜登的流程是怎样的？ 01:01:10 不负责任的预测 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 曹起曈：青椒，政治行为研究者 小华：媒体人，美政观察者 【 What We Talked About】 Biden's disastrous debate performance has once again brought his age to the forefront of public concern. Mainstream media outlets and liberal elites are calling for the Democratic Party to replace their candidate. But is switching horses midstream really the better choice? In this episode, we reviewed Biden and Trump's performances in the first debate of 2024, discussed how the debate results might impact the election landscape, analyzed the pros and cons of replacing the candidate, and explored whether Biden and the Democratic Party still have a chance to turn things around if he refuses to step down. This episode was recorded on June 29th. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:00:53 Review of Biden and Trump's debate performances 00:08:06 Policy was never the focus of the debate 00:13:55 The debate's impact on the election landscape 00:16:40 Mistakes made by Biden and his team 00:20:01 The key still lies with swing voters 00:22:24 Flaws in Biden's debate strategy 00:24:56 Public reaction after the debate 00:30:54 Mainstream calls for candidate replacement and Democratic leadership's support for Biden 00:36:30 Pros and cons of replacing the candidate 00:43:20 Biden's legitimacy as a candidate 00:47:30 Who could persuade Biden to step down? 00:49:35 Is there anyone who could replace Biden? 00:56:27 What's the process for replacing Biden? 01:01:10 Update on our predictions 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): Assistant professor at the Tufts Fletcher School 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 【拓展链接】 恐慌、哀嚎、换马拜登？民主党完蛋？——复盘第一次总统大选辩论后的过激反应 012 | 拜登老矣，尚能饭否 Is Biden Too Old to Run? Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 特朗普选择副总统的过程被他办成了一场《飞黄腾达》，迷雾重重。这期节目录制于5月25日，但截至6月中旬，似乎也没有新的进展可以补充。一方面，特朗普确实将悬念拉满，另一方面，其实明面的牌早就摊得差不多了。除了特朗普的心思我们无法猜测，其他可以讨论的内容，你都可以在本期播客中听到。可以遇见，随着总统辩论和党代会的临近，我们距离谜底揭晓也不远了。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 02:00 什么时候开始挑副总统候选人 05:05 切尼搬家：为什么总统和副总统不能来自同一个州 08:10 选副总统的基本原则：平衡选票 10:05 平衡选票之拜登选贺锦丽（Kamala Harris） 11:42 贺锦丽（Kamala Harris）的亚裔背景为什么被忽视 14:58 平衡选票之特朗普选彭斯（Mike Pence） 18:32 特朗普看重的忠诚到底是指什么 26:38 忠诚对于追求特朗普政府内职务的人更重要 28:44 尼基·黑利（Nikki Haley） 30:16 马可·卢比奥（Marco Rubio） 33:05 对副总统的执政经验的要求 40:05 特朗普需要潜在的副总统候选人干什么 41:30 继续聊黑利（Nikki Haley） 43:06 埃莉斯·史蒂芬尼克（Elise Stefanik） 46:45 JD 万斯（JD Vance） 49:10 盛产副总统的参议院 50:48 卢比奥（Marco Rubio） 52:10 蒂姆·斯科特（Tim Scott） 54:33 汤姆·科顿（Tom Cotton） 01:01:53 凯蒂·布里特（Katie Britt） 01:02:58 本·卡森（Ben Carson） 01:04:21 卡丽·莱克（Kari Lake） 01:06:23 拉瓦斯瓦米（Vivek Ramaswamy） 01:08:42 道格·伯古姆（Doug Burgum） 01:11:14 克里斯蒂·诺姆（Kristi Noem） 01:18:38 莎拉·赫卡比·桑德斯（Sarah Huckabee Sanders） 01:20:12 关于今年的总统辩论 01:26:43 格雷格·阿博特（Greg Abbott） 01:30:44 拜伦·唐纳兹（Byron Donalds） 01:32:20 图尔西·加巴德（Tulsi Gabbard） 01:33:53 神棍一下特朗普会选谁 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者 【 What We Talked About】 This year, Trump's selection of a vice presidential candidate has turned into a real-life version of "The Apprentice," shrouded in mystery. We recorded this episode on May 25th, and even by mid-June, there doesn't seem to be much new information. On one hand, Trump has genuinely kept the suspense high; on the other, it shows that the obvious options have already been laid out. While we can't predict Trump's thoughts, you can catch up on everything else worth discussing in this episode. As the first presidential debate and GOP convention approach, the revelation of his choice is likely not far off. