How do we live well in a world we can't predict?

This episode explores The Art of Uncertainty, a timely and thought-provoking new book by statistician David Spiegelhalter. From chance encounters to global crises, uncertainty shapes every part of our lives — yet we often struggle to deal with it.

Through stories, science, and Spiegelhalter’s trademark clarity, we unpack how risk works, why our brains misjudge probability, and how to make better choices in the face of the unknown. Tune in to gain practical tools — and a calmer mindset — for navigating life’s unpredictability.

📘 Book featured:

The Art of Uncertainty: How to Live Well through the Unknown

Author: David Spiegelhalter

Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company

Publication Date: March 4, 2025

Language: English | Pages: 336 | ISBN-10: 1324106115

我们能否在无法预测的世界中，活得更从容？

本期节目聚焦统计学家 David Spiegelhalter 的新作《The Art of Uncertainty》，从“偶然”到“风险”，从生活琐事到全球危机，不确定性无处不在，我们却往往无从应对。

透过科学分析与现实故事，我们一起探讨：为何人类对概率的直觉常常出错？如何在面对未知时，做出更明智的决策？

这是一场关于清醒判断力、心理韧性与“放下控制”的对话，带你更坦然地走入不确定的每一天。

📘 本期图书介绍：

《The Art of Uncertainty: How to Live Well through the Unknown》

作者：David Spiegelhalter

出版社：W. W. Norton & Company

出版时间：2024 年3 月 4 日

语言：英文｜页数：336｜ISBN：1324106115