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ Support us on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 02:00 When to start picking the Vice President candidate 05:05 Dick Cheney: Why the President and Vice President cannot be from the same state 08:10 Basic principles of choosing a Vice President: Balancing the ticket 10:05 Balancing the ticket: Biden choosing Kamala Harris 11:42 Why Kamala Harris's Asian background was overlooked 14:58 Balancing the ticket: Trump choosing Pence 18:32 What loyalty means to Trump 26:38 Loyalty is more important for those seeking positions within the Trump administration 28:44 Nikki Haley 30:16 Marco Rubio 33:05 Requirements for the Vice President's governing experience 40:05 What Trump needs from potential Vice Presidential candidates 41:30 Back to Nikki Haley 43:06 Elise Stefanik 46:45 JD Vance 49:10 The Senate as a breeding ground for Vice Presidents 50:48 Marco Rubio 52:10 Tim Scott 54:33 Tom Cotton 01:01:53 Katie Britt 01:02:58 Ben Carson 01:04:21 Kari Lake 01:06:23 Vivek Ramaswamy 01:08:42 Doug Burgum 01:11:14 Kristi Noem 01:18:38 Sarah Huckabee Sanders 01:20:12 About this year's presidential debates 01:26:43 Greg Abbott 01:30:44 Byron Donalds 01:32:20 Tulsi Gabbard 01:33:53 Irresponsible prediction on who Trump will choose 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 英国导演Alex Garland的新作《美国内战》(Civil War)以一场虚构的美国内战为背景，引发了广泛关注和争议。作为A24迄今为止最大制作，电影集全明星阵容和炫目视效于一身，更因触及当下美国社会分裂、政治极化的议题而备受瞩目。然而，电影却避开了最敏感的政治问题，转而以四名战地记者为主角展开叙事，聚焦新闻伦理和人性挣扎，也因此被批评为避重就轻。 在本期节目中，疲惫娇娃的两个女的与美轮美换的主播Lokin和小华一起，探讨以下问题：在战争中，镜头背后是新闻理想主义的湮灭，还是人性的回归？在信息过载的时代，我们是否还有余力正视战争和苦难的真相？摄影和报道究竟能否改变世界，抑或终将被时代洪流所淹没？影片刻意模糊了内战的起因和立场，这是否在鼓吹一种危险的相对主义，还是向观众传达了更有价值的提醒？ 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴 The When】 * 【时间轴】 * 00:02:54 讨论电影《美国内战》Civil War的情节和导演Alex Garland的作品。 * 00:15:13 Alex Garland导演对战地记者职业的矛盾心理刻画 * 00:40:06 电影对种族主义暴力的直白展现 * 00:48:06 导演在政治立场上的模糊态度引发争议 * 00:55:22 战争带来的不确定感和混乱感 * 01:01:09 摄影记者的自我矛盾：记录还是介入? * 01:08:24 社交媒体时代，记者的责任与观众的责任 * 01:15:08 前辈记者对后辈的无奈：这一行太苦，但拦不住你 * 01:17:03 尽管科技发达，战争的荒谬感依旧没变 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期节目的主播和嘉宾： * Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 * 小华：媒体人，美政观察者 * 小杨和花酱：《疲惫娇娃》主播 【 What We Talked About】 Alex Garland's latest film, "Civil War," was set against a fictional war between two different factions within the United States. The film has sparked considerable controversy. It explores America’s political reality through the lenses (zing!) of four war correspondents, centering on journalistic ethics and the struggles of the human condition, but somehow sidestepping all of the more contentious, real political issues currently dividing America. We were not sure if we liked this artistic choice, so we recorded an episode with our friends from 美轮美换 The American Roulette to process it. Do we like Alex Garland’s decision to obscure the causes of the war? Why do we need photojournalism? Do we still have the capacity to process the harsh realities of conflict and suffering, and hold complexities in this age of social media? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: * Join our membership program: theamericanroulette.com * Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette * Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette * Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 * 00:02:54 Discussion of the plot of "Civil War" and the works of director Alex Garland * 00:15:13 Alex Garland's portrayal of the conflicting psychology of war correspondents * 00:40:06 Blunt portrayal of racist violence * 00:48:06 Alex Garland did not take a stand but do we need him to? * 00:55:22 The uncertainty and chaos of war * 01:01:09 The self-contradiction of photojournalists: to document or to intervene? * 01:08:24 In the age of social media, the responsibility of journalists and the responsibility of the audience * 01:15:08 Senior journalists' helplessness towards their juniors: This profession causes inevitable moral or physical injuries, but they can't stop people from joining * 01:17:03 Despite advances in technology, the absurdity of war remains unchanged 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Hosts and Guests of This Episode: * Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer * 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer * 小杨 & 花酱：Hosts of CyberPink Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 经过两天的审议，纽约法院陪审团裁定特朗普在“封口费”一案中34项伪造商业记录罪名全部成立。 由此，特朗普成为美国历史上第一位被刑事定罪的前总统。这一审议结果不仅震惊了美国政坛，也对特朗普未来的政治生涯投下一层不确定的阴影。 结果公布当天，我们紧急录制了本期节目，回顾整个案件的发展过程，并深入分析了不同政治团体的反应、公众舆论以及特朗普被定罪的法律和社会影响。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://americanroulette.ghost.io/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:08 陪审团9小时审议之后迅速判决意味着什么 08:03 “封口费”案回顾 13:30 关键证人盘点 22:30 有罪判决对选情的影响 32:04 右翼对判决的反应 35:28 负面党派情绪 38:54 民主党的应对策略 45:10 特朗普真的会入狱吗？ 49:51 特朗普面临的其它三项刑事诉讼 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者 小华：媒体人，美政观察者 【 What We Talked About】 After two days of deliberation, a New York court jury found Donald Trump guilty on all 34 counts of falsifying business records in the "hush money" case. This made Trump the first former U.S. president in history to be convicted of felony crimes. The verdict not only shocked the American political scene but also cast a shadow of uncertainty over Trump's future political career. On the day the verdict was announced, we recorded this emergency episode to review the development of the case and to analyze the reactions from different political groups, public opinion, and the legal and social implications of the verdict. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:08 What does it mean for the jury to reach a verdict after mere 9 hours? 08:03 Review of the “hush money” trial 13:30 Review of key witnesses and testimonies 22:30 How does the guilty verdict affect the presidential election 32:04 Reactions from the right 35:28 How the verdict deepens partisanship 38:54 Strategic repsonses from Democrats 45:10 Will Trump really go to prison? 49:51 The other three criminal lawsuits Trump is facing 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 本期节目是《端传媒》的播客节目《端闻》中的一期，小华在节目中讨论了近期美国总统拜登政府与《纽约时报》之间的矛盾冲突。 《纽约时报》在政治立场上一向被视为倾向民主党和自由派，但拜登团队最近却对《纽约时报》相当不满。Politico最近的一篇报道将这一矛盾摆到了公众面前。在节目中，我们深入分析了事件的来龙去脉。 播客录制完成后，双方的矛盾非但没有平息，反而因《纽约时报》执行总编周看的一次专访再度引发热议。我们在《美轮美换》会员通讯中对事件的最新进展进行了讨论，欢迎通过注册电子邮箱，免费阅读这期会员通讯的内容。 【支持端传媒】 欢迎你成为端传媒的订阅会员，支持华文世界不可或缺的深度报道和多元声音：https://bit.ly/3QDXSy3 【使用此链接可「尊享八折」，一次解锁端传媒、华尔街日报、当今大马会籍】 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://americanroulette.ghost.io/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 【 What We Talked About】 This episode of Initium Reports podcast by Initium Media, featuring Xiaohua as a guest. In this episode, we discuss the recent conflict between the Biden administration and The New York Times. The New York Times has long been viewed as leaning towards the Democratic Party and liberal ideologies. However, the Biden team has recently expressed strong dissatisfaction with the paper. A recent Politico report brought this discord into the public eye. In this episode, we delve into the origins and development of this saga. After the recording of the podcast, the conflict between the two parties did not subside. Instead, it reignited due to an interview given by the Joe Kahn, the Executive Editor of The New York Times. In the latest edition of The American Roulette’s newsletter, I discuss the latest developments in saga. You can register with your email address to read this subscriber-only newsletter for free. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 美国国会两院已经先后通过了一揽子对外援助法案，其中包含了强制字节跳动剥离TikTok条款。美国总统拜登于4月24日迅速签署令其生效。TikTok在美国再次面临存亡危机。TikTok的未来命运将如何？事件将会如何发展？对于其他具有中国背景的全球化公司，此事件又将带来怎样的影响？ 本期节目最初于4月初录制。随着事件的进展，部分内容已经过时。我们于4月23日根据最新情况进行了补充录制。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： americanroulette.ghost.io/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon www.patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 1:21 TikTok事件不那么新的进展 3:20 TikTok危机：2020年与现状对比 8:20 字节跳动和TikTok在华府的策略失误？ 13:05 TikTok的“弹窗”策略过火了吗？ 19:37 “中国公司” vs. “美国公司” 21:25 Jeff Yass角色和特朗普的态度 24:30 中国背景的全球公司面临的困境 27:26 如何与美国媒体有效沟通 29:45 哪些人在反对TikTok法案 34:25 拜登与民主党对TikTok的矛盾态度 40:28 TikTok和哈马斯以色列冲突、年轻选民以及大选 45:38 用户隐私法案与Maria Cantwell 51:00 TikTok法案通过之后的走向 59:04 特朗普如再次当选对TikTok会有怎样的影响 1:00:19 4月23日之后的最新进展 1:08:23 迈克·约翰逊态度的大转变 1:18:10 拜登签字生效之后会发生什么？ 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 杨方曦（Ivy Yang）：小波咨询创始人、FT中文专栏作家 小华：媒体人，美政观察者 【 What We Talked About】 Both chambers of the U.S. Congress recently approved a $95 billion foreign aid package that includes a clause mandating ByteDance to divest TikTok. President Biden acted swiftly, signing the bill into law on April 24th, thrusting TikTok into another existential crisis in the U.S. What lies ahead for TikTok? How will this situation unfold? And what implications might this have for other global companies with ties to China? This episode was initially recorded in early April. With the latest development, some of the original content has become outdated. We recorded an update on April 23 to reflect the latest developments. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 1:21 Not-so-recent developments in the TikTok situation 3:20 The TikTok crisis: 2020 vs. now 8:20 Did ByteDance and TikTok make strategic errors in DC? 13:05 Has TikTok's “push notification strategy” gone too far? 19:37 "Chinese company" versus "American company" 21:25 Jeff Yass's role and Trump's stance 24:30 The challenges faced by global companies with Chinese backgrounds 27:26 How to effectively communicate with U.S. media 29:45 Who is opposing the TikTok bill 34:25 Biden and the Democratic Party's conflicting views on TikTok 40:28 TikTok, the Hamas-Israel conflict, young voters, and elections 45:38 The privacy bill and Maria Cantwell’s involvement 51:00 The direction things might go after the TikTok bill is passed 59:04 How would a Trump re-election affect TikTok 1:00:19 Latest updates after April 23 1:08:23 Mike Johnson’s flip-flop 1:18:10 What will happen after Biden signs the bill 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 杨方曦 (Ivy Yang): Founder of Wavelet Strategy, FT Chinese columnist 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer 【拓展链接】 欢迎在抖音、微信号、小红书等平台关注“方曦说” Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 我们和《这集我看过》的主播徐天聊了马丁·斯科塞斯1976年的电影《出租汽车司机》如何反映和预示了美国社会与政治的多层次变迁。从西部片的传统概念到70年代城市衰败的背景下的男女关系描绘，我们揭开电影中隐藏的社会文化纹理。通过主角Travis的故事，我们探索了片中角色的道德虚无、孤独感以及与Incel群体的联系，以及它们如何呼应与当代的极右派政治。 本期节目由《美轮美换》和《这集我看过》联合制作播出。 【支持我们】 如果喜欢这期节目并希望支持我们将节目继续做下去： 欢迎加入我们最新推出的会员计划： https://theamericanroulette.com/paid-membership/ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon https://www.patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:54 从西部片里的西部谈起 03:08 70 年前后城市西部片的设定 05:45 西部片里经典男女关系 12:30 《出租汽车司机》剧情简介 13:44 Travis 的道德虚无 14:41 Incel 群体和 Travis 17:55 Travis 的孤独感 19:30 Travis 形象后面是编剧 Schrader 的个人经历 23:45 Variety Photo Player Theater 和 LGBTQ 亚文化群 26:15 时代广场与城市衰败 29:58 1975 年的纽约城市财政危机 31:01 美国最大的贫民窟 The Bronx 32:52 90 年代的时代广场改造工程 35:38 Palantine 和两党解决城市犯罪的方法 43:52 便利店抢劫案和创作中的刻板印像 49:55 皮条客角色设定的问题和作为特例的电影 54:31 射杀黑人劫匪和政治正确 56:43 持枪许可 58:43 为什么要买枪 59:40 Travis 买的枪 01:00:25 枪支文化的消费特点 01:02:25 影片中的男女关系 01:07:57 影片中的暴力 01:08:49 行走的矛盾：Travis 和枪 01:11:15 行走的矛盾：出租汽车司机看 LGBT 01:13:08 电影结尾处理：导演和编剧对于 Travis 角色的两种看法 01:17:04 Travis 和特朗普时代的极右派有什么可比性 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 本期主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者 徐天：历史研究者、影迷 本期节目的制作人是小华，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是木七果。 美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客。 【 What We Talked About】 American Roulette, together with Xu Tian, host of 这集我看过, discuss Martin Scorsese's 1976 film "Taxi Driver." In this episode, we unpack the movie’s reflection on and foresight into the multifaceted changes within American society and politics. We start from the traditional motifs of Western films and further dive into the depiction of male-female dynamics amidst the 70’s urban decay, dissecting how the film handles the nuanced socio-cultural layers of that time. We examine protagonist Travis and his journey, his moral nihilism, pervasive sense of isolation, and its affiliations with the Incel movement – and of course, how all these elements still echo within contemporary far-right political discourse. This episode is co-produced by The American Roulette and 这集我看过. 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:54 The ‘West’ in the Western genre 03:08 The depiction of the “Urban West” in 70s cinema 05:45 Gender roles in Westerns 12:30 Overview of "Taxi Driver" plot 13:44 Travis Bickle's moral nihilism 14:41 The Incel community and Travis 17:55 Exploring themes of loneliness 19:30 Insight into screenwriter Paul Schrader's personal experiences influencing the film 23:45 The Variety Photo Player Theater and its role in LGBTQ subcultures 26:15 Times Square as a symbol of urban decline 29:58 The 1975 financial crisis in New York City 31:01 The Bronx: Depiction of America's largest slum 32:52 The Times Square redevelopment effort in the 90s 35:38 Palantine's approach to urban crime 43:52 Stereotypes and creativity: the convenience store robbery scene 49:55 Portrayal of the pimp’s character and the film's unique stance 54:31 Addressing racial tensions: the shooting of the black robber 56:43 Gun permits 58:43 Why buy a gun 59:40 The gun Travis bought 01:00:25 Consumer aspects of gun culture 01:02:25 Revisiting male-female relationships within the film 01:07:57 Violence in the film 01:08:49 Travis Bickle: The embodiment of contradictions with his gun 01:11:15 "Taxi Driver" and its nuanced view on LGBT issues 01:13:08 Film ending: Diverging perspectives of the director and screenwriter on Travis's character 01:17:04 Drawing parallels between Travis Bickle and far-right ideologies in contemporary context 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast Xu Tian: historian and movie fan This episode is produced by Xiaohua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Muqiguo. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 81岁的拜登已成为美国历史上年龄最大的在任总统。倘若他成功连任并完成第二任期，届时他将高龄86岁。而对手特朗普，同样已年届77。无论选举结果如何，都将是美国总统年龄的一个新纪录。近期，拜登的年龄问题再次成为公众舆论的热点。本期节目中，我们试图慎入探讨拜登的年龄议题：“年龄门”是否会是拜登在2024年大选中败北的决定性因素？当公众讨论拜登的年龄时，他们究竟在谈论什么？ 【会员计划】 美轮美换会员计划上线了！ 加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。 会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。 年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year 月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month 微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk 感谢你对美轮美换的支持！ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 2:52 特别检察官Robert Hur提交的报告让拜登的年龄问题再次成为焦点 11:17 拜登的国情咨文演讲反响 14:12 拜登年龄问题为何比其他同龄政界人士引发更多争议 23:48 2020年拜登自称为“过渡期总统候选人”，他变卦了吗？ 29:00 换马是否能为民主党带来更大胜算？ 37:55 美国“老人政治”的问题 48:33 民调还靠谱吗？ 1:01:11 为什么拜登如此不受欢迎 1:08:20 拜登的竞选战略 1:14:15 如果大选前如果拜登出现意外，可能引发的连锁反应 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者 小华：媒体人，美政观察者 本期节目的制作人是Lokin和小华，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是木七果。 美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客。 【 What We Talked About】 At 81, Joe Biden is the oldest serving U.S. president. Ever. His potential second term would end with him at 86 years old, should he secure re-election and fulfill a second term. Looking across the aisle, his opponent Donald Trump is not much younger at the age of 77. No matter how the election unfolds, it will set a new precedent for the age of a U.S. president. Recently, Biden's age resurfaced to the forefront of public discourse. In this episode, we delve into the complexities surrounding the discussions of Biden's age: Could the issue become the pivotal factor that determines Biden's fate in the 2024 elections? When the public discusses Biden's age, what exactly are they talking about? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 2:52 The report by Special Counsel Robert Hur once again highlights concerns about Biden's age 11:17 Reactions to Biden's State of the Union Address 14:12 Why does Biden's age provoke more debate than other similarly-aged politicians? 23:48 Biden described himself as a "bridge candidate“ in 2020 – has he changed his position? 29:00 Would the Democratic Party have a better chance of winning by changing their candidate? 37:55 The issue of gerontocracy in U.S. politics 48:33 Can opinion polls still be trusted? 1:01:11 The reasons behind Biden's unpopularity 1:08:20 Biden's 2024 campaign strategy 1:14:15 The potential repercussions of an unforeseen event involving Biden before the election 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer This episode is produced by Lokin and Xiaohua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Muqiguo. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast. 【拓展链接】 Fine, Call It a Comeback Democrats Have a Better Option Than Biden Recorded Interview: Robert Hur, President Biden Transcript Puck Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 四年一度大选年，美国边境的移民危机毫不意外再次成为舆论和公众关注的焦点。更不意外的是，两党在解决边境危机的问题上无法达成妥协，最新移民法案刚推出就宣告死亡。为何移民问题在美国成为了无解的难题，这一问题又会如何左右2024年大选的走势？ 【参与调研】 斯坦福商学院的研究者在进行一项关于美国H1B工作签证中国申请人的问卷调查。如果您今年计划参与H1B工作签证抽签，我们诚挚邀请您参与我们的研究。请访问 goto.stanford.edu/h1b 参与我们的调查。 本调查一共有两次问卷，共计约20分钟。完成两次调查将获得10美元的Amazon礼品卡，虽然是杯水车薪，但您的想法将为我们研究者理解来美华人移民提供重要贡献。如果您认识亲朋好友参与今年的H1B工作签证抽签，也欢迎您将这一信息转发给他们，或在您的公司群组中扩散。非常感谢！ 【会员计划】 美轮美换会员计划上线了！ 加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。 会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。 年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year 月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month 微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk 感谢你对美轮美换的支持！ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:25 边境危机的背景 03:57 红州往蓝州运送移民是怎么回事 07:53 非法入境美国的移民面临的处境 14:41 为什么处理无证移民和难民问题如此棘手 16:48 拜登政府面临的移民危机和之前有什么不同 28:08 “非法移民” vs. “无证移民” 30:10 两党和选民对移民的不同态度 32:03 最新移民法案的前因后果 40:45 移民问题在政治中扮演的角色 01:01:51 进步派在反对法案通过的时候都在反对什么 01:04:30 移民问题会如何左右2024年大选的走势 01:06:55 如何才能增加美国人对移民的支持 01:22:09 共和党到底要什么 01:29:42 拜登如何“关闭边境” 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者 Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者 本期节目的制作人是Lokin和小华，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是小然。 美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客，更多关于播客厂牌百花的信息请点击这里。 【 What We Talked About】 Every election cycle, the immigration crisis at the U.S. border inevitably emerges as a major point of focus of public attention and discourse. Equally unsurprising is the inability of the two parties to reach a consensus on addressing the issue, with the latest immigration bill effectively dismissed shortly after its introduction. The persistent deadlock raises the question that we hope to tackle in this episode: why has immigration become an intractable issue in the US? How will this shape the course of the 2024 election? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Join our membership program: americanroulette.ghost.io Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:25 Background of the border crisis 03:57 Red states transporting immigrants to blue states 07:53 The situation for immigrants experience after entering the U.S. illegally 14:41 The complexity of dealing with undocumented immigrants and refugees 16:48 Differences in the immigration crisis under the Biden administration compared to previous administrations 28:08 "Illegal immigrants" vs. "undocumented immigrants" 30:10 Varied attitudes towards immigration from different political parties and voters 32:03 Background and implications of recent immigration laws 40:45 Immigration issue's role in politics 01:01:51 Progressive opposition to the immigration bill 01:04:30 The impact of immigration issues on the 2024 election outlook 01:06:55 Strategies to enhance American support for immigration 01:22:09 GOP's objectives on immigration issue 01:29:42 How could Biden "shut down border" 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. Our Hosts and Guests: Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher This episode is produced by Lokin and Xiaohua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Xiaoran. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast. Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 从斯坦佛到哈佛，美国精英大学的校长们先后历劫。2023年10月7日以色列哈马斯冲突升级之后，中东问题在美国精英高校成为争议焦点，各大校长们也被卷入风波。为什么有的校长因此下台，还有一些校长却得以“幸存”？ 【会员计划】 美轮美换会员计划上线了！ 加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。 会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。 年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year 月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month 微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk 感谢你对美轮美换的支持！ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 01:01 共和党初选的最新进展和分析 05:30 利益冲突声明 07:03 斯坦福大学前校长Marc Tessier-Lavigne(MTL)的学术造假问题及其辞职 14:18 学生记者的胜利？ 16:43 巴以冲突在美国精英大学成为争议焦点 21:15 听证会上的“明星”议员Elise Stefanik 24:56 国会听证会为何变成了马戏团表演 28:15 听证会上发生了什么？为什么校长们给出如此糟糕的回答 40:03 大学校长是都应该在争议政治话题上站队 45:30 为什么美国右翼对美国精英高校充满敌意 59:10 听证会后第一个下台的宾大校长Liz Magill 1:02:30 哈佛校长的“抄袭”风波 1:17:25 “幸存”的MIT校长和文理科在巴以冲突上的分歧 1:24:36 金融大佬Bill Ackman的闹剧 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 曹起曈：美国政治经济学PhD，政治行为研究者 本期节目的制作人是小华和Lokin，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是木七果。美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客。 【 What We Talked About】 From Stanford to Harvard, leaders of America's elite universities have faced a multitude of challenges in 2023. Following the Israel-Hamas conflict that intensified on October 7, 2023, the Middle East has emerged as a contentious issue within these top institutions, propelling their presidents into the heart of the storm. Amidst the controversy, why have some presidents resigned while others have seemingly managed to "survive"? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 01:01 Latest updates and analysis on the Republican primaries 05:30 Conflict of interest statement 07:03 Academic misconduct and resignation of Marc Tessier-Lavigne, ex-president of Stanford 14:18 A win for student journalists? 16:43 The Israeli-Hamas war: a contentious issue in US elite universities 21:15 Congresswoman Elise Stefanik in the spotlight at the hearing 24:56 Why congressional hearings have turned into a spectacle 28:15 What went wrong at the hearing? Poor responses from university presidents 40:03 Should university leaders take a stand on controversial political topics? 45:30 Why the American right is hostile towards elite universities 59:10 The first resignation post-hearing: Liz Magill, former president of Penn 1:02:30 Plagiarism scandal involving the former president of Harvard 1:17:25 The "surviving" MIT president 1:24:36 - The saga of financial mogul Bill Ackman 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes. In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.” Our Hosts and Guests: Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 曹起曈 (Thomas Cao): PhD in political economy, political behavior researcher This episode is produced by Xiaohua and Lokin, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Muqiguo. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast. 【拓展链接】 Why Some Academics Are Reluctant to Call Claudine Gay a Plagiarist The Invention of Elise Stefanik Theo Baker Meet the student who helped boot the president of Stanford Is Claudine Gay a Plagiarist? 'This is Definitely Plagiarism': Harvard University President Claudine Gay Copied Entire Paragraphs From Others’ Academic Work and Claimed Them as Her Own How We Squeezed Harvard to Push Claudine Gay Out Bill Ackman's celebrity academic wife Neri Oxman's dissertation is marred by plagiarism Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

【聊了什么】 2024年美国大选周期在冰冷的艾奥瓦州冷清开场，特朗普以压倒性优势轻松获胜。共和党初选距离变成垃圾时间可能仅剩一步之遥？ 【会员计划】 美轮美换会员计划上线了！ 加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。 会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。 年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year 月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month 微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk 感谢你对美轮美换的支持！ 众筹平台链接： * Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette * 爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette 合作投稿邮箱：[email protected] 【时间轴】 00:47 艾奥瓦党团会议结果回顾 05:11 艾奥瓦州初选的历史和特殊性 12:00 特朗普、德桑蒂斯、黑莉和拉瓦斯瓦米在艾奥瓦的策略 23:55 展望新罕布什尔州初选 34:50 特朗普对共和党的绝对控制力 45:35 艾奥瓦州初选的赢家除了特朗普还有民调 更正： 39:05 Bob Dole在艾奥瓦大胜时间应该为1988年 42:00 出口民调中认为和自己“share the same value”最重要的选民中特朗普赢了40% 【我们是谁】 美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。 美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。 我们的主播和嘉宾： Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者 王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子 小华：媒体人，美政观察者 本期节目的制作人是小华，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是木七果。 美轮美换是一档由百花出品的播客，更多关于播客厂牌百花的信息请点击这里。 【 What We Talked About】 The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election cycle kicks off in the frosty backdrop of Iowa. Donald Trump secures the victory effortlessly with a significant margin. Is the Republican primary on the brink of becoming a mere formality? 【Support Us】 If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following: Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Support us on AFDIAN: https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: [email protected] 【Timeline】 00:47 Review of the Iowa caucus results 05:11 Why is Iowa so unique? Why is it first? 12:00 Strategies of Trump, DeSantis, Haley, and Ramaswamy in Iowa 23:55 Looking ahead to the New Hampshire primary 34:50 Trump's absolute control over the Republican Party 45:35 Winners of the Iowa Primaries: Trump and the polls 【Who We Are】 The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics. The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes. In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.” Our Hosts and Guests: Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information 小华 (Xiao Hua): Journalist, political observer This episode is produced by Xiaohua, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor is Muqiguo. The American Roulette is a Baihua Media Podcast. 【拓展链接】 Iowa Poll: Nikki Haley overtakes Ron DeSantis; Donald Trump leads big (desmoinesregister.com) Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